«Because of the presence of low - frequency variations (e.g., multi-decadal variations seen
in some tidal gauge records; Chambers et al. (2012)-RRB-, sea level acceleration results are sensitive to the choice of the analysis time span.
So, an apparent «rising» (or «falling») trend
in a tidal gauge record might actually be due to any one of several factors:
Indeed, Ostanciaux et al., 2012 (Abstract; Google Scholar access), explicitly assumed that the satellite estimates were independent of the tidal gauge estimates, for identifying problems
in the tidal gauge estimates!
Not exact matches
He checked local
tidal gauges, revealing that seas
in the region were rising nearly 10 times faster than the long - term rate recorded
in that region.
The proposal includes plans to upgrade an existing network of
tidal gauges and seismographs
in the Caribbean as well as to educate communities particularly at risk for tsunamis.
After the Japan earthquake, seismic stations, deep - ocean buoys and
tidal gauges delivered a wealth of data for accurate tsunami forecasts
in Hawaii, California and the rest of the Pacific Rim, but public preparedness can be even more important
«The shock for us was that
tidal flooding could become the new normal
in the next 15 years; we didn't think it would be so soon,» said Melanie Fitzpatrick, one of three researchers at the nonprofit who analyzed tide
gauge data and sea level projections, producing soused prognoses for scores of coastal Americans.
We also monitor marine debris
in the sandy beach and
tidal habitats of our coastal MPAs to
gauge whether human use of these areas may have negative impacts.
So the curve to be fit
in the case of ENSO is a complicated standing - wave oscillation — likely more complex than a
tidal gauge time series, but potentially doable.
Much of the paper reads like an essay
in the salesmanship of doubt; for instance, the Aden
tidal gauge is highlighted as the sole one for the Arabian peninsula, and the fragmentary nature of its record is discussed at some length, as
in this sentence:
Syvitski et al., pointed out that trends at
tidal gauges in delta regions depend on several factors:
In other words, they found that once post-glacial rebound effects and lunar cycle effects had been accounted for, the sea level rise had essentially been constant (1.18 mm / year) since at least the start of the
tidal gauge records (1849).
The biggest difficulty
in using
tidal gauges to study global sea level trends is separating local changes from global changes.
When the
tidal gauges in Figure 8 are compared to the tectonic map
in Figure 11, it becomes apparent that a surprisingly high percentage of the
tidal gauges are near plate boundaries.
But, rather than taking that as evidence that the
tidal gauge estimates were unreliable (as we discussed
in Section 3 & 4), he concluded that the satellite was at fault!
Photo of a
tidal gauge at a harbour
in Alaska, by Daniel Cornwall.
In order to use
tidal gauges to reliably estimate global sea level changes, researchers have to successfully separate the components of shifting land heights and local sea level variability from any global trends.
As these processes are occurring
in areas across the world, it will mistakenly introduce a «global sea level rise» bias into estimates constructed from
tidal gauges.
But,
tidal gauges are located on land, so if the land (where the
gauge is located) moves up or down over time, this would cause an apparent change
in the relative sea level, without the sea level actually changing.
The Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) database shows that the only
tidal gauge currently operating
in Kiribati is at Betio (Lat.
Threats of ever rising sea levels are stock
in trade for the climate mafia, yet when we look at actual
tidal gauge records, we see nothing other than a gradual rise, going back to the 19thC.
Tidal gauges show less rise
in sea levels.
The problem is Jevrejeva does some fairly complex processing creating a «virual
tidal gauge» that is only out lined
in her papers.
As you become interested
in IPCC AR5 Fig 3.14, do note that the three data sets presented are derived from
tidal gauges using two significantly different approaches.
The report, reassessing records from more than 600
tidal gauges, found that readings from 1901 - 90 had over-estimated the rise
in sea levels.
In south Florida, the pace of sea level rise at local
tidal gauges, by last year, had gone exponential.
A good scientist would have issued a correction something along the lines of «I missed the fact that
tidal gauges are influenced strongly by local changes
in land elevation due to river silt, human activity, post-ice age rebound, and earthquakes.
The authors needed to perform data analysis on
tidal gauge data
in order to know whether or not sea level rise was accelerating, therefore sea level rise can not be eyeballed.
If we looked at only the raw
tidal gauge data for Juneau, you would have us believe that sea level was rapidly falling, and probably accelerating
in it's drop, yet
in reality it's not the sea level that's falling, but rather the land that is accelerating
in its rise.
With respect to Church et al 2008, you're neglecting to mention (or perhaps didn't read enough of the paper to notice) is that, unlike you're «eyeballing» method, they actually adjusted
tidal gauges for changes
in local land elevation before drawing any conclusions from unadjusted data.
In a prior posting, the empirical evidence from a group of high quality
tidal gauge locations revealed the long - term acceleration and deceleration of sea levels.
NOAA 375 global
tidal gauges also demonstrate quite clearly that there has been no increase
in the rate of sea level rise
in the past one to two centuries link Please note that some stations show a reduction
in sea level, this is due to the land rising.
You made reference way - up - thread @ 81 to a graph of Church & White
tidal gauge data presented
in a Rahmstorf video presentation, so it is more Church & White than Rahmstorf, but is it what you mean?
Firstly, the Australian National
Tidal Facility (which installed and monitored the tide
gauges starting
in 1991) used to be managed by Flinders University
in Adelaide — but the facility was transferred to the National
Tidal Centre run by the Bureau of Meteorology...
in 2003!