Not exact matches
The
density of the latewood
in a particular
tree ring reflects the August temperature that year.
«Both
tree ring width and
density data are used
in combination to extract the maximal climatic temperature signal.»
As Bradley points out,
tree growth, and hence the width and
density of
tree rings, depends on many factors, including the
tree species and age, the availability of stored food
in the
tree and nutrients
in the soil, the full range of climatic variables (sunshine, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, humidity); and their distribution throughout the year.
tree growth, and hence the width and
density of
tree rings, depends on many factors, including the
tree species and age, the availability of stored food
in the
tree and nutrients
in the soil, the full range of climatic variables (sunshine, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, humidity); and their distribution throughout the year.»
Does he really expect us to believe that
tree -
ring width and
tree -
ring density are «
in common units»?
Records of
tree -
ring characteristics such as their width (TRW) and
density (usually the maximum
density of the wood formed towards the end of the growing season — the «maximum latewood
density» — MXD) are widely used to infer past variations
in climate over recent centuries and even millennia.
You are incorrect on any number of issues —
tree ring width and
density proxies are not
in the same units and there is a lot of variation
in the amount of variance
in the N. American network.
An analysis using synthetic proxy data with spatial sampling
density and proxy signal - to - noise ratios equivalent to those of the D'Arrigo et al (2006)
tree -
ring network suggest that these discrepancies can not be explained
in terms of either the spatial sampling / extent or the intrinsic «noisiness» of the network of proxy records.
While
tree -
ring width
in some places stops correlating with temperature after 1950, possibly due to moisture stress or changes
in seasonality due to warming,
tree ring density at the site studied continues to track temperature.
We can see the original
tree -
ring density data
in the figure below, taken from Briffa 2000.
However, the decline
in tree -
ring density is not a hidden phenomena - it's been openly discussed
in the peer - reviewed literature since 1995 (Jacoby 1995) and was also discussed
in the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR) and Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).
To construct the green line, Jones took
tree -
ring density data from Annual climate variability
in the Holocene: interpreting the message of ancient
trees (Briffa 2000).
The decline actually refers to a decline
in tree -
ring density at certain high - latitude locations since 1960.
In this data set» printf, 1,» this «decline» has been artificially removed in an ad - hoc way, and» printf, 1,» this means that data after 1960 no longer represent tree - ring printf, 1,» density variations, but have been modified to look more like the printf, 1,» observed temperatures.&raqu
In this data set» printf, 1,» this «decline» has been artificially removed
in an ad - hoc way, and» printf, 1,» this means that data after 1960 no longer represent tree - ring printf, 1,» density variations, but have been modified to look more like the printf, 1,» observed temperatures.&raqu
in an ad - hoc way, and» printf, 1,» this means that data after 1960 no longer represent
tree -
ring printf, 1,»
density variations, but have been modified to look more like the printf, 1,» observed temperatures.»
printf, 1,» NOTE: recent decline
in tree -
ring density has been ARTIFICIALLY» printf, 1,» REMOVED to facilitate calibration.
The
tree -
ring density» printf, 1,» records tend to show a decline after 1960 relative to the summer» printf, 1,» temperature
in many high - latitude locations.
No one apparently understands exactly what causes
tree rings to increase or decrease
in width or
density.
One then looks for a discrete response
in tree rings: widths,
densities, perhaps cellulose / lignin ratios, perhaps 12C / 13C ratios, etc..
Up until the 1960s, there is a very close correlation between the
density of growth
rings in trees in northern latitudes and summer temperatures, but after this it starts to break down.
In the northern Boreal zone,
tree growth indicators (
ring width, maximum
density, annual height increment, minimum blue reflectance) suggest that growth during the 11th Century was almost as high as, and statistically indistinguishable from,
tree growth during the 20th Century.
«Potential bias
in «updating»
tree -
ring chronologies using regional curve standardisation: Re-processing 1500 years of Torneträsk
density and
ring - width data» by Thomas M Melvin, Håkan Grudd and Keith R Briffa
in the the journal «Holocene» http://hol.sagepub.com/content/early/2012/10/26/0959683612460791.abstract and https://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/10/28/manns-hockey-stick-disappears-and-crus-briffa-helps-make-the-mwp-live-again-by-pointing-out-bias-
in-ther-data/
Two sets of correlations are shown: one based only on the subfossil series and the other including the living
tree material whose precise elevations are not known and have been set here to a constant elevation of 250 m. None of the correlations is significant indicating that there is little evidence for an elevation influence on
ring density and hence little age - dependent bias
in the temperature reconstruction arising out of the differences
in sample heights shown
in Figure 4.»
Examples of this type of data include
tree ring width and
density measurements, fossilized plant remains, insect and pollen frequencies
in sediments, moraines and other glacial deposits, marine organism fossils, and the isotope ratios of various elements.
For the reconstruction discussed
in the emails (based on
tree ring width
in Briffa et al 1999) was superceded by a subsequent study (Briffa 2000, based on
tree -
ring density) as seen
in the final figure above.
Indeed, if the non-temperature signal that causes the decline
in tree -
ring density begins before 1960, then a short 1931 - 60 period might yield a more biased result than using a longer 1881 - 1960 period.
I think Ryan O's questions are similar to mine
in that we would like to know the accuracy and reproducibility of using
tree rings and
densities to measure temperatures.
You report that he states, «Both
tree ring width and
density data are used
in combination to extract the maximal climatic temperature.»
If temperature was the only factor
in tree rings (width or
density), the whole issue would be a lot simpler.
tree growth, and hence the width and
density of
tree rings, depends on many factors, including the
tree species and age, the availability of stored food
in the
tree and nutrients
in the soil, the full range of climatic variables (sunshine, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, humidity); and their distribution throughout the year.»
As Bradley points out,
tree growth, and hence the width and
density of
tree rings, depends on many factors, including the
tree species and age, the availability of stored food
in the
tree and nutrients
in the soil, the full range of climatic variables (sunshine, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, humidity); and their distribution throughout the year.
Tree - ring information is available only in terrestrial regions, so is not available over substantial regions of the globe, and the climate signals contained in tree - ring density or width data reflect a complex biological response to climate forc
Tree -
ring information is available only
in terrestrial regions, so is not available over substantial regions of the globe, and the climate signals contained
in tree - ring density or width data reflect a complex biological response to climate forc
tree -
ring density or width data reflect a complex biological response to climate forcing.
Most notably is McIntyre's use the phrase «hide the decline,» which he takes out - of - context to suggest a decline
in temperatures this century, when it is
in fact a reference to a decline
in tree -
ring density since 1961.
by «
tree ring density» I take it we are not dealing with
density in any normal sense, you know, like weight per unit volume.
As I recall, I even invited Tim Osborn
in the audience to add his own comments — but he had little to say] for the fact that * high latitude *, primarily * summer responsive *,
tree -
ring *
density * data have exhibited a noteable decline
in the past few decades
in the amplitude of their response to temperature variability.
And if you've got X number of factors (a, b, c, d,...)
in an equation (the full equation for the
tree -
ring widths or
densities), then try to assert that b (temperature) is the one that you can nail to a high precision as a cause,
in just such and such a linear correlation, you'd better be ready to back up your assertion with the exact reason why the other factors did not affect the linearity.
Mann didn't mention that Briffa and Osborn had deleted post-1960 values of their reconstruction nor did he suggest that Severinghaus consult Briffa's 1998 article
in which he had reported a noticeable decline
in both
tree ring density and widths
in the last half of the 20th century.
There is no possible mechanism for a change
in pH causing changes
in the levels of Zn / Cu
in wood and manifest themselves as changes
in «
tree ring density».
Tree Ring Data for Climate Reconstruction and Indication of Shifting Climate Regimes by Valerie Barber, Institute of Marine Science: «The three different parameters of the annual tree rings (width, density, and ð13C isotope concentration) measured in this study produce distinctly different climatic informat
Tree Ring Data for Climate Reconstruction and Indication of Shifting Climate Regimes by Valerie Barber, Institute of Marine Science: «The three different parameters of the annual
tree rings (width, density, and ð13C isotope concentration) measured in this study produce distinctly different climatic informat
tree rings (width,
density, and ð13C isotope concentration) measured
in this study produce distinctly different climatic information.
Why,
in principle, CA N'T early records of one or more types (say,
tree ring density, varve thickness, etc) be harmonized (I won't say «spliced», that would be a non-sensible thing to do) with later records of other types?
There is evidence, for example, that high latitude
tree -
ring density variations have changed
in their response to temperature
in recent decades, associated with possible nonclimatic factors (Briffa et al., 1998a).
«Why,
in principle, CA N'T early records of one or more types (say,
tree ring density, varve thickness, etc) be harmonized...»
This paper presents updated
tree -
ring width (TRW) and maximum
density (MXD) from Torneträsk
in northern Sweden, now covering the period ad 500 — 2004.
The difference
in sensor width (the direction of
tree -
ring growth) will have a greater effect than the difference
in length because the variation
in intra-
ring density is largest
in this direction.
For example, Schweingruber et al. (1993) showed that maximum
density values were strongly correlated with April - August mean temperature
in trees across the entire boreal forest, from Alaska to Labrador, whereas minimum and mean
density values and
ring widths had a much less consistent relationship with summer temperature at the sites sampled (D'Arrigo et al., 1992).
Instrumental temperatures (1871 - 1997) are
in black, circum - Arctic temperature proxies [1600 - 1990, from (2 — Overpeck)-RSB- are
in yellow, northern NH
tree -
ring densities [1550 - 1960, from (3 — Briffa et al 1998 (Nature); Briffa et al 1998 (Proc Roy Soc London)-RRB-, processed to retain low - frequency signals] are
in pale blue, NH temperature proxies [1000 - 1992, from (4 — Jones et al 1998)-RSB- are
in red, global climate proxies [1000 - 1980, from (5, 6 — MBH99)-RSB- are
in purple, and an average of three northern Eurasian
tree -
ring width chronologies [1 - 1993, from (10 — Briffa et al 2000)-RSB- is
in green.