More flooding, droughts and heat waves are expected
in a warming regime.
Then when the direction reverses
in the warm regime, the cooling starts out slowly and then speeds up when it enters the cooler regime.
The question is: now that we are already
in a warm regime, could something like this happen again, to push us even hotter?
Not exact matches
The
warm words exchanged Friday night
in the U.S. masked underlying tensions between Beijing and Washington over how to deal with the errant
regime in Pyongyang.
«At 1.5 degrees Celsius, half of the time we stay within our current summer sea ice
regime whereas if we reach 2 degrees of
warming, the summer sea ice area will always be below what we have experienced
in recent decades.»
If it is permanent, «it is logical to suggest that the winds and ocean currents change accordingly and switch us into a new
regime where heat is not buried so deeply, and we jump to the next level
in global
warming,» Trenberth said.
As many see the Trump
regime abandoning U.S. leadership
in the fight to restrain global
warming, China seems willing to step up, at least
in rhetoric.
Naturally occurring interannual and multidecadal shifts
in regional ocean
regimes such as the Pacific El Niño - Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, for example, are bimodal oscillations that cycle between phases of
warmer and cooler sea surface temperatures.
In this new regime, with a complete absence of sea ice and snow in the Northern Hemisphere, with rapid warming of the arctic region due to increased solar absorption, a jump in regional temps will occu
In this new
regime, with a complete absence of sea ice and snow
in the Northern Hemisphere, with rapid warming of the arctic region due to increased solar absorption, a jump in regional temps will occu
in the Northern Hemisphere, with rapid
warming of the arctic region due to increased solar absorption, a jump
in regional temps will occu
in regional temps will occur.
Direct effects of climate change on trees and forests, such as
warmer, wetter conditions improving forest productivity or
warmer, drier conditions increasing tree mortality, will be secondary to the impacts of altered forest disturbance
regimes, such as changes
in forest fire behavior and area burned.
Granted, that seems pretty obvious for tundras or boreal forests — they're rapidly
warming, and life
in these places has evolved
in a much colder
regime than the one we're now entering.
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We may average over cool (1944 - 1976) and
warm (1977 - 1998)
regimes and assume that the increase
in temperature is entirely anthropogenic.
There are multidecadal
regimes — 20 to 40 years
in the proxy records — that
in the 20th century shifted from
warmer to cooler to
warmer again.
It is whether the earth's Northern Hempishere climate will shift into a new
regime and whether repeated
warmer summers
in the Aractic are freeing up more CO2 and methane from the melting permafrost.
In climate change experiments with our LES framework, the Cu regime shows a modest positive shortwave feedback under warming, while the Sc and Sc - over-Cu regimes both show strong but state - dependent positive shortwave feedbacks, with a possible break - up of Sc layers in very warm climate
In climate change experiments with our LES framework, the Cu
regime shows a modest positive shortwave feedback under
warming, while the Sc and Sc - over-Cu
regimes both show strong but state - dependent positive shortwave feedbacks, with a possible break - up of Sc layers
in very warm climate
in very
warm climates.
The large
warming trend during the period is due to a
regime shift
in around 1988, which accounted for about 51 % of the regional
warming.
They reported that «no catastrophic hurricane of category 4 or 5 intensity has made landfall
in the Western Lake [northern Florida] area during the last 130 year documentary record» but «If future climatic changes, whether or not related to the anticipated greenhouse
warming, lead to a return of a «hyperactive» hurricane
regime characteristic of the first millennium A.D., then the northeastern Gulf Coast is expected to experience a dramatic increase
in the frequency of strikes by catastrophic hurricanes.»
Anthropogenic
warming in the post — war period was 0.4 degrees K. 1944 to 1998 including both the mid century cool and the late century
warm Pacific Ocean
regimes — as seen
in surface temperature records.
The strength of the Icelandic Low is the critical factor
in determining path of the polar jet stream over the North Atlantic In the winter the IL is located at SW of Greenland (Subpolar Gyre) In summer the IL is to be found much further north (most likely the North Icelandic Jet, formed by complex physical interactions between warm and cold currents) These two run under two different regimes and two clocks (see the CET synthesis from 3 harmonics, one for each summer and winter, and one common — see the above link, bottom graph
in determining path of the polar jet stream over the North Atlantic
In the winter the IL is located at SW of Greenland (Subpolar Gyre) In summer the IL is to be found much further north (most likely the North Icelandic Jet, formed by complex physical interactions between warm and cold currents) These two run under two different regimes and two clocks (see the CET synthesis from 3 harmonics, one for each summer and winter, and one common — see the above link, bottom graph
In the winter the IL is located at SW of Greenland (Subpolar Gyre)
In summer the IL is to be found much further north (most likely the North Icelandic Jet, formed by complex physical interactions between warm and cold currents) These two run under two different regimes and two clocks (see the CET synthesis from 3 harmonics, one for each summer and winter, and one common — see the above link, bottom graph
In summer the IL is to be found much further north (most likely the North Icelandic Jet, formed by complex physical interactions between
warm and cold currents) These two run under two different
regimes and two clocks (see the CET synthesis from 3 harmonics, one for each summer and winter, and one common — see the above link, bottom graph).
As their «science» continues to be exposed and discredited by genuine scientists and astute researchers, we can expect their noisy chorus to get even noisier,
in a desperate attempt to push through a new UN climate
regime in Paris — before taxpayers completely pull the plug on their global -
warming gravy train.
If the ocean is a bit
warmer, the new circulation
regime starts earlier
in the morning, and cuts down the total daily
warming.
The 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), formalized at a conference
in Rio de Janeiro, was
in effect a treaty to create treaties, an effort to create an international
regime that would supposedly deal with the threat of Global
Warming.
Anthropogenic
warming in the post — war period was some 0.4 degrees K. 1944 and 1998 being the peaks of 2 successive 20 to 30 year
warm Pacific Ocean
regimes — as seen
in both sea surface and surface temperature records.
Prior to 1900 it was dominated by La Nina —
in the early part of the 20th there was a
warm Pacific, from 1944 to 1976 a cool
regime, from 1977 to 1998
warm again and a coolish
regime since.
In other words, do Warmista simply ignore the warming from visible sunlight and, for that reason, ignore the changes in surface warming that Willis describes in his several regime
In other words, do Warmista simply ignore the
warming from visible sunlight and, for that reason, ignore the changes
in surface warming that Willis describes in his several regime
in surface
warming that Willis describes
in his several regime
in his several
regimes?
Anthropogenic
warming in the post — war period was some 0.4 degrees K — 1944 and 1998 being the peaks of 2 successive 20 to 30 year Pacific Ocean
regimes — as seen
in surface temperature records.
AT: Right now we would say that the rapid
warming in the 80s and 90s has stopped and we are entering a cooler
regime.»
That is especially important now, with the United Nations convening its member governments and dictators
in New York to map out new taxes and a global «climate»
regime to impose on humanity under the guise of fighting
warming.
«A rather abrupt change
in the El Niño — Southern Oscillation behavior occurred around 1976/77 and the new
regime has persisted... However, it is unclear as to whether this apparent change
in the ENSO cycle is caused by global
warming.»
Since the mid 1990's the PDO has not established a new
warm or cold
regime, the result large variations
in accumulation.
«Our study is the first to point out that the lack of a latitudinal temperature gradient within the tropics has a serious consequence for small - ranged tropical species: many would have to shift thousands of kilometres north or south to maintain their current climatic
regime in a
warming climate.»
The rapid retreat of Jakobshavn between 1920 and 1940, as well as
in the 1990s, corresponds to North Atlantic
regime shifts during which
warm waters from the Atlantic were pushed into the Arctic.
In short, Swanson and Tsonis hypothesized that when various natural oceanic cycles (PDO, AMO, etc.) synchronize (i.e. in their positive or negative phases), they can cause a short - term warming or cooling which could be described as a «climate regime shift.&raqu
In short, Swanson and Tsonis hypothesized that when various natural oceanic cycles (PDO, AMO, etc.) synchronize (i.e.
in their positive or negative phases), they can cause a short - term warming or cooling which could be described as a «climate regime shift.&raqu
in their positive or negative phases), they can cause a short - term
warming or cooling which could be described as a «climate
regime shift.»
We can sample the two
regimes we know most about — mid 20th century cooling and late century
warming — and may or may not attribute the difference to greenhouse gases
in the period that they started to grow strongly.
If
warming continues, and snow increases during winters, locking up more moisture regionally until spring or summer floods release the reservoir with more energy and intensity
in those snow - pack zones (while former recipients of rain go wanting
in drought) than
in prior
regimes?
For example, mechanisms evaluated
in this work revealed a cooling trend
in Eurasia due to forest loss
in western North America; this finding, however, contrasts with evidence of a
warming trend
in the Northern Hemisphere high latitudes with increased CO2 concentrations [45] that result
in shifts
in boreal forest range and disturbance
regime [46].
Recent work (e.g., Hurrell 1995, 1996; Thompson and Wallace 1998; Corti et al., 1999) has suggested that the observed
warming over the last few decades may be manifest as a change
in frequency of these naturally preferred patterns (Chapters 2 and 7) and there is now considerable interest
in testing the ability of climate models to simulate such weather
regimes (Chapter 8) and to see whether the greenhouse gas forced runs suggest shifts
in the residence time or transitions between such
regimes on long time - scales.
One of his major research interests is to understand feedbacks to atmospheric CO2 from
warming temperature, thawing permafrost, and changing fire
regimes in high latitudes ecosystems.
Let's hope «the pause»
in global
warming does not last much longer since it unfortunately seems to project a cooling
regime over the U.S.
Stenchikov et al. (2006) showed that models have difficulty
in capturing the regional response of the climate system (ao) to Volcanic singularities specifically the temperature
regime in eurasia
in the Giss model, or
in retrodiction ie the Krakatoa problem why was it so
warm, thus there is no uniqueness theorem for volcanics.
Assessment of boreal forest historical C dynamics
in the Yukon River Basin: Relative roles of
warming and fire
regime change
Yuan, F. — M., S. - H. Yi, A. D. McGuire, K. D. Johnson, J. Liang, J. W. Harden, E. S. Kasischke, and W. A. Kurz, 2012: Assessment of boreal forest historical C dynamics
in the Yukon River Basin: Relative roles of
warming and fire
regime change.
«At 1.5 °C half the time we stay within our current summer sea ice
regime, whereas if we reach two degrees of
warming, the summer sea ice will always be below what we have experienced
in recent decades.»
We found that corals historically exposed to lower thermal variability were more severely affected by thermal stress
in both 2004 and 2009, indicating that reefs experiencing more naturally variable temperature
regimes may be more resistant to future
warming.
In 1910, the synchronisation was followed by a
warmer regime and several decades of
warming.
The climate is possibly now
in a
regime of very rapid
warming.
The last 2 complete
warm and cool
regimes were from 1944 to 1998 — covering the period of most of the increase
in CO2
in the atmosphere.
The 1850 - 2000 period was when the sun emerged from the Dalton Solar Minimum and displayed a steady 11 year sunspot active cycle with peaks and lulls which kept the climate relatively
warm since the Dalton, and
in the same climatic
regime.
Back
in the old days, before the land temperature records were subjected to bouts of data diddling to conceal the awful truth, one could scrutinise the graphs back to 1850 and clearly see the alternate
warmer / cooler
regimes in roughly 30 - year cycles that even the dullest brain could imagine was a manifestation of natural cycles.