The petition reads in part: «Studies of a variety of natural processes,
including ocean cycles and solar variability, indicate that they can account for variations in the Earth's climate on the time scale of decades and centuries.
Not exact matches
There are more, however,
including the amount of sunlight an ice sheet is able to reflect; the larger an ice sheet, the more sunlight is reflected, but the smaller an ice sheet, the more
ocean there is surrounding the ice sheet to absorb the sunlight which in turn heats up the surrounding waters increasing the melt which decreases the size of the ice sheet which in turn... and so goes the
cycle.
It
includes the ecological
cycles that maintain the composition of the atmosphere and the
oceans and those that are responsible for the degradation of wastes.
When
ocean cycle shifts, globe is likely to warm up When climate models were run that
included the stronger winds, they were able to reproduce the slowdown in surface temperatures.
The others
include: climate change, biodiversity loss, nutrient
cycles,
ocean acidification and freshwater use, among others.
In a new study recently published in the journal Global Biogeochemical
Cycles, scientists of Kiel University (CAU) with colleagues from GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for
Ocean Research Kiel and international partners from the USA, New Zealand, and Great Britain studied marine benthic shell - forming organisms around the world in relation to the chemical conditions they currently experience — with a surprising result: 24 percent, almost a quarter of the analyzed species,
including sea urchins, sea stars, coralline algae or snails, already live in seawater unfavorable to the maintenance of their calcareous skeletons and shells (a condition referred to as CaCO3 - undersaturation).
«(C) the carbon
cycle,
including impacts related to the thawing of permafrost, the frequency and intensity of wildfire, and terrestrial and
ocean carbon sinks;
Natural factors contributing to past climate change are well documented and
include changes in atmospheric chemistry,
ocean circulation patterns, solar radiation intensity, snow and ice cover, Earth's orbital
cycle around the sun, continental position, and volcanic eruptions.
The consensus is that several factors are important: atmospheric composition (the concentrations of carbon dioxide, methane); changes in the Earth's orbit around the Sun known as Milankovitch
cycles (and possibly the Sun's orbit around the galaxy); the motion of tectonic plates resulting in changes in the relative location and amount of continental and oceanic crust on the Earth's surface, which could affect wind and
ocean currents; variations in solar output; the orbital dynamics of the Earth - Moon system; and the impact of relatively large meteorites, and volcanism
including eruptions of supervolcanoes.
The words
included in the vocabulary booklets are: condensation, evaporation, freshwater, lake, natural resource,
ocean, precipitation, saltwater, stream, system, water, and water
cycle.
includes features of the
ocean, the carbon
cycle, the water
cycle, how we use the
ocean and how we harm it.
Facilities
include full kitchen and laundry facilties, Balinese decor, balcony, reverse
cycle air conditioning and
ocean views.
This adventure resort offers daily guided expeditions and treks in the
ocean, on the beach, around the town, and deep into the tropical jungle, letting guests learn about and explore the island while
cycling, snorkeling, horseback riding, kayaking, hiking and driving dune - buggies - all
included in the room rate.
Original celebrity interviews
include TV presenter and explorer Simon Reeve, who describes his recent adventures around the Indian
Ocean for the BBC; renowned fashion designer Dato Professor Jimmy Choo, OBE, who talks about growing up in Malaysia and the best places to eat and shop; and TV presenter, Fern Britton, who is saddling up for a charity
cycle ride through Sri Lanka.
Features
include: · 3 bedrooms upstairs (2 with Queen beds & 1 with 2 double bunks); · 2 bedrooms downstairs (1 with Queen bed and 1 with 2 single beds and trundle); · Linen
included for all beds; · Open plan living with
ocean views; · Bathrooms - Upstairs main (with bath) and ensuite plus a bathroom downstairs; · Microwave, dishwasher; · Stainless Steel appliances oven and gas cook top; · Reverse
cycle air conditioning; · TV with DVD and CD player upstairs, TV with video downstairs; · Telephone for incoming and local calls; · Washing machine and dryer; · Gas barbecue on enormous balcony;
· Newly opened resort · Serviced hotel rooms, 1 and 2 bedroom suites, many with
ocean views · 1 and 2 bedroom suites
include a fully equipped kitchen: dishwasher, stovetop / oven, microwave, refrigerator, toaster, coffee / tea making facilities, cookware, tableware · Conference facilities accommodate up to 300 in theatre seating · Private boardroom accommodates 15 persons · Lagoon swimming pool · Barbecue grills, walking and
cycling paths · Salt Village Centre opening in September 2005 with shops, restaurants, and the Golden Door Spa.
With a social media following of 50K +, their main areas of focus
include river and
ocean cruising, sailing and boating, luxury beach resorts, gourmet dining, cooking trips, wine, beer and spirit experiences,
cycling and soft - adventures in the great outdoors.
Proposed explanations for the discrepancy
include ocean — atmosphere coupling that is too weak in models, insufficient energy cascades from smaller to larger spatial and temporal scales, or that global climate models do not consider slow climate feedbacks related to the carbon
cycle or interactions between ice sheets and climate.
The periods considered were mainly the Pleistocene ice age
cycles, the LGM and the Pliocene, but Paul Valdes provided some interesting modeling that also
included the Oligocene, the Turonian, the Maastrichtian and Eocene, indicating the importance of the base continental configuration, ice sheet position, and
ocean circulation for sensitivity.
I wonder, given the recent news about the various ways plankton actively affect the
oceans,
including churning the upper 100 meters, if any of the
cycles could reflect big changes in which species predominate over time.
Other fossil - fuel replacements occasionally touted in print or on the Web
include nuclear fission, subcritical thorium fission, high - altitude wind power, enhanced geothermal, hot dry (or hot fractured) rock geothermal, wave power, tidal power, open -
cycle ocean thermal energy conversion, and advanced biorefinery products like 2,5 - dimethylfuran, various other furans and furfurals.
The model may be right over the full 131 year period, but in this case doesn't reflect natural
cycles including El Nino and longer
cycles (as is the case for
ocean warming, where models — significantly — don't reflect any
cycle with a length between 10 - 100 years).
These
include shellfish, snails, starfish, sea urchins and some sea worms that play an important part in
cycling minerals in the
ocean mud.
Examples of less certain science
include understanding the effects of climate change on extreme weather in different regions, the role the deep
ocean plays in the climate
cycle and the rate at which sea level will rise over the next century.
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which
include the global mean surface temperature, the land -
ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual
cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
Limited validations for the results
include comparisons of 1) the PERSIANN - derived diurnal
cycle of rainfall at Rondonia, Brazil, with that derived from the Tropical
Ocean Global Atmosphere Coupled Oceanï ¿ 1/2 Atmosphere Response Experiment (TOGA COARE) radar data; 2) the PERSIANN diurnal
cycle of rainfall over the western Pacific
Ocean with that derived from the data of the optical rain gauges mounted on the TOGA - moored buoys; and 3) the monthly accumulations of rainfall samples from the orbital TMI and PR surface rainfall with the accumulations of concurrent PERSIANN estimates.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage
including the fact that
oceans are now warmer, and regional
ocean circulation
cycles such as La Nina / El Nino patterns in the Pacific which affect upper atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate change.
Likely impacts
include large - scale disintegration of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice - sheet; the extinction of an estimated 15 — 40 per cent of plant and animal species; dangerous
ocean acidification; increasing methane release; substantial soil and
ocean carbon -
cycle feedbacks; and widespread drought and desertification in Africa, Australia, Mediterranean Europe, and the western USA.
Recalling the concern reflected in the outcome document of the United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development, entitled «The future we want», 1 that the health of
oceans and marine biodiversity are negatively affected by marine pollution,
including marine debris, especially plastic, persistent organic pollutants, heavy metals and nitrogen - based compounds, from numerous marine and land - based sources, and the commitment to take action to significantly reduce the incidence and impacts of such pollution on marine ecosystems, Noting the international action being taken to promote the sound management of chemicals throughout their life
cycle and waste in ways that lead to the prevention and minimization of significant adverse effects on human health and the environment, Recalling the Manila Declaration on Furthering the Implementation of the Global Programme of Action for the Protection of the Marine Environment from Land - based Activities adopted by the Third Intergovernmental Review Meeting on the Implementation of the Global Programme of Action for the Protection of the Marine Environment from Land - based Activities, which highlighted the relevance of the Honolulu Strategy and the Honolulu Commitment and recommended the establishment of a global partnership on marine litter, Taking note of the decisions adopted by the eleventh Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity on addressing the impacts of marine debris on marine and coastal biodiversity, Recalling that the General Assembly declared 2014 the International Year of Small Island Developing States and that such States have identified waste management among their priorities for action, Noting with concern the serious impact which marine litter,
including plastics stemming from land and sea - based sources, can have on the marine environment, marine ecosystem services, marine natural resources, fisheries, tourism and the economy, as well as the potential risks to human health; 1.
After reading «Landscapes and
Cycles: an Environmentalist's Journey to Climate Skepticism», I am convinced that Jim Steele's view of climate change caused by multiple factors, including naturally occurring cycles between warmth and cold in the world's oceans and changes in land use on a local scale, are a much more realistic explanation than the prevailing hypot
Cycles: an Environmentalist's Journey to Climate Skepticism», I am convinced that Jim Steele's view of climate change caused by multiple factors,
including naturally occurring
cycles between warmth and cold in the world's oceans and changes in land use on a local scale, are a much more realistic explanation than the prevailing hypot
cycles between warmth and cold in the world's
oceans and changes in land use on a local scale, are a much more realistic explanation than the prevailing hypothesis.
Personally I think that recent research (
including several studies discussed in the above post, published after the IPCC AR5 cutoff date) make a strong case that internal variability (
ocean cycles) are responsible for more of the slowdown in surface warming than changes in external forcings, but there's not a consensus about that yet.
«(C) the carbon
cycle,
including impacts related to the thawing of permafrost, the frequency and intensity of wildfire, and terrestrial and
ocean carbon sinks;
That
includes triple points of La Nina, volcano - influences, peak soot - influences and the lowest points in
ocean cycles.
This
includes maintaining the Argo array, continuing salinity satellite missions, and, especially, expanding satellite constellations to observe the entire global hydrological
cycle,
including processes over the
ocean, in the cryosphere, on land, and in the atmosphere.
Natural variations in climate
include the effects of
cycles such as El Niño, La Niña and other
ocean cycles; the 11 - year sunspot
cycle and other changes in energy from the sun; and the effects of volcanic eruptions.
But the «big climate picture»
includes ocean feedbacks on all time scales, carbon and other elemental
cycles, etc. and it has to be several decades before that is sorted out I would think.
If you
included Polar Ice
Cycles in your climate models and
included more snowfall when polar
oceans are thawed and
included less snowfall when polar
oceans are frozen, the models would work much better.
I was thinking about how to
include what little we do know about atmospheric and
ocean cycles into the models.
If and when you can provide data or references to document your claims, or if you were to point me to those data or references — data and references that would help illustrate and document my posts, (which are about the multiyear aftereffects of ENSO events on global SST and TLT anomalies, and about the discharge / recharge aspects of ENSO, and about the impacts of ENSO, NAO, NPI, AMO on OHC, not the PDO, not what initiates ENSO events, not millennial
ocean cycles, etc.)-- I would be happy to
include it.
Ocean cycles are not
included here because they are a response to a forcing, and not a forcing themselves.
Although there is very little trend in the OHC in the subpolar North Atlantic where the salinity induced vacillation
cycle dominates, there is a linear OHC trend equatorward of 45 ° N and ° S in the Atlantic basin (
including the Southern
Ocean)(fig.
Possible explanations advanced for the slowdown
include the effect of small volcanic eruptions, the absorption of extra heat by the oceanic depths and the juxtaposition of two natural
ocean cycles.
Consider the facts: the climate system is indicated to have left the natural
cycle path; multiple lines of evidence and studies from different fields all point to the human fingerprint on current climate change; the convergence of these evidence lines
include ice mass loss, pattern changes,
ocean acidification, plant and species migration, isotopic signature of CO2, changes in atmospheric composition, and many others.
Key uncertainties
include aspects of the roles played by clouds, the cryosphere, the
oceans, land use and couplings between climate and biogeochemical
cycles»
Aqua, Latin for water, is a NASA Earth Science satellite mission named for the large amount of information that the mission will be collecting about the Earth's water
cycle,
including evaporation from the
oceans, water vapor in the atmosphere, clouds, precipitation, soil moisture, sea ice, land ice, and snow cover on the land and ice.
However, the conditions predicted for the open
ocean may not reflect the future conditions in the coastal zone, where many of these organisms live (Hendriks et al. 2010a, b; Hofmann et al. 2011; Kelly and Hofmann 2012), and results derived from changes in pH in coastal ecosystems often
include processes other than OA, such as emissions from volcanic vents, eutrophication, upwelling and long - term changes in the geological
cycle of CO2, which commonly involve simultaneous changes in other key factors affecting the performance of calcifiers, thereby confounding the response expected from OA by anthropogenic CO2 alone.
Moreover,
ocean models (Barnett e.a. 2005) significantly differ from reality for any oscillation between 10 - 60 years (see fig S1 in the supplement — that
includes the 11 and 22 year solar
cycles).
Although rising temperatures are an underlying factor, glaciologists find a complex
cycle at work: A warming Pacific
Ocean has created disruptive El Nino climate periods more frequently and powerfully, reducing precipitation,
including snows to replenish glaciers.
Called ModelE, it provides the ability to simulate many different configurations of Earth System Models —
including interactive atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, carbon
cycle and other tracers, as well as the standard atmosphere,
ocean, sea ice and land surface components.
Ken Caldeira has been a Carnegie investigator since 2005 and is world renowned for his modeling and other work on the global carbon
cycle; marine biogeochemistry and chemical oceanography,
including ocean acidification and the atmosphere /
ocean carbon
cycle; land - cover and climate change; the long - term evolution of climate and geochemical
cycles; climate intervention proposals; and energy technology.