Dr. Pielke ends his comment with a call for «independent assessments of the skill at these models at predicting climate metrics
including upper ocean heat content», which of course I have no problem with at all.
I don't need an assessment of the models at predicting climate metrics
including upper ocean heat content.
Not exact matches
In reality, earth science goes far beyond direct climate change research — and
includes everything from the health of
oceans to the threat of devastating solar storms in the
upper atmosphere.
The team, which
includes Professor Baldwin, will lead innovative new research, which aims to advance current understanding of three key conditions that influence seasonal weather across the continent — the North Atlantic
upper -
ocean heat content, Arctic sea - ice, and the stratosphere.
V: A lot of biology that was not known before,
including the biology of the
upper oceans, seems to be driven by capturing energy directly from the sun.
A team of scientists led by researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory modified the current formula to calculate Potential Intensity by
including the effects of
upper -
ocean mixing, sea - surface cooling, and salinity during a cyclone.
The authors note that more than 85 % of the global heat uptake (Q) has gone into the
oceans,
including increasing the heat content of the deeper
oceans, although their model only accounts for the
upper 700 meters.
The
upper deck offers a large heated pool and sundeck with lounge chairs in the back, while the front
includes comfortable furnishings to take in
ocean and island views.
Two bedrooms on the
upper level feature an
ocean view lanai and the master suite
includes jetted tub with a private outdoor staircase leading to the pool.
Designed for the spectacular, there are four guest bedrooms
including the
upper level master suite with its private and sunny
ocean view lanai.
Each of these spacious and luxurious
ocean front casitas (1,206 sq feet / 112 sq meter
including balcony and terrace in
upper floor) features a private rooftop terrace with plunge pool, a king - bedded master bedroom and stunning views of the Caribbean Sea.
The ground level cottage
includes a patio braai area while the
upper deck cottage allows guests to enjoy the magnificent
ocean view and fresh sea breeze.
With three bedrooms,
including an
upper - floor master suite with
ocean views, Bayu Gita Residence is large enough to offer space and privacy for small groups and families, but is also intimate and secluded enough to be a romantic honeymoon hideaway.
- 1 x Medical and nutritional consultaion - 2 x Personal training - 1 x Polynesia body treatment - 1 x Cold marine body ritual - 1 x Facial prodige des
oceans - 1 x St. Barth harmony massage - 3 x Entry to the thalassotherapy pool, hamam, sauna - Complimentary wellness / fitness evaluation - Complimentary attendance to group classes,
including yogalates, fit ball, Thalasso kinetics, Pilates, athletic sessions, Body Pump, balance training, flow stretching, hips and abs,
upper body & power yoga (subject to change)- Complimentary access to fitness facilities and hydro facilities,
including indoor swimming pool, relaxation room, hamam & sauna
- 1 x Rejuvenation consultation with nutritionist - 1 × St. Barth head & foot relaxing massage - 2 × Hydro bath with essential oils - 1 × Relaxing massage with essential oils - 1 × Shower affusion relaxing - 1 × St Barth elasticity body mask - 1 × St.Barth softness massage - 1 × Thalgo prodige de
ocean - 1 x Thalgo beauty flash facial - 5 x Personal training gym sessions - Daily entrance to the thalassotherapy pool, hamam, sauna - Rejuvenation consultation with nutritionist - Complimentary wellness / fitness evaluation - Complimentary attendance to group classes,
including yogalates, fit ball, Thalasso kinetics, Pilates, athletic sessions, Body Pump, balance training, flow stretching, hips and abs,
upper body & power yoga (subject to change)- Complimentary access to fitness facilities and hydro facilities,
including indoor swimming pool, relaxation room, hamam & sauna
Following are the amenities guests can enjoy at this private yet reasonably priced holiday home — spacious 3 bedroom 3 bath holiday villa rental sleeps 6 - 7 central air - conditioning, ceiling fans & individual air - in two guestrooms master bedroom, pool and
ocean view and ensuite bath large master bathroom, twin basins, two headed shower, separate jetted jacuzzi tub and glass ceiling with monkey views, large infinity pool with in pool bar, underwater sound system, computerized mood lighting, swim - in Jacuzzi poolside home theater with projector, WII, outdoor projector screen (dry season), flat screen TV / DVD and stereo system, poolside terrace with lounges and Vermont castings BBQ with side grills, 4 decks
including 2 private bedroom decks and 2 common decks with electronic massage chair and massage table (private masseuse available upon request), beautiful tropical gardens with spectacular views of the Pacific and Santa Teresa Surf Break, January whale watching rooftop lounge
upper guest bedroom.
As you relax under the enormous alang - alang roof of the
upper, outdoor living / dining pavilion, which
includes a draped bale bengong and a breathtaking 12m infinity sky pool, all that separates you from the crashing waves is the 13th hole fairway winding along the
ocean cliffs.
C is the more immediately accessible heat capacity of the near - surface climate system,
including (largely made from) some
upper portion of the
ocean
I wonder, given the recent news about the various ways plankton actively affect the
oceans,
including churning the
upper 100 meters, if any of the cycles could reflect big changes in which species predominate over time.
Thus, some heat gets converted to kinetic energy, but that gets converted back to heat, either by viscosity or by thermally - indirect circulations that produce APE while pulling heat downward in the process (LHSO: Ferrel cell (driven by extratropical storm track activity), Planetary - scale overturning in the stratosphere and mesosphere (
includes Brewer - Dobson circulation (I'm not sure if the whole thing is the Brewer - Dobson circulation or if only part of it is)-RRB-, some motions in the
ocean; LVO: wind driven mixing of the boundary layer and of the
upper ocean (though mixing itself tends to destroy the APE that the kinetic energy would create by forcing heat downward)-RRB-.
But they raise a long series of problems
including the fact that major ice melt events do not seem to have occurred at the «right» times, that fresh water comes in at the edges mainly, not in the middle of the
ocean, and that the models do not properly represent the physics of the
upper ocean.
The changes
include changes in wind patterns — so those are going to change how, where, and when and how much changes about how the
upper ocean waves mix surface water.
(2)
upper ocean physical responses,
including stratification and turbulent mixing that result in
(1) forcing of the
upper ocean physical condition through the input of solar radiation,
including light, heat, and indirectly momentum at the
ocean surface;
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage
including the fact that
oceans are now warmer, and regional
ocean circulation cycles such as La Nina / El Nino patterns in the Pacific which affect
upper atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate change.
(The equilibrium referred to is that of the
ocean — it doesn't
include very slow changes in polar ice sheets, etc.) Obviously, the
upper tail of the estimated distribution for S is important, not just its central value.
DK12 used
ocean heat content (OHC) data for the
upper 700 meters of
oceans to draw three main conclusions: 1) that the rate of OHC increase has slowed in recent years (the very short timeframe of 2002 to 2008), 2) that this is evidence for periods of «climate shifts», and 3) that the recent OHC data indicate that the net climate feedback is negative, which would mean that climate sensitivity (the total amount of global warming in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels,
including feedbacks) is low.
The major climate system indices that are operationally used at ICPAC
include evolution of monsoons, medium and
upper level winds, Madden - Julian Oscillation (MJO), Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO), El Niño Southern Oscillation, Indian
Ocean dipole (IOD), tropical cyclones, sea surface temperature gradients among many others that have been derived from general circulation.
These indicators
include greenhouse gas concentrations, temperature of the lower and
upper atmosphere, cloud cover, sea surface temperature, sea - level rise,
ocean salinity, sea ice extent and snow cover.
In the case of the
upper water in most
oceans including the North Atlantic inflow, that temperature is increasing on the same decadal time scales as this ice loss.
And they have been used to make a variety of predictions —
including for example that with an enhanced greenhouse effect the
upper stratosphere will cool while the troposphere warms, that nights will warm more rapidly than days, and more generally the Hadley Cells and dry subtropics will expand, the continental interiors dry out, storm tracks move northward, the tropopause rise, changes in
ocean circulation.
Key environmental information
includes air temperatures and
ocean temperatures in the
upper kilometer of the
ocean, sea ice, and related oceanic properties.
Scientific confidence of the occurrence of climate change
include, for example, that over at least the last 50 years there have been increases in the atmospheric concentration of CO2; increased nitrogen and soot (black carbon) deposition; changes in the surface heat and moisture fluxes over land; increases in lower tropospheric and
upper ocean temperatures and
ocean heat content; the elevation of sea level; and a large decrease in summer Arctic sea ice coverage and a modest increase in Antarctic sea ice coverage.
However, it must be borne in mind that the MOC can also
include shallower, wind - driven overturning cells such as occur in the
upper ocean in the tropics and subtropics, in which warm (light) waters moving poleward are transformed to slightly denser waters and subducted equatorward at deeper levels.