Any loss of permafrost would
increase atmospheric emissions of carbon dioxide and methane, fuelling further warming.
Not exact matches
This implies that risks are not too big or overarching (like resource scarcity, rising levels of
atmospheric CO2, or global warming) but are more focused e.g. extreme weather,
increased greenhouse gas
emissions from agriculture or from energy use, or a lack of fresh water.
Located near Metro Center at 1200 New York Avenue, N.W., with a primary entrance at 12th and H Streets, N.W., the AAAS building was originally designed to help reduce environmentally harmful
atmospheric emissions,
increase energy efficiency, and promote good health and comfort for employees.
Record
emissions of carbon dioxide mean
atmospheric concentrations have reached levels that lead to the highest temperature
increases
Certainly, the only way to stop the massive
increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide is to impose a charge, either on
emissions or fuel, and to allow competition to provide the cheapest alternative.
During the early 2000s, environmental scientists studying methane
emissions noticed something unexpected: the global concentrations of
atmospheric methane (CH4)-- which had
increased for decades, driven by methane
emissions from fossil fuels and agriculture — inexplicably leveled off.
Elevated mercury
emissions also coincided with previously established
increases in
atmospheric CO2 concentrations, indicating CO2 release from volcanic degassing.
However, as the
atmospheric CO2 rises — due to the almost exponential
increase in
emissions from industrial sources — the influence of solar variability on the Earth's climate will most likely decrease, and its relative contribution will be far surpassed by «greenhouse» gases.
As
emissions from human activities
increase atmospheric carbon dioxide, they, in turn, are modifying the chemical structure of global waters, making them more acidic.
A new analysis using changes in cloud cover over the tropical Indo - Pacific Ocean showed that a weakening of a major
atmospheric circulation system over the last century is due, in part, to
increased greenhouse gas
emissions.
In a study published today in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, a team led by
atmospheric scientists Logan Mitchell and John Lin report that suburban sprawl
increases CO2
emissions more than similar population growth in a developed urban core.
Here we show how a factor of three uncertainty in climate sensitivity introduces even greater uncertainty in allowable
increases in
atmospheric CO2 concentration and allowable CO2
emissions.
The continued
increase in the
atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide due to anthropogenic
emissions is predicted to lead to significant changes in climate1.
If we continue
increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations with
emissions from the burning of coal, oil, and gas, the Earth will continue to get hotter.
Empirical data for the CO2 «airborne fraction», the ratio of observed
atmospheric CO2
increase divided by fossil fuel CO2
emissions, show that almost half of the
emissions is being taken up by surface (terrestrial and ocean) carbon reservoirs [187], despite a substantial but poorly measured contribution of anthropogenic land use (deforestation and agriculture) to airborne CO2 [179], [216].
They also suggest that the documented 30 %
increase in global primary productivity over the 20th century has likely enhanced uptake of
atmospheric mercury, thereby practically offsetting
increasing mercury
emissions.
Anthropogenic CO2
emissions are nearly twice as large as is necessary for the measured
increase in
atmospheric CO2.
• The methanetrack.org website has shown significant
increases in
atmospheric methane concentrations over Antarctica this austral winter (which I believe are due to
increases in methane
emissions from the Southern Ocean seafloor due to
increases in the temperature of bottom water temperatures), and if this trend continues, then the Southern Hemisphere could be a significant source of additional
atmospheric methane (this century).
It leaves only a fairly small amount of warming attributable to CO2
emissions and therefore indicates a low sensitivity to
increased atmospheric CO2.
Climate models suggest that human activities, specifically the
emission of
atmospheric greenhouse gases, may lead to
increases in the frequency of severe storms in certain regions of the Northern Hemisphere.
Thus about 43 % of the annual FF + cement
emissions of roughly 10Gt (C)
increase atmospheric CO2 by about 2ppm, to which should be added an
increase due to
emissions from Land Use Change.
As NOAA's Mauna Loa measurement of
atmospheric methane concentrations are only currently
increasing at a rate of approximately 0.25 % per year (or 12.5 % change in 50 - years); how could anyone be concerned that the change in
atmospheric methane burden in 50 - years could be 300 % (as per Isaken et al (2011) case 4XCH4; which would require an additional 0.80 GtCH4 / yr of methane
emissions on top of the current rate of methane
emissions of 0.54 GtCH4 / yr)?
2011) of the present
atmospheric methane burden by 2100, or a 50 %
increase fifty years primarily due to
increase emissions from marshlands and conventional anthropogenic sources.
Ed Dlugokencky of NOAA, who confirmed a couple of weeks ago that recent
increases in
atmospheric methane were continuing, tells me that the
emissions estimates are reasonable, but that the global data is not yet consistent with a large and growing source of Arctic methane....»
The IPCC Third Assessment Report's (TAR's) projections for methane
atmospheric concentrations, carbon dioxide
emissions and
atmospheric concentrations, and resultant temperature
increases constitute the greatest fraud in the history of environmental science.
It reiterated the principle of «common but differentiated responsibilities» — which notes the historical responsibility of industrialized («Annex I») countries for virtually all
emissions leading to the
increase in the global
atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gasses.
A new study by Stanford University
atmospheric scientist Mark Jacobson has revealed that worsening air pollution and higher carbon dioxide
emissions go hand - in - hand - the results suggest intensifying global warming will
increase the number of smog - related deaths.
Thus, if the absorption of the infrared
emission from
atmospheric greenhouse gases reduces the gradient through the skin layer, the flow of heat from the ocean beneath will be reduced, leaving more of the heat introduced into the bulk of the upper oceanic layer by the absorption of sunlight to remain there to
increase water temperature.
With a lifetime of ~ 10 years, spreading
emissions over 30 - year period would of course reduce the peak
atmospheric burden (though CH4 lifetime would presumably
increase with higher CH4 concentration).
The fundamental flaw in the article is in inducing the reader to believe that it would require tripling the gross vegetative uptake of the entire planet to offset the net carbon
atmospheric increase, while using figures for the net vegetative uptake and the gross
emissions.
Future projections show that, for most scenarios assuming no additional GHG
emission reduction policies,
atmospheric concentrations of GHGs are expected to continue climbing for most if not all of the remainder of this century, with associated
increases in average temperature.
But I think it at least illustrates the point, which is that, while
emissions have indeed been on an accelerating curve, the
increase in
atmospheric concentration did indeed start back around the beginning of the 19th century — not in the 1950s.
Since this graph was prepared, anthropogenic
emissions and the
atmospheric CO2 content have
increased further, see Figs 4 and 5, but I like the simplicity of this graph.
Instead he was pointing to the trajectory of
increasing CO2
emissions that continue to add to
atmospheric concentrations.
Note also that there appears — already started — to be a likely
increase in drought frequency with
atmospheric warming and associated acceleration of the hydrologic cycle, assuming continued greenhouse gas
emissions.
To contend that rapidly rising temperature in the Arctic — both
atmospheric and seabed — do not currently pose a serious risk of
increased CH4
emissions this century is equally misleading.
It is misleading to refer to CO2
emissions that do not
increase atmospheric concentration by 100 percent of their value as «missing».
Climate alarm depends on several gloomy assumptions — about how fast
emissions will
increase, how fast
atmospheric concentrations will rise, how much global temperatures will rise, how warming will affect ice sheet dynamics and sea - level rise, how warming will affect weather patterns, how the latter will affect agriculture and other economic activities, and how all climate change impacts will affect public health and welfare.
Human
emissions equate to an
increase of 4.5 ppmv, yet
atmospheric CO2 only
increases on average by 2.2 ppmv.
If Mackay means by this that only a small amount of the ~ 39 %
increase in
atmospheric CO2 since «pre-industrial» times is directly attributable to human CO2
emissions, I'd say this sounds much too low (but I have not asked Mackay whether or not that is what he had in mind and, if so, what his basis is).
The 39 %
increase is in
atmospheric concentration since «pre-industrial» times (not
emissions).
«According to the cover story in Nature, the fires in Indonesia released upwards of 2.57 gigatonnes of carbon, 40 percent of the mean carbon
emissions released annually from fossil fuels, and «contributing greatly to the largest annual
increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration detected since records began in 1957.
It is predicted that if our current
emissions stay the same, our
atmospheric temperature will
increase by another 3.21 degrees Celsius by 2050 (3).
But if you think that that's a causal relationship, think again: about 75 % of «conservatives» (individuals with political outlooks to the «right» of the mean on the same scale) know that scientists believe CO2
emissions increase atmospheric temperatures, too.
All of the
atmospheric increase is therefore attributable to mans
emissions.
This would be helpful in calculating the
atmospheric concentration at which CO2 would cease to
increase if
emissions were naturally (or forcibly) capped at X % higher levels than today.
Combustion of coal, oil, and natural gas, and to a lesser extent deforestation, land - cover change, and
emissions of halocarbons and other greenhouse gases, are rapidly
increasing the
atmospheric concentrations of climate - warming gases.
While working as a journalist I also pointed out in an Australian daily (as part of a book review, I think) the problem that, at first glance, there is no way industrial
emissions could cause the measured
increased in
atmospheric CO2.
It is possible that the observed annual
increases in
atmospheric CO2 are almost entirely natural and that humanmade
emissions are practically irrelevant.
Again, I am not disagreeing that humans are a major source of CO2
emissions, but I do fault your conclusion that you know humans are definately the source for all the
increases in
atmospheric CO2.