Not exact matches
Sevigny said as social media continues to
increase its presence with public commentary on matters such as Question
Period — which doesn't just rely on mainstream media for coverage anymore
in a sea of tweets — it may lead to a change
in behaviour of MPs as they attempt to come across
in a
warmer light to a broader reporting audience.
There is no evidence for significant
increase of CO2
in the medieval
warm period, nor for a significant decrease at the time of the subsequent little ice age.
For a start, observational records are now roughly five years longer, and the global temperature
increase over this
period has been largely consistent with IPCC projections of greenhouse gas — driven
warming made
in previous reports dating back to 1990.
The surge
in melt events corresponds to a summer temperature
increase of at least 1.2 - 2 degrees Celsius (2.2 - 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) relative to the
warmest periods of the 18th and 19th centuries, with nearly all of the
increase occurring
in the last 100 years.
What happens when the world moves into a
warm, interglacial
period isn't certain, but
in 2009, a paper published
in Science by researchers found that upwelling
in the Southern Ocean
increased as the last ice age waned, correlated to a rapid rise
in atmospheric carbon dioxide.
In a paper published this month in Geophysical Research Letters, Lovejoy concludes that a natural cooling fluctuation during this period largely masked the warming effects of a continued increase in human - made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gase
In a paper published this month
in Geophysical Research Letters, Lovejoy concludes that a natural cooling fluctuation during this period largely masked the warming effects of a continued increase in human - made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gase
in Geophysical Research Letters, Lovejoy concludes that a natural cooling fluctuation during this
period largely masked the
warming effects of a continued
increase in human - made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gase
in human - made emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
Over the last decade, rock avalanches and landslides have become more common
in high mountain ranges, apparently coinciding with the
increase in exceptionally
warm periods (see «Early signs»).
During the
warm period, the core also shows a large
increase in organic matter from plants growing
in and around the lake.
«This effect could add up
in future
warm periods and thus weaken the convection — especially with regard to the rising temperatures and
increased melting,» the oceanographer concludes.
«It confirms that the during the Medieval
Warm Period between 1080 and 1430 the oscillation index was
in an unusually prolonged positive phase, which brings
increased rain to Scotland and drier conditions
in the western Mediterranean,» says Baker, of the UNSW Connected Waters Initiative Research Centre.
By studying the relationship between CO2 levels and climate change during a
warmer period in Earth's history, the scientists have been able to estimate how the climate will respond to
increasing levels of carbon dioxide, a parameter known as «climate sensitivity».
«Currently, our planet is
in a
warm phase — an interglacial
period — and the associated
increased climate sensitivity needs to be taken into account for future projections of
warming induced by human activities.»
«This effect could add up
in future
warm periods and thus weaken the convection - especially with regard to the rising temperatures and
increased melting», the oceanographer concludes.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2
in the atmosphere have
increased by about 30 % over the same
period; and CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
Bacteria, however, have remained Earth's most successful form of life — found miles deep below as well as within and on surface rock, within and beneath the oceans and polar ice, floating
in the air, and within as well as on Homo sapiens sapiens; and some Arctic thermophiles apparently even have life - cycle hibernation
periods of up to a 100 million years while waiting for
warmer conditions underneath
increasing layers of sea sediments (Lewis Dartnell, New Scientist, September 20, 2010; and Hubert et al, 2010).
As a consequence, their results are strongly influenced by the low
increase in observed
warming during the past decade (about 0.05 °C / decade
in the 1998 — 2012
period compared to about 0.12 °C / decade from 1951 to 2012, see IPCC 2013), and therewith possibly also by the incomplete coverage of global temperature observations (Cowtan and Way 2013).
For the late 20th century, a
period of strong greenhouse gas
increases, but with diminishing solar influence, variability
in ocean
warming shown
in the profiles falls much further still.
Over the last decade, rock avalanches and landslides have become more common
in high mountain ranges, apparently coinciding with the
increase in exceptionally
warm periods.
Periods of volcanism can cool the climate (as with the 1991 Pinatubo eruption), methane emissions from
increased biological activity can
warm the climate, and slight changes
in solar output and orbital variations can all have climate effects which are much shorter
in duration than the ice age cycles, ranging from less than a decade to a thousand years
in duration (the Younger Dryas).
The results the team found are that human - induced climate change is intensifying both the heat
in the Arctic and
increasing the frequency of such unusually
warm periods.
We assess the heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003
period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average
warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a significant
increasing trend
in ocean heat content.
An implicit corollary is that
in the intervening
period the radiative output has been
increasing, with a consequent
warming of the Earth.
For example, one model reaches 38 percent of the maximum
warming in the first decade after a step
increase in CO2 concentration, while another model reaches 61 percent of the maximum
warming in this time
period.
Zooming
in on the
period after 1970, one sees a record of largely unabated
warming, with temperatures
increasing steadily accompanied by some short - term variability driven by El Niño and La Niña events, and also by major volcanic eruptions like Pinatubo
in 1992.
The average flood height
increased by about 4 feet
in New York between the two time
periods and with continued
warming, larger and more extreme storms along with even higher sea level is likely to cause more frequent and intense flooding.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 [carbon dioxide]
in the atmosphere have
increased by about 30 percent over the same
period; and CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
The continued forcing from CO2 over this
period is substantial, not to mention «
warming in the pipeline» from late 20th century
increase in CO2.
What is shockingly ill - advised to me is that the Pielke and McIntyre projections both required,
in order to fit with their hoped for story line, that the adjustments not only affect the
period from 1945 to 1960, but also extend beyond that into the late 90s,
in order to level the more recent temperature
increases so as to both make the rate appear less dramatic and the amount of recent, CO2 forced
warming less of a concern.
GHG continue to
increase in amounts
in the atmosphere and as such, over time more
warming inevitably continues though there may be breaks for short
periods, and some cooling, as already discussed at great length regarding aerosols.
Kevin, Yes, I did mention that there were
periods of
increased and decreased
warming in the real world.
[Response: Solar activity
increased during that
period, and of course greenhouse gases were also already on the rise —
in fact already
in the 1930s Callendar attributed
warming to rising CO2
in the air.
Item 8 could be confusing
in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed
increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic
increase in greenhouse gas... The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to
warming is similar to the observed
warming over this
period....
nj: CO2 levels
increased from approximately 1900 — 1940 so indisputably had some role
in that
warming period.
Our results support previous findings of a reduced rate of surface
warming over the 2001 — 2014
period — a
period in which anthropogenic forcing
increased at a relatively constant rate.»
CO2 levels
increased from approximately 1900 — 1940 so indisputably had some role
in that
warming period.
A globally
warm medieval
period could be a simple forced response to
increased solar,
in which case it doesn't imply any larger intrinsic variability than already assumed, and since solar has been pretty much constant over the last 50 years, improvements to our understanding of solar forced climate changes are irrelevant for the last few decades.
You provide no evidence of some substantial
increase in volcanic and / or earthquake activity
in the global
warming period since 1900, or the more recent global
warming period of since 1970.
Northern Hemisphere mean temperatures do appear to have cooled over that
period, and that contrasts with a continuing
increase in CO2, which if all else had been equal, should have led to
warming.
With
warmer SSTs, I would imagine there will be more storms like Wilma that will
increase their intensity from TS to cat 4/5 level
in a very short
period of time.
In order to make the trends comparable despite the different
periods and CO2
increases, they were divided by the globally averaged
warming trend, i.e. all values above 1 show an above - average
warming (orange - red), values below 1 a below - average
warming, negative values a cooling.
Temperature
increases in the two
warming periods are of a similar magnitude, however, the rate of
warming in 1920 — 1930 was about 50 % higher than that
in 1995 — 2005.»
Perhaps you are unaware of the progress that has been made
in attribution during these
periods to a combination of lower volcanism,
increased insolation and
increased greenhouse
warming in the former
period and to
increased aerosols from fossil fuel burning
in the latter.
But there was also a rapid rising temperature
period between 1695 and 1736 when there would have been no measurable
increases in CO2 and therefore human induced
warming.
Our study is not about range change, but about a 10-fold
increase in a key predator that is a native but has
increased dramatically
in abundance during a
period of strong
warming.
But the evidence shows this can't be true; temperature changes before CO2
in every record of any duration for any time
period; CO2 variability does not correlate with temperature at any point
in the last 600 million years; atmospheric CO2 levels are currently at the lowest level
in that
period;
in the 20th century most
warming occurred before 1940 when human production of CO2 was very small; human production of CO2
increased the most after 1940 but global temperatures declined to 1985; from 2000 global temperatures declined while CO2 levels
increased; and any reduction
in CO2 threatens plant life, oxygen production, and therefore all life on the planet.
Solar forcing has
increased over the 20th century and given that the oceans have not yet had time to equilibrate to the new levels of forcing, it must have contributed some to the recent
warming,
in fact, that equlibration was further delayed by the cooling
period, so the unrealized climate commitment would have been greater than ordinarily expected given that most of the
increase in solar activity occurred
in the first half of the century.
[T] he fire season for the Southern Rockies «has consistently
increased from the 1970s from 31 days (1 month) to 117 days (4 months) due to
warming over this
period,» Tania Schoennagel, a research scientist at CU Boulder, wrote
in an email to me.
It looks like a statistic artifact to me, maybe the infilling
increased or decreased
in that
period with
in - filled data being biased
warm or biased cold and thus creating that issue.
My understanding of the viewpoint of the majority of experts
in related fields is that analysis shows that relative to 50 years ago, and the LIA, and the MWP, average global temperatures are
warmer, and
increasing in warmth at an anomalous rate than indicated by the data on previous time
periods, including the MWP.
As the temperature
warms, CO2 is released into the atmosphere, hence the
increase in CO2 levels during
warmer periods in time.