Sentences with phrase «increase over a scenario»

GTM Research predicts that the five - year extension to the solar ITC will result in 25 GW of additional solar capacity installed over the next five years, a 54 % increase over a scenario in which the ITC was not extended.

Not exact matches

The worst case scenario is likely wage growth higher than expected (0.3 percent or higher month over month, 2.9 percent to 3 percent annual), with upward revisions from February, and job growth much higher, all of which would increase the chances for a Fed rate hike.

It's hard to say, but certainly in a scenario where our government attempts to make up for the sins of over borrowing by creating inflation, we should expect interest rates to increase enough to hurt.

A mix of stocks and FIAs modeled under interest rate scenarios of up to 3 percent increase over a three - year period, generate higher returns compared with the more traditional 60/40 stock and bond portfolio.

«Worst - case, assuming no increase over our current level of state aid, a best case, assuming complete restoration of the Gap Elimination Adjustment and some additional level of Foundation Aid; and a «most likely» scenario somewhere between the two.»

Cuomo has outlined over the course of three days a doomsday scenario in which either hospitals, nursing homes and Medicaid beneficiaries lose funding and coverage or the state dramatically increases taxes for all taxpayers.

A senior Democratic Senate source laid out three scenarios Democrats in the Senate are considering: either go over the cliff; push for a fall back measure, an alternative to going over the cliff; or push for a broad deal, such as the deal Obama offered Boehner last weekend, which Democrats said included $ 2 trillion in tax increases and spending cuts.

For one thing, he says, it contains a scenario in which the fresh meltwater from ice sheets increases exponentially over time, «which may not be realistic.»

While some transportation researchers have suggested autonomous cars could cut emissions by boosting driver efficiency, others, including Fulton and his colleagues, project that energy use and carbon emissions would increase over a business - as - usual scenario because more people will travel farther.

A. Cho's story «Commitments, ideology clash over research spending» (News Focus, 11 November 2011, p. 754) points out far - reaching priority choices that may have to be made by the Office of Science in a flat budget scenario that can not accommodate ongoing domestic projects as well as the increasing contribution to the $ 23 billion international fusion experiment, ITER, in France.

One scenario already found that the mean natural flow at Lees Ferry, Ariz., is projected to decrease by 9 percent over the next 50 years and experience an increased frequency and duration of drought.

This leaves a scenario in which the asteroid is disintegrating due to a subtle effect of sunlight that causes the rotation rate to slowly increase over time.

You have also brushed over the fact that the warming rate increases rapidly in the mid and upper scenarios so using the centenial trend applied to the next 20 years is inappopriate.

By comparison, scenarios for fossil fuel emissions for the 21st century range from about 600 billion tons (if we can keep total global emissions at current levels) to over 2500 billion tons if the world increases its reliance on combustion of coal as economic growth and population increase dramatically.

Analysis of simple models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing scenarios suggest that, for most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.

In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decades.

Under the growth scenario, Prop. 98 funding would rise through 2021 - 22 by $ 12 billion, to $ 87.5 billon, a healthy increase of 16 percent over four years.

In fact, mREIT managers routinely state that the best case scenario is one in which rates slowly increase over time.

In 10 more years, even if the value of their home didn't increase at all over the entire 30 years of their mortgage (not even keeping pace with inflation — an unlikely scenario), they would at worst have a virtually free place to live and $ 250,000 in equity.

The best case scenario is most likely: ongoing negotiations over the next 3 months that increases market volatility but does not cause a bear market.

Analysis of simple models and intercomparisons of AOGCM responses to idealised forcing scenarios suggest that, for most scenarios over the coming decades, errors in large - scale temperature projections are likely to increase in proportion to the magnitude of the overall response.

You have also brushed over the fact that the warming rate increases rapidly in the mid and upper scenarios so using the centenial trend applied to the next 20 years is inappopriate.

Of course, on a timescale of one decade the noise in the temperature signal from internal variability and measurement uncertainty is quite large, so this might be hard to determine, though tamino showed that five year means show a monotonic increase over recent decades, and one might not unreasonably expect this to cease for a decade in a grand solar minimum scenario.

«In a scenario of zeroed CO2 and sulfate aerosol emissions, whether the warming induced by specified constant concentrations of non-CO2 greenhouse gases could slow the CO2 decline following zero emissions or even reverse this trend and cause CO2 to increase over time is assessed.

-- What's the mean avg growth in global CO2 and CO2e last year and over the prior ~ 5 years — What's the current global surface temperature anomaly in the last year and in prior ~ 5 years — project that mean avg growth in CO2 / CO2e ppm increasing at the same rate for another decade, and then to 2050 and to 2075 (or some other set of years)-- then using the best available latest GCM / s (pick and stick) for each year or quarter update and calculate the «likely» global surface temperature anomaly into the out years — all things being equal and not assuming any «fictional» scenarios in any RCPs or Paris accord of some massive shift in projected FF / Cement use until such times as they are a reality and actually operating and actually seen slowing CO2 ppm growth.

These scenarios, which span a range of temperature increase from 1.4 ° to 5.8 °C between 1990 and 2100, lead to a best estimate of sea - level rise of 55 to 125 cm over this period.

Raw climate model results for a business - as - usual scenario indicate that we can expect global temperatures to increase anywhere in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a difference of about a factor of two between the most - and least - severe projections.

The results for change scaled by global mean warming are rather similar across the four scenarios, an exception being a relatively large increase over the equatorial ocean for the commitment case.

In its baseline New Policies Scenario, the IEA predicts that by 2040, total global generation capacity will increase by more than 60 %, and renewables will make up over 45 % of that total.

Even in «low emission» climate scenarios (forecasts that are based on the assumption that future carbon dioxide emissions will increase relatively slowly), models predict precipitation may decline by 20 - 25 percent over most of California, southern Nevada, and Arizona by the end of this century.

Therefore, even under this ultra-conservative unrealistic low climate sensitivity scenario, the increase in atmospheric CO2 over the past 150 years would account for over half of the observed 0.8 °C increase in surface temperature.

These range from decreases of 10 - 15 % over much of the industrialized Northern Hemisphere for the mid-range scenario to CO increases worldwide under the high - emission projection, with the largest changes over central Africa (20 - 30 %), southern Brazil (25 - 40 %) and South and East Asia (20 - 50 %).

The three successive IPCC reports (1991 [2], 1996, and 2001 [3]-RRB- concentrated therefore, in addition to estimates of equilibrium sensitivity, on estimates of climate change over the 21st century, based on several scenarios of CO2 increase over this time interval, and using up to 18 general circulation models (GCMs) in the fourth IPCC Assessment Report (AR4)[4].

A closer look at «Scenario B1» shows that it represents the case where atmospheric CO2 continues to increase exponentially at the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) we have seen since Mauna Loa readings started in 1958 (also the same CAGR we have seen over the past 5 years), from the value measured in 2005 of 379 ppmv to a projected 580 ppmv in 2100.

The expected increase in temp in a BAU scenario will likely go far outside of the bound of variability that we have seen over the past 10,000 years

If emissions continue for the rest of the century at the same rate as over the last decade we would end up with about 578ppm by 2100, even before we allow for increases in population and GDP, so that best case scenario is slightly worse than your worst case scenario.

Such attacks seem somewhat pointless in that under any plausible scenario we are going to have both nuclear power plants and increasing deployment of renewables over the next several decades.

While the PNMC carbon budget to 2020 targets a reduction of approximately 30 % in emissions against as a business as usual scenario, it still represents an absolute increase of over 100 % on 2005 levels, providing some scope for domestic pre-salt oil consumption.

report that ocean sediment cores containing an «undisturbed history of the past» have been analyzed for variations in PP over timescales that include the Little Ice Age... they determined that during the LIA the ocean off Peru had «low PP, diatoms and fish,» but that «at the end of the LIA, this condition changed abruptly to the low subsurface oxygen, eutrophic upwelling ecosystem that today produces more fish than any region of the world's oceans... write that «in coastal environments, PP, diatoms and fish and their associated predators are predicted to decrease and the microbial food web to increase under global warming scenarios,» citing Ito et al..

One study (Harvey and Huang, 1995) reports that methane releases may increase very long - term future temperature by 10 - 25 % over a range of scenarios.

2: Our Changing Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region, suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of model projections) increases in winter precipitation.

Due to this integration and increased expectations from alternative solutions, both the Drawdown and Optimum Scenarios are less ambitious in the growth of micro wind technology, with impacts on greenhouse gas emission reductions over 2020 - 2050 of 0.1 and 0.12 gigatons, respectively.

In other words, as uncertainty increases, the worst case scenario becomes the worst imaginable case — namely the case where we have to switch off our economy not only over night but to do so now.

In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decades.

The methodology quantifies increased carbon sequestration in aboveground biomass, belowground biomass, and soil organic carbon over and above the baseline scenario.

Electricity generation from coal is still growing rapidly and energy scenarios from the IEA expect a possible increase from today's 1 600 GW of coal - fired power plants to over 2 600 GW until 2035.

Changes projected in the SRES A2 and A1FI scenarios would degrade air quality over much of the globe by increasing background levels of O3.

An «intermediate scenario» that projects carbon emissions peaking around mid-century and about 4 feet of sea level rise globally, with ice melting at a moderate rate that increases over time.

For example, decision makers already have a good idea what will happen if no action to reduce CO2 emissions is taken: the «business as usual» scenario shows significant increases in temperature and changes in precipitation, leading to serious impacts over the next century.

A comparable example is the difference between being able to predict the exact value of the GDP on a given day (something determined largely by unpredictable day - to - day news) and projecting the average increase in the GDP over three decades (plausible estimates of which can be made using scenarios of long - term economic growth and ongoing innovation).