And researchers report in the journal Science Advances that unless there are serious reductions in global emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that drive global warming and could trigger catastrophic climate change, the most extreme, once - in -25-years heat waves could
increase wet bulb temperatures now at around 31 °C to 34.2 °C.
Not exact matches
The study shows that by century's end, absent serious reductions in global emissions, the most extreme, once - in -25-years heat waves would
increase from
wet -
bulb temperatures of about 31 C to 34.2 C. «It brings us close to the threshold» of survivability, he says, and «anything in the 30s is very severe.»
Because the range of modeled
wet bulb globe
temperatures in a given time and place was narrow, even small
increases quickly moved a region out of its historical range, making it easy to see the steady rise in humid warmth.
I suspect that although currently the probability of lethal
wet bulb temperatures, or catastrophic rain events are very low, because of the shapes of the curves and «the Statistical parameters are surprisingly predictable, and weather statistics is systematically influenced by the physical conditions present» that their relative
increase and risk are much higher than most people appreciate.
I haven't seen the «calm night / windy night» paper but I'm a bit of a fan of worst papers; here are 2 recent contenders; the first is predicting future temp
increases of 25 F with
increased humidity, the
wet -
bulb temperature: