Not exact matches
They found that
anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions increased the risk of the once - a-century wet January in 2014
by 43 % (uncertainty range: 0 - 160 %).
Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are presently increasing every year at an accelerating rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes of anthropogenic gl
Anthropogenic CO2
emissions are presently
increasing every year at an accelerating rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth in CO2
emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce
emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes of
anthropogenic gl
anthropogenic global warming.
Empirical data for the CO2 «airborne fraction», the ratio of observed atmospheric CO2
increase divided
by fossil fuel CO2
emissions, show that almost half of the
emissions is being taken up
by surface (terrestrial and ocean) carbon reservoirs [187], despite a substantial but poorly measured contribution of
anthropogenic land use (deforestation and agriculture) to airborne CO2 [179], [216].
2011) of the present atmospheric methane burden
by 2100, or a 50 %
increase fifty years primarily due to
increase emissions from marshlands and conventional
anthropogenic sources.
The precise magnitude of the
anthropogenic contribution remains uncertain, but in nine out of ten cases our model results indicate that twentieth - century
anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions increased the risk of floods occurring in England and Wales in autumn 2000
by more than 20 %, and in two out of three cases
by more than 90 %.
Scaling Walter's Arctic lake
emission rates up
by a factor of 100 would
increase the overall
emission rate, natural and
anthropogenic,
by about a factor of 5 from where it is today.
-- Upper - tropospheric moistening in response to
anthropogenic warming —
Increases in greenhouse forcing inferred from the outgoing longwave radiation spectra of the Earth in 1970 and 1997 — On the Atmospheric Residence Time of Anthropogenically Sourced Carbon Dioxide — Deep Carbon
Emissions from Volcanoes «it is clear that these natural emissions were recently dwarfed by anthropogenic emissio
Emissions from Volcanoes «it is clear that these natural
emissions were recently dwarfed by anthropogenic emissio
emissions were recently dwarfed
by anthropogenic emissionsemissions»
The Royal Society report includes references to Clark et al, 2016 in Nature Climate Change, suggesting the final sea level rise on millennia timescale caused
by anthropogenic climate change (partly depending on future
emissions) lies in a range between 29 to 55 metres and to DeConto & Pollard, 2016 in Nature, a study suggesting hydro - fracturing and ice cliff collapse around Antarctic ice sheets
increases high end projection for sea level rise
by 2100 to ± 2 metres.
The change to the 12C: 13C isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 is in the direction expected if the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration were caused
by the
anthropogenic emission of CO2.
If the
anthropogenic forcing wouldn't keep
increasing anymore (because we would manage to suddenly reduce CO2
emission to a level that merely compensates upkeep
by sinks, somehow, and the atmospheric concentration would remain constant) then surface temperature would slowly rise until the TOA balance is restored (and then rise some more as slow feedbacks kick in).
Richard S Courtney (00:08:00): The change to the 12C: 13C isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 is in the direction expected if the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration were caused
by the
anthropogenic emission of CO2.
By «committed» or «locked in» warming or sea level in a given year, we refer to the long - term effects of cumulative
anthropogenic carbon
emissions through that year: the sustained temperature
increase or SLR that will ensue on a time scale of centuries to millennia in the absence of massive and prolonged future active carbon removal from the atmosphere.
Polititicians, all over the world, have been made believe, that the recent
increase of CO2 content in atmosphere is dominated
by anthropogenic CO2
emissions caused
by burning fossile fuels, and that the recent global warming is mainly attributed to the recent
increase of CO2 content in atmosphere.
One of the problems with the EPA's Endangerment TSD is the nearly complete disregard of observed trends in a wide array of measures which
by and large show that despite decades of
increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions the U.S. population does not seem to have been adversely affected
by any vulnerabilities, risks, and impacts that may have arisen (to the extent that any at all have actually occurred as the result of any human - induced climate changes).
Is the argument that CO2 levels relate to temperature, and in fact if there were no human
emissions then the «environment» would not be a sink and in fact would be a source... as the atmospheric concs are driven
by temps and it is just a coincidence that the
anthropogenic emissions are greater than the
increase in atmospheric concentrations?
C:
increase in atmospheric CO2 from pre-industrial to present is
anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a: ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected sea level rise
by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2
emissions need to be reduced drastically
by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H: over the last 1000 years global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted
by scientist to support the idea of
anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
«
Anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions have
increased since the pre-industrial era, driven largely
by economic and population growth, and are now higher than ever,» the IPCC reported in 2014.
Global
anthropogenic N2O
emissions are rapidly
increasing and are expected to almost double
by 2050 unless mitigation action is accelerated.
One of the dangers identified
by the report is a reduction in calcification of coral and other marine organisms as a result of
anthropogenic climate change and in particular
increased CO2
emissions.
A (1) Close to or over 100 % (110 %) of the warming since 1950 has been caused
by increases in
anthropogenic CO2
emissions, leaving natural attribution at something close to 0 %.
Increase of CO2 concentration and their effects this century are an underestimation because they can not — and do not — accurately reflect the effects of feedbacks initiated
by anthropogenic emissions.
IPCC scientists assume all the
increase of CO2 in atmosphere, during the industrialized time, to be caused
by anthropogenic CO2
emissions.
Since the annual atmospheric CO2 growth will decrease with the cooling, consensus will be forced to rethink the «all of the CO2
increase is caused
by anthropogenic emissions» hypothesis.
Empirical data for the CO2 «airborne fraction», the ratio of observed atmospheric CO2
increase divided
by fossil fuel CO2
emissions, show that almost half of the
emissions is being taken up
by surface (terrestrial and ocean) carbon reservoirs [187], despite a substantial but poorly measured contribution of
anthropogenic land use (deforestation and agriculture) to airborne CO2 [179], [216].
In a recent article, we call this
anthropogenic drought, which is water stress caused or intensified
by human activities, including
increased demand, outdated water management, climate change from
anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions, growing energy and food production, intensive irrigation, diminished supplies, and land use change.
The question I have is — What would cause such a similar phenomenon to the world's current rise in global temperatures and their subsequent destabilization of Anarctic sea ice caused
by the
increase of CO2
emissions due to
anthropogenic interference 14,500 years ago?
According to the IPCC [1],
anthropogenic GHG
emission must be reduced
by 41 -72 per cent
by 2050 in order to keep global temperature
increase well below 2 degrees Celsius.
For scenarios in which the CH4 abundance doubles and
anthropogenic CO and NOx
emissions triple, the tropospheric O3 abundance is predicted to
increase by an additional 50 % above today s abundance.
Perfluorocarbon (PFC) e.g., CF4 (perfluoromethane) appears to have a natural background; however, current
anthropogenic emissions exceed natural ones
by a factor of 1,000 or more and are responsible for the observed
increase.
He obviously assumes that no one will bother clicking on the link to that paper, because the concluding line of the abstract says,» A runaway greenhouse could in theory be triggered
by increased greenhouse forcing, but
anthropogenic emissions are probably insufficient.»
Discussions of isotope ratios and uptake and
emission of CO2
by all the various and sundry physical and biological processes are distractions to the simplest and most compelling line of evidence that the
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations is primarily
anthropogenic — to wit, comparing the expected concentration
increase based on
anthropogenic emission rates with the actual
increase over a given period of time.
Increasing emissions and concentrations of carbon dioxide receive considerable attention, but our analyses identify an important change in another pathway for
anthropogenic climate change — a rapid rise in
anthropogenic sulfur
emissions driven
by large
increases in coal consumption in Asia in general, and China in particular.
If
anthropogenic carbon
emissions are limited
by law and / or economic means, yet CO2 and CH4 levels do not respond as expected because Arctic
emissions are
increasing, this could impact the willingness of countries to engage in limiting human carbon
emissions.
«Lately, along with mitigation of
anthropogenic impacts on the climate system
by reducing
emissions of greenhouse gases, the world community places
increasing emphasis on the economy and public adaptation to adverse effects of climate change, including analysis and prediction of emerging challenges and threats.»
The ocean's absorption of
anthropogenic CO2 has already resulted in more than a 30 %
increase in the acidity of ocean surface waters, at a rate likely faster than anything experienced in the past 300 million years, and ocean acidity could
increase by 150 % to 200 %
by the end of the century if CO2
emissions continue unabated (Orr et al. 2005; Feely et al. 2009; Hönisch et al. 2012)
SGE deployment
increases gradually over time and ends up being deployed at up to a 50 % intensity — that is, it offsets about one - half of the radiative forcing caused
by anthropogenic greenhouse gas
emissions.
In general,
increasing nutrient inputs, as expected throughout much of the developing world (Nixon 2009), may lead to
increased pH, whereas oligotrophication (Nixon 2009) may lead to acidification, adding to the same trend imposed
by anthropogenic CO2
emission.
Hence, the current narrative of OA as an
anthropogenic process driven
by increased CO2
emissions to the atmosphere and subsequent dissolution in the ocean is only applicable partially to the coastal ocean where
anthropogenic impacts on pH have multiple sources and vary in intensity and direction.
So when they say that most of the observed
increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is «very likely» due to the
increase in greenhouse gas concentrations caused
by anthropogenic emissions, they mean that there's a > 90 % chance that it is the case.
As I see the climate sensitivity caused
by anthropogenic CO2
emissions becomes even more questionable as you scrutinize what is the real
anthropogenic share of
increase of CO2 content in atmosphere.
Surface ocean pH has decreased
by 0.1 unit due to absorption of
anthropogenic CO2
emissions (equivalent to a 30 %
increase in hydrogen ion concentration) and is predicted to decrease
by up to a further 0.3 - 0.4 units
by 2100 (Caldeira and Wickett, 2003).
Charlie A - So
by your understanding an abstract discussion the importance of carbon sequestration in mitigating climate change (implying sequestration of CO2 to reduce climate change), with CO2
increases coming from
anthropogenic emissions (more evidence than needed) is in some fashion not implicitly stating that that AGW is the major cause of recent climate change?
This suggests to me that the long term trend is due to an
increase in radiative forcing from
anthropogenic emissions (partly offset
by environmental uptake), but the short term variations are due to the modulation of the NNFI
by the ENSO (which limits the partial uptake of
anthropogenic emissions).