Now
the increased ice loss is going to give us a sea surface rise of 32 cm by 2050 and, according to Hansen, the probability of a further 4.7 metre rise in the 45 years to 2095.
The actual rate of
increased ice loss is expected to be much slower, he said.
The possible implications of
this increased ice loss are dire.
And now we're actually seeing
increased ice loss in the east, too.
The increase was due almost completely to
increased ice loss rates in southern Greenland (Velicogna and Wahr 2006a).
These findings suggest that Greenland's glaciers have been experiencing
increasing ice loss for at least three decades — a result that may reinforce scientists» concerns over the stability of the melting ice sheet.
Increased ice losses from Antarctica detected by CryoSat - 2.
Not exact matches
As glaciologist Richard Alley of Pennsylvania State University notes: «The
ice sheet is losing mass, this
loss has
increased over time, [and] it is not the dominant term in sea - level rise — but it matters.»
Yet these model - based estimates do not include the possible acceleration of recently observed
increases in
ice loss from the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets.
Even worse, there are signs that the rate of
ice loss is
increasing.
Ice loss from northeast Greenland into the Fram Strait abutting the Arctic Ocean is now closer to 15 to 20 metric gigatons a year and is still
increasing, said Khan.
An
increasing body of research reveals that these weather events can be linked to
loss of sea
ice in the Arctic, said Charles Greene, professor of earth and atmospheric sciences at Cornell University, who contributed to the article.
Pine Island Glacier and the neighbouring Thwaites Glacier are responsible for nearly a third of total
ice loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and this contribution has increased greatly over the past 25 yea
ice loss from the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, and this contribution has increased greatly over the past 25 yea
Ice Sheet, and this contribution has
increased greatly over the past 25 years.
By lubricating the bedrock, it will speed the flow of the overlying
ice, perhaps
increasing the rate of
ice - mass
loss in West Antarctica.
The results do suggest however that if sea
ice loss continues as it has over recent decades, the risk of wet summers may
increase.
«New details of Greenland
ice loss revealed: Data are dramatically
increasing knowledge of how the ocean is melting the
ice sheet.»
In 2008 a satellite study based on rates of snowfall and
ice movement estimated a
loss of 210 cubic kilometers of
ice per year — a 59 percent
increase in the past decade.
The study found that
loss of Arctic sea
ice shifts the jet stream further south than normal resulting in
increased rain during the summer in northwest Europe.
«By refining the spatial pattern of mass
loss in the world's second largest — and most unstable —
ice sheet, and learning how that pattern has evolved, we are steadily
increasing our understanding of
ice loss processes, which will lead to better - informed projections of sea level rise.»
In the case of Arctic whales, the changes in sea
ice might benefit their populations, at least in the short term: the
loss and earlier retreat of sea
ice opens up new habitats and, in some areas of the Arctic, has also led to an
increase in food production and the length of their feeding season.
By 1900,
increased emissions of soot could have triggered the
loss of more than 15 m of
ice from a glacier's surface; by 1930, the
loss could have totaled 30 m or more — magnitudes and timing that can easily account for the Alpine glacial retreat, the scientists contend.
North America would be especially hard hit, because gravitational effects mean that
ice loss from Antarctica will lead to bigger local
increases for the US East Coast.
Jedediah Brodie, a scientist at the University of British Columbia and study co-author, said a next step of research is determining which ecological changes in the Arctic are completely a result of
ice loss, as opposed to climate change factors such as temperature
increases.
«While more research should be done, we should be aware that an
increasing number of studies, including this one, suggest that the
loss of Arctic sea
ice cover is not only a problem for remote Arctic communities, but could affect millions of people worldwide.»
Conversely, sea -
ice loss in the Antarctic would be expected to
increase California's precipitation, according to the study's modeling.
«The fact that the mass
loss of the Greenland
Ice Sheet has generally increased over the last decades is well known,» Khan said, «but the increasing contribution from the northeastern part of the ice sheet is new and very surprising.&raq
Ice Sheet has generally
increased over the last decades is well known,» Khan said, «but the
increasing contribution from the northeastern part of the
ice sheet is new and very surprising.&raq
ice sheet is new and very surprising.»
But that could soon change, Rignot said, because the rate at which
ice sheets are losing mass is
increasing three times faster than the rate of
ice loss from mountain glaciers and
ice caps.
«Thus the
increased snowfall we report here has not led to thickening of the
ice sheet, but is in fact another symptom of the changes that are driving contemporary
ice sheet
loss.»
Increased melting of the Greenland
Ice Sheet and other ice losses worldwide have helped to move the North Pole several centimeters east each year since 2
Ice Sheet and other
ice losses worldwide have helped to move the North Pole several centimeters east each year since 2
ice losses worldwide have helped to move the North Pole several centimeters east each year since 2005
We know, however, that rapid warming of the planet
increases the risk of crossing climatic points of no return, possibly setting in motion large - scale ocean circulation changes, the
loss of major
ice sheets, and species extinctions.
The team also compared the
ice loss up until the mid-1980s to that observed by satellites over roughly the last decade and found that today the rate of
ice loss is twice the 20th century average, mostly because of
increased water runoff from the
ice sheet's surface.
To take a specific example, the largest deviation (missing heat) was adequately explanained by
increased heat exchange between 0 - 700 and 700 - 2000m ocean layers, so would it now be time to get the Arctic
ice loss and the China - India brown cloud effect on Siberia and North Pacific correct?
This kind of significant change could
increase the rate of warming already in progress, affect further sea
ice loss in the Arctic and alter shipping access to the Arctic Ocean.
Worldwide, small
ice caps and glaciers have reacted particularly dynamically to worldwide
increases in temperatures9 - 11, and it has been proposed that the volume
loss from mountain glaciers and
ice caps like these is the main contributor to recent global sea - level rise12.
«The region is profoundly affected by climate change — including
loss of sea
ice, acidification of the ocean, and
increased access for industries that pose significant risks to the ocean environment.»
This
increase in demand — up 58 % since 2009 — combined with antiquated infrastructure has resulted in an
increasing number of brownouts and blackouts, such as the one resulting from the 2013
ice storm that caused 27 deaths,
loss of power to over a million residents and more than $ 200 million in damages.
The Northeast includes places where weight of snow and
ice can cause
loss, but it also places like New York City where theft and fire pose
increased risk due to population density.
The
increase in demand — up 58 % since 2009 — combined by antiquated infrastructure has resulted in an
increasing number of brownouts and blackouts, such as the 2013
ice storm / power outage that resulted 27 deaths,
loss of power to over a million residents and over $ 200 million in damages.
So you're stuck with a situation in which Winter
ice growth remains vigorous and heat
losses to the atmosphere
increase as the
ice recedes.
And since you have missed this acceleration you have assumed that the rate will remain at 3.3 mm / year for the rest of this century, despite ongoing observations of
increases in
ice mass
loss in Greenland and parts of Antarctica.
Total
loss of the Arctic sea
ice, caused by
increasing CO2, will be catastrophic.
But as Maslowski quotes from Untersteiner, «A linear
increase in heat in the Arctic Ocean will result in a nonlinear, and accelerating,
loss of sea
ice.»
If you believe that it is not warming then please explain the melting of glaciers,
loss of sea
ice, longer growing seasons, migration of species,
increased humidity, and sea level rise.
But also keep in mind that Lambeck et al (2002) have suggested that
loss of permanent
ice over the Arctic Sea at the end of the last interglacial allowed for
increased accumulation of snow and
ice at high latitudes because of the
increased amount of moisture available.
Our modelled values are consistent with current rates of Antarctic
ice loss and sea - level rise, and imply that accelerated mass
loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic
ice sheets may ensue when an
increase in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
Emissions reductions should
increase significantly compared to current mitigation scenarios that do not include Arctic sea -
ice loss.
Much of the recent sea
ice loss is attributed to warmer sea surface temperatures with southerly wind anomalies a contributing cause [Francis and Hunter, 2007; Sorteberg and Kvingedal, 2006], with thermodynamic coupling leading to associated
increases in atmospheric moisture.»
«As the
ice sheet in Greenland melts over thousands of years and becomes lower, the temperature will
increase because of the elevation
loss.
To give another, more specific example, at a typical glacier on Mt. Baker, in Washington State, a summer temperature
increase of 1 °C translates to a ~ 150 m
increase in the altitude of the equilibrium line (the point where annual
ice accumulation = annual
loss), and a resulting ~ 2 km retreat of the glacier terminus.
One of the things about
ice melting (and this goes for dynamic
ice sheet effects as well) is that melt /
loss rates
increase more than linearly with temperature.