cooler temperatures are associated with
increased isotope ratios).
Not exact matches
The second factor was an
increase in the weathering of the Appalachian rocks between 462 and 454 million years ago, which is indicated by changes in strontium
isotope ratios in Ordovician oceanic rocks (Geology, DOI: 10.1130 / g30152a.1).
Initial SAM results show an
increase of 5 percent in heavier
isotopes of carbon in the atmospheric carbon dioxide compared to estimates of the isotopic
ratios present when Mars formed.
It may be a change activity in shallow water or surface sediment organisms producing more methane, rather than
increased melting in deep sediments —
isotope ratios ought to help clarify that.
Isotope ratios of carbon are one very strong line of evidence to show that the
increase in CO2 comes from the burning of fossil fuels.
The change to the 12C: 13C
isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 is in the direction expected if the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration were caused by the anthropogenic emission of CO2.
The fact in point (5) indicates that most of the change to the 12C: 13C
isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 and most of the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration was caused by some unknown, natural (i.e. non-anthropogenic) effect.
As for the alleged irrefutable evidence that people caused the last century's CO2
increase, the «smoking gun» invoked by one of my critics, Dr. Michael Mann, and his fellow fearmongers at realclimate.com, the claim is based on the idea that the normal
ratio of heavy to light carbon — that is, the carbon - 13
isotope to the lighter carbon - 12
isotope, is roughly 1 to 90 in the atmosphere, but in plants there's a 2 percent lower C13 / C12
ratio.
Richard S Courtney (00:08:00): The change to the 12C: 13C
isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 is in the direction expected if the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration were caused by the anthropogenic emission of CO2.
As Pat notes, several different
isotope ratios lead to the conclusion that humans are largely responsible for the
increase.
It is possible that both the effects noted in points 7 and 8 contributed to the change to the 12C: 13C
isotope ratio of atmospheric CO2 and to the recent
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration.
The group also reveals that the greatest change in nitrogen
isotope ratios occurred between 1950 and 1980, following a rapid
increase in fossil fuel emissions.
As such, assigning anthropogenic causation to C13 / C12
Isotope ratios is highly suspect, and furthermore Wei et al. only found
increasing trends «over the past 60 years».
This matches the
increase, the carbon
isotope ratios, the declining oxygen etc etc..
Even allowing for the «uncertainty monster», I think the question that humans are causing the
increase in CO2 is an open - and - shut case, but it's the
isotope ratios that nails it.
But there's virtually no way to explain the change in the
isotope ratio, other than by an
increase in CO2 originating from the burning of fossil fuels.
But I think Ferdinand Engelbeen (just do a search for his name here or Climateaudit) would disagree about the source of the current CO2
increase — his
isotope -
ratio arguments are pretty convincing that they're from fossil - fuel combustion.
«If the
increases in atmospheric CO2 are being driven by fossil fuel emissions then changes in the
isotope ratio would be expected to occur first in the Northern Hemisphere and then move to the Southern Hemisphere.
Also, the carbon
isotope ratios are supposed to show that the
increase is anthropogenic (from using burning «old carbon», less C14 or deduced by C13 / C12
ratios, etc..)
It's usually taken to be the fact that as carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere
increase, the 1 per cent of CO2 that's the heavier carbon
isotope ratio c13 declines in proportion.
Discussions of
isotope ratios and uptake and emission of CO2 by all the various and sundry physical and biological processes are distractions to the simplest and most compelling line of evidence that the
increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations is primarily anthropogenic — to wit, comparing the expected concentration
increase based on anthropogenic emission rates with the actual
increase over a given period of time.
This does not favour the continuous
increase of CO2 from the use of fossil fuels as the source of
isotope ratio changes.
Regarding the link between fossil - fuel burning and the CO2
increase, there's the changing
ratios carbon
isotope ratios in the atmosphere and the decreasing oxygen concentration.
Paleo temperatures from oxygen
isotope ratios from the greenland ice cores show that a temperature
increase of 0.7 °C will not bring the current temperature up to the level of the Medieval Warm Period let alone the Roman optimum and the MInoan Warm period which were both warmer than the medieval warm period.
This would throw off the
isotope ratios and could be happening due to the
increase in atmospheric CO2.
«The rapid decrease in carbon
isotope ratios in the top panel is indicative of a large
increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases CO2 and CH4 that was coincident with an approximately 5 °C global warming (centre panel).»