I happen to believe that man's interference and use of carbon emissions is directly related to
the increased rate of global warming.
As it does, it could release tons of additional methane gas, which has 20 times the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide, possibly
increasing the rate of global warming.
Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue of once a glacier has melted away, the local temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away,
increase the rate of global warming).
Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue of once a glacier has melted away, the local temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away,
increase the rate of global warming).
I am concerned about the «vast expanse of western Sibera is undergoing an unprecedented thaw that could dramatically
increase the rate of global warming, climate scientists warn».
If human CO2 does actually have something to due with
increasing the rate of global warming, whatever scientific evidence you wish to choose shows that the puny amount we add, (less GHG than what termites emit), not only doesn't amount to anything worth worrying about at all — it is so small that it is IMPOSSIBLE to have an effect worth worrying about.
Not exact matches
The strength and path
of the North Atlantic jet stream and the Greenland blocking phenomena appear to be influenced by
increasing temperatures in the Arctic which have averaged at least twice the
global warming rate over the past two decades, suggesting that those marked changes may be a key factor affecting extreme weather conditions over the UK, although an Arctic connection may not occur each year.
«
Global warming and climate change...
increase the renewal and wear
rates of lubrication materials, as well as the possibility
of track twisting and buckling,» said Kaewunruen in an earlier paper with Lei Wu, who is currently working on the Kuala Lumpur - Singapore High Speed Railway.
The researchers analysed resting and active jumping oxygen consumption
rates in snails exposed to seawater at the normal temperature
of 29 °C and at the
increased temperature
of 34 °C, projected to be reached during the next 100 years due to
global warming.
Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are presently
increasing every year at an accelerating
rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes
of anthropogenic
global warming.
What I'm confused about is that I'm under the assumption that the
rate of global warming is
increasing at a faster
rate but Jones figures indicate they've been pretty even.
A slowly dropping
rate of increase would still be disastrous, but encouraging because it would suggest that we have done something real and significant to start moving the needle int the right direction, but sooner or later, the needle has to start moving down or our
global warming troubles will continue to build and the only change we are creating is the
rate at which are troubles will build.
«suggesting that Arctic
warming will continue to greatly exceed the
global average over the coming century, with concomitant reductions in terrestrial ice masses and, consequently, an
increasing rate of sea level rise.»
Is it not the case that if the relative lack
of El Niño's and predominance
of La Nina's is in fact due to
global warming, rather than natural variability, then the current
increase in the
rate of warming of the ocean below 700m may continue.
Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.&
Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The
global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start of the twentieth century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.&
global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start
of the twentieth century, and the
rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the century - scale trend.»
A recent video
of him being interviewed by Brit Hume
of Fox News had Michaels asserting that while
global warming was real we could expect the average
rate of temperature
increase over the last century to remain flat over the next century, and so no big deal.
An analysis
of GISS
global tempertures shows an
increase of the linear
rate of warming since 1980 up to 2007 (see red trace on graphic here — usually 2 clicks to download your attachment) which strongly suggests a
global slowdown can not have begin before that time.
But the sheer
rate of increase over just the past 55 years shows how fast
global warming could hit us in the future — and the present — and underscores how much we've failed as a planet to slow down carbon emissions.
But a strong signal is found in proportions
of both weaker and stronger hurricanes: the proportion
of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes has
increased at a
rate of ~ 25 — 30 % per °C
of global warming after accounting for analysis and observing system changes.
In 1990 this key cause
of global warming was rising at a
rate of 1 ppm; by 1998 it was
increasing by 2ppm; and by 2003 instruments at Mount Zeppelin showed it was growing by 3ppm.
The main problem I have with Michaels is while he reasonably points out the limitations
of climate models for forecasting the next one hundred years, he then confidently makes his own forecast
of warming continuing at the same
rate as for the last thirty years, leading to a 2 degree
increase in
global temperature.
«Since the AR4, there is some new limited direct evidence for an anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation, including a formal detection and attribution study and indirect evidence that extreme precipitation would be expected to have
increased given the evidence
of anthropogenic influence on various aspects
of the
global hydrological cycle and high confidence that the intensity
of extreme precipitation events will
increase with
warming, at a
rate well exceeding that
of the mean precipitation..
Preliminary analysis had already observed that the amount
of research endorsing human caused
global warming was
increasing at an accelerating
rate.
Since the source
of anthropogenic
global warming is ostensibly
increasing concentration
of CO2 in the atmosphere, it makes no sense to posit that over time the oceans will
warm at a faster
rate than the atmosphere above them.
My understanding
of the viewpoint
of the majority
of experts in related fields is that analysis shows that relative to 50 years ago, and the LIA, and the MWP, average
global temperatures are
warmer, and
increasing in warmth at an anomalous
rate than indicated by the data on previous time periods, including the MWP.
DK12 used ocean heat content (OHC) data for the upper 700 meters
of oceans to draw three main conclusions: 1) that the
rate of OHC
increase has slowed in recent years (the very short timeframe
of 2002 to 2008), 2) that this is evidence for periods
of «climate shifts», and 3) that the recent OHC data indicate that the net climate feedback is negative, which would mean that climate sensitivity (the total amount
of global warming in response to a doubling
of atmospheric CO2 levels, including feedbacks) is low.
Mind you, this is the
rate of warming, how quickly the
global temperature is
increasing.
Later: Nerem's team calculated that the
rate of sea - level rise
increased from around 1.8 millimetres per year in 1993 to roughly 3.9 millimetres per year today as a result
of global warming.
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract
Global mean sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the
rates of both ocean
warming and cryospheric mass loss
increase over time.
Abstract: «
Global mean sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint on climate variability and change and is expected to accelerate as the
rates of both ocean
warming and cryospheric mass loss
increase over time.
After the biggest and most expensive propaganda campaign in human history, leading to the biggest tax
increase in human history, trying to stop «
global warming» that isn't happening anyway and won't happen at anything like the predicted
rate is the least cost - effective use
of taxpayers» money in human history, bar none — and that's saying something.
It could be due to a range
of factors, the scientists say, from «a well - financed opposition» to the Cape Wind project on Cape Cod, to
increasing public awareness and concern about changing climate and «
global warming,» to health impacts and the recent electricity
rate hikes in Delaware.
(5) explains the cause
of the slowdown in
global warming after around 2000 — cooling from
increased Eastern SO2 emissions offset the
warming caused by Western Clean Air efforts, resulting in a net slowdown in the
rate of decreasing
global SO2 emissions.
«It is very likely that the
rate of global mean sea level rise during the 21st century will exceed the
rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios due to
increases in ocean
warming and loss
of mass from glaciers and ice sheets.
There are no models which correctly predicted the slowdown in
global warming after around 1995, or the sudden
increase in the
rate of warming since 2014 — or the actual expected temperature for any year.
A
rate of warming that does not including later temperature
increases in following centuries — which would be about double the 21st Century's amount if
global greenhouse gas levels managed to plateau and the
global carbon stores remained on good behavior.
In fact it wouldn't be unreasonable to say that since 1997, the
rate of global warming has accelerated [0.145 / decade to 0.164 / decade] But this is true even though «since 1997» there has been no temperature
increase.
Considering all the short - term factors identified by the scientific community that acted to slow the
rate of global warming over the past two decades (volcanoes, ocean heat uptake, solar decreases, predominance
of La Niñas, etc.) it is likely the temperature
increase would have accelerated in comparison to the late 20th Century
increases.
Temperatures on the Tibetan Plateau — sometimes called Earth's «third pole» — have
warmed by 0.3 °C (0.5 °F) per decade over the past 30 years, about twice the
rate of observed
global temperature
increases.
They conclude that while the
rate of increase of average
global surface temperatures has slowed since 1998, melting
of Arctic ice, rising sea levels, and
warming oceans have continued apace.
Indeed, an Australian reporter even suggested that «years
of global warming and
increased CO2 emissions have caused these trees to grow at an unprecedented
rate, providing more fuel for these fires.»
This snowpack accumulation near the poles, which gets its water via the Arctic and Antarctic oceans, that in turn rob it from equatorial latitudes
of our oceans, also results in a reduction in the earth's spin axis moment
of inertia and causes the spin
rate to
increase as evidenced in the recent history
of the
rate at which Leap Seconds are added to our calendar (see Wysmuller's Toucan Equation for more on this evidence that during this
warm time with much greater polar humidity, earlier seasonal, later seasonal and heavier snows are beginning to move water vapor from the oceans to the poles to re-build the polar ice caps and lead us into a
global cooling, while man - made CO2 continues to
increase http://www.colderside.com/faq.htm).
This greater plant growth means more carbon is stored in the
increasing biomass, so it was previously thought the greening would result in more carbon dioxide being taken up from the atmosphere, thus helping to reduce the
rate of global warming.
Global warming increases the
rate at which ocean water evaporates into the air and the amount
of water vapor the atmosphere contains when fully saturated.
Global temperature series show that the warmest rate of global temperature increase was 1979 -
Global temperature series show that the
warmest rate of global temperature increase was 1979 -
global temperature
increase was 1979 - 1999.
The actual amount
of emissions reductions that are needed between now and 2020 is somewhat
of a moving target depending on the level
of uncertainty that society is willing to accept that a dangerous
warming limit will be exceeded, the most recent
increases in ghg emissions
rates, and assumptions about when
global ghg emissions peak before beginning rapid reduction
rates.
Leaving aside the misconduct
of top climate scientists, the other problem facing climate scientists is that the past decade or so has shown a lull in
global warming although the AGHGs continue to
increase in total and in yearly
rate.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set
of beliefs: (1)
Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will
warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production
of CO2 is producing significant
increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The
rate of rise
of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the
rates of change
of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate
of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5)
global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use
of fossil fuels at projected
rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The
global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity
of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's
rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
«With
global temperatures
warmer now than they were at the beginning
of the last century, that means our temperatures are
warmer too, which
increases the
rate of evaporation and
increases the demands on water,
increases the stress on the water supply, and also leaves us more susceptible to breaking the high - temperature record, which we've been doing lately,» Nielsen - Gammon said.
If you believe, as I do, that radiative forcing tends to cause
global mean temperature
increase, then it is a contradiction to believe that future
rates of warming will be higher when
increases of radiative forcing are slower than they were in the past.