Based on temperature records from 1864 to 2002, the odds of such a heatwave occurring are about 1 in 10 million.4 An event like the 2003 heatwave becomes much more likely after factoring in the observed warming of 2 °F over Europe and
increased weather variability.5 In addition, comparing computer models of climate with and without human contribution shows that human influence has roughly quadrupled the odds of a European summer as hot as or hotter than the summer of 2003.6
A high TCR could trigger certain feedbacks that sabotage the rapid sequestration of carbon in soils worldwide due to
increased weather variability effecting agriculture.
«Stability analysis is valuable, particularly given
the increased weather variability we're facing.
High profile research published in 2012 built a case to link
increasing weather variability to climate change.
Not exact matches
But
increases in
weather variability and extreme
weather events could lower crop yields.
But beyond the 80 percent mark, the amount of energy storage required to overcome seasonal and
weather variabilities increases rapidly.
El Niño is one of the biggest drivers of year - to - year
variability,
increasing the likelihood of warm
weather in the Pacific Northwest and cooler
weather in the Southeast as well as a host of other global impacts.
«It is widely projected that as the planet warms, climate and
weather variability will
increase.
Updated the snow visual FX and
increased weather and wind
variability to create a more dynamic
weather environment in the game.
Averaging smoothes out day - to - day and year - to - year natural
weather variability and extremes, removing much of the chaotic behavior, revealing any underlying long term trends in climate, such as a long term
increase or decrease in temperature, or long term shifts in precipitation patterns.
With the possible exception of an
increase in the number of intense showers there is no clear evidence that
weather variability will change in the future.»
More severe and / or frequent extreme
weather events and / or hazard types are projected to
increase losses and loss
variability in various regions and challenge insurance systems to offer affordable coverage while raising more risk - based capital, particularly in developing countries.
Current changes are well within natural
variability, despite Gore's false claims about
increasing severe
weather.
The predicted
increase in extreme
weather events, e.g., spells of high temperature and droughts (Meehl and Tebaldi, 2004; Schär et al., 2004; Beniston et al., 2007), is expected to
increase yield
variability (Jones et al., 2003) and to reduce average yield (Trnka et al., 2004).
Climate change, including changed
weather variability, is anticipated to
increase losses and loss
variability in various regions through more frequent and / or intensive
weather disasters.
However, for practical purposes
variability might be taken to mean the range of
weather outcomes over a given time interval, in which case a time - varying normal essentially guarantees
increased variability.
If we mean
increased variability about a time - varying normal (where «normal» is defined by its purpose of «maximum likelihood estimate of the
weather»), I stand by my argument above.
The Jet Stream
increases in speed, Rossby Wave patterns intensify and
weather variability increases.
Global food production and food security are threatened by the greater
variability of the climate and
increasing occurrence of extreme
weather events.
The report's authors said as the number of
weather - related events
increase, the
variability of total losses and the economic impacts and demographic drivers are all on the rise.
9.3.1 Global Mean Response 9.3.1.1 1 % / yr CO2
increase (CMIP2) experiments 9.3.1.2 Projections of future climate from forcing scenario experiments (IS92a) 9.3.1.3 Marker scenario experiments (SRES) 9.3.2 Patterns of Future Climate Change 9.3.2.1 Summary 9.3.3 Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios 9.3.3.1 Implications for temperature of stabilisation of greenhouse gases 9.3.4 Factors that Contribute to the Response 9.3.4.1 Climate sensitivity 9.3.4.2 The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake 9.3.4.3 Thermohaline circulation changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales of response 9.3.5 Changes in
Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6
Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal
variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6
variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual
variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6
variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale
variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6
variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of
weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conclusions
This report found, for instance, that the estimates of economic losses from
weather and climate related disasters have
increased, but with large spatial and inter annual
variability.
Polar cap
variability leads
increased severe
weather up to 19 days.