Today Earth is out of balance because
increasing atmospheric gases such as CO2 reduce Earth's heat radiation to space, thus causing an energy imbalance, as there is less energy going out than coming in.
Not exact matches
This implies that risks are not too big or overarching (like resource scarcity, rising levels of
atmospheric CO2, or global warming) but are more focused e.g. extreme weather,
increased greenhouse
gas emissions from agriculture or from energy use, or a lack of fresh water.
I want to discuss a contemporary moral epidemic: the notion that
increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse
gases, notably carbon dioxide, will have disastrous consequences for mankind and for the planet.
In the clouds in her model,
atmospheric gas would sometimes condense onto the shimmering dust particles,
increasing in size to a few millimeters big.
In particular, the connection between rising concentrations of
atmospheric greenhouse
gases and the
increased warming of the global climate system is more certain than ever.
The study shows, with 90 percent confidence, that such extreme summers in Australia are five times more likely due to an
increase in greenhouse
gases, said paper co-author David Karoly, an
atmospheric scientist at the University of Melbourne and the Australian Research Council Center of Excellence for Climate System Science.
As
atmospheric carbon dioxide
increases, the greenhouse
gas is absorbed into ocean water, making it more acidic.
The ice core data also shows that CO2 and methane levels have been remarkably stable in Antarctica — varying between 300 ppm and 180 ppm — over that entire period and that shifts in levels of these
gases took at least 800 years, compared to the roughly 100 years in which humans have
increased atmospheric CO2 levels to their present high.
When the researchers placed the material inside a
gas chamber and cranked up the air pressure from one bar (about the
atmospheric pressure at sea level) to five bars, the cube's volume
increased by about 3 percent.
Tropospheric ozone — a greenhouse
gas and the kind that affects the air we breathe — can
increase in concentration because of
atmospheric conditions, or can result from human activities.
Coal plants are one of the largest contributors to
atmospheric particulate matter and ozone — which are linked to worsened asthma and
increased rates of heart attacks and premature death — as well as greenhouse
gases and toxic substances, including mercury.
During the next century, winds are expected to intensify and migrate closer to the East Antarctic coast as a result of
increased atmospheric greenhouse
gas.
However, as the
atmospheric CO2 rises — due to the almost exponential
increase in emissions from industrial sources — the influence of solar variability on the Earth's climate will most likely decrease, and its relative contribution will be far surpassed by «greenhouse»
gases.
«The prevailing thinking has been that as the oceans warm due to
increasing atmospheric greenhouse
gases, the oxygen content of the oceans should decline,» Thunell says.
A new analysis using changes in cloud cover over the tropical Indo - Pacific Ocean showed that a weakening of a major
atmospheric circulation system over the last century is due, in part, to
increased greenhouse
gas emissions.
The reason may well be climate change caused by
increasing concentrations of
atmospheric greenhouse
gases — now roughly 390 parts per million, up from 280 ppm in the 1700s.
The study calculated the likely effect of
increasing atmospheric levels of greenhouse
gases above pre-industrialisation amounts.
«The
atmospheric and oceanic CO2
increase is being driven by the burning of fossil fuels,» says Pieter Tans, a senior scientist at the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration's Earth System Research Laboratory, who leads the U.S. government effort to monitor global greenhouse
gas levels.
By analyzing global water vapor and temperature satellite data for the lower atmosphere, Texas A&M University
atmospheric scientist Andrew Dessler and his colleagues found that warming driven by carbon dioxide and other
gases allowed the air to hold more moisture,
increasing the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere.
«(A) describe
increased risks to natural systems and society that would result from an
increase in global average temperature 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) above the pre-industrial average or an
increase in
atmospheric greenhouse
gas concentrations above 450 parts per million carbon dioxide equivalent; and
Meanwhile, here on earth, we still have the same remaining problem of our trapped thermal
atmospheric content that can not escape away from Earth's self contained system that is maintained by the greenhouse
gases that surrounds the earth that is said to be
increasing in content, and because it
increasing in content, the thermal kinetic capacity (global warming potential of certain said
gases will rise with it.)
Amplification of streamflow impacts of El Nino by
increased atmospheric greenhouse
gases EP Maurer, S Gibbard, PB Duffy — GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2006
One clue that might help unravel past changes in methane sources is that the rate of
atmospheric increase of several
gases all correlate.
All the models I've seen rely on the assumption that an
increase in
atmospheric greenhouse
gases will necessarily
increase the long - term average temperature of the globe and that all the other mechanisms that cause or counteract warming are understood and modeled fairly accurately.
But the burning of oil, coal, and
gas also caused most of the historical
increase in
atmospheric levels of heat - trapping greenhouse
gases.
Our general circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence of vertically extended
atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian Ocean and Asia3, suggest that
atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent
increase in anthropogenic greenhouse
gases to regional lower
atmospheric warming trends.
These rising
atmospheric greenhouse
gas concentrations have led to an
increase in global average temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed by the oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake of
atmospheric CO2 has led to major changes in surface ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
At the same time, the burning of ever -
increasing quantities of coal, oil and natural
gas converts some
atmospheric nitrogen into oxides of nitrogen (NOx).
The evidence here is more circumstantial, but Danish researcher Lars - Georg Hersoug notes that
atmospheric levels of the
gas have risen during the same period and that in the United States, obesity has
increased most rapidly on the East Coast, where CO2 concentrations are highest.
... The Earth's
atmospheric methane concentration has
increased by about 150 % since 1750, and it accounts for 20 % of the total radiative forcing from all of the long - lived and globally mixed greenhouse
gases (these
gases don't include water vapor which is by far the largest component of the greenhouse effect).
A 2008 study led by James Hansen found that climate sensitivity to «fast feedback processes» is 3 °C, but when accounting for longer - term feedbacks (such as ice sheet disintegration, vegetation migration, and greenhouse
gas release from soils, tundra or ocean), if
atmospheric CO2 remains at the doubled level, the sensitivity
increases to 6 °C based on paleoclimatic (historical climate) data.
This corresponded with strong
increases in
atmospheric greenhouse
gases, especially Arctic methane (Petrenko 2009, Nisbet 2009).
If greenhouse
gases were responsible for global temperature
increases in recent decades,
atmospheric physics require that higher levels of our atmosphere would show greater warming than lower levels.
Ongoing measurements of anthropogenic CO2, other
gases and hydrographic parameters in these key marginal seas will provide information on changes in global oceanic CO2 uptake associated with the predicted
increasing atmospheric CO2 and future global climate change.
If we continue
increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations with emissions from the burning of coal, oil, and
gas, the Earth will continue to get hotter.
Last year's scorching summer and record heat wave in Australia were attributed in part to an
increase in
atmospheric greenhouse
gases from to human activities.
The temperature in Antarctica (red line) is expected to continue to rise with this
increase in
atmospheric greenhouse
gases.
In contrast, chemistry modeling and paleoclimate records [222] show that trace
gases increase with global warming, making it unlikely that overall
atmospheric CH4 will decrease even if a decrease is achieved in anthropogenic CH4 sources.
Reduction of the amount of
atmospheric CH4 and related
gases is needed to counterbalance expected forcing from
increasing N2O and decreasing sulfate aerosols.
The rapid rate of climate change since the Industrial Revolution has resulted from changes in
atmospheric chemistry, specifically
increases in greenhouse
gases due to
increased combustion of fossil fuels, land - use change (e.g., deforestation), and fertilizer production (Forster et al. 2007).
The long - term global warming trend is predominantly a forced climate change caused by
increased human - made
atmospheric gases, mainly CO2 [1].
The higher concentration of
atmospheric greenhouse
gases during the PETM therefore seems like a better explanation for mammalian dwarfing than the
increase in temperature itself.
While 2015 may prove to be a fluke, computer models predict similar conditions will become more common as
atmospheric levels of man - made greenhouse
gases increase.
Res — math.ku.dk ``... Evidence is mounting that changes in global surface temperature can be attributed to human activities that
increase the
atmospheric concentration of greenhouse
gases and tropospheric sulfates [Sanier et al, 1996a, 1996b].
This is inconsistent with the idea that higher levels of
atmospheric greenhouse
gases will result in
increased Atlantic hurricane activity.»
All the models I've seen rely on the assumption that an
increase in
atmospheric greenhouse
gases will necessarily
increase the long - term average temperature of the globe and that all the other mechanisms that cause or counteract warming are understood and modeled fairly accurately.
Climate models suggest that human activities, specifically the emission of
atmospheric greenhouse
gases, may lead to
increases in the frequency of severe storms in certain regions of the Northern Hemisphere.
Growing populations and growing energy demand will greatly
increase atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse
gases in this century without big changes in technology, policy, or behavior.
Geoengineering proposals fall into at least three broad categories: 1) managing
atmospheric greenhouse
gases (e.g., ocean fertilization and
atmospheric carbon capture and sequestration), 2) cooling the Earth by reflecting sunlight (e.g., putting reflective particles into the atmosphere, putting mirrors in space to reflect the sun's energy,
increasing surface reflectivity and altering the amount or characteristics of clouds), and 3) moderating specific impacts of global warming (e.g., efforts to limit sea level rise by
increasing land storage of water, protecting ice sheets or artificially enhancing mountain glaciers).
One clue that might help unravel past changes in methane sources is that the rate of
atmospheric increase of several
gases all correlate.