This brings us to your next argument: «There is no scientific basis for thinking that
an increasing storm strength trend would limit itself permanently to cat 4s, and as noted below a good basis for thinking otherwise.»
There is no scientific basis for thinking that
an increasing storm strength trend would limit itself permanently to cat 4s, and as noted below a good basis for thinking otherwise.
Not exact matches
Pollution from China's coal - burning power plants has
increased the
strength of
storms in the Pacific Northwest by 10 percent over the last three decades
There is, however, limited evidence from a relatively short time period that
storm strength is
increasing, such as the Emanuel (2005) «power dissipation index» of hurricane intensity.
That translates to more than 10 mile per hour
increase in the
strength of these very strong sort of category 4 category 5
storms.»
Although lower, thicker
storm clouds and
increased wind shear don't directly cause tornadoes, they have been shown to intensify a tornado's
strength if one does form.
Wind shear also helps to keep a thunderstorm's updraft separated from its downdraft,
increasing the
storm's
strength and duration.
Most IPCC climate models project an
increase in the
strength of tropical
storms and hurricanes as the oceans warm.
Trenberth notes that global warming has already
increased the average amount of water vapor in the atmosphere by about 4 %, «extra moisture flowing into the
storms that produced the heavy rains and likely contributed to the
strength of the
storms through added energy.»
In the south low pressure at the poles
increases the
strength of the circumpolar current through Drakes Passage and constrain
storms to the polar region — with significant implications for Southern Hemisphere hydrology.
Over the coming decades, Atlantic hurricanes are likely to
increase in
strength as sea surface temperatures
increase, fueling the intensity of
storms in the Atlantic Ocean, and significantly
increasing rainfall rates over those of present day
storms.
Computer models that simulate the physics of tropical cyclones suggest that this difference should
increase as the climate and sea surface temperatures warm, and that
storm strength should
increase with it.
Ever since the early 1990s, scientific reports have highlighted the vulnerability of West Africa to inundation, flooding and loss of key industries, food growing and infrastructure due to glacial melt, thermal expansion of ocean waters set off by warming, and an
increase in
storm strength in the North Atlantic.
It will also be interesting to see plaintiffs explain this graph of accumulated cyclone energy in the light of their theory that man - made global warming is
increasing hurricane
strengths and frequencies (ACE is a sort of integration of hurricane and tropical
storm strengths over time).
Climate scientist Kerry Emanuel describes physics behind expected
increase in
storm strength due to climate change.
In concert with the results for
increased extremes of intense precipitation, even if the wind
strength of
storms in a future climate did not change, there would be an
increase in extreme rainfall intensity.
The roughly factor of two
increase in speed shown is partly due to decreases in ice thickness and
strength, but it is safe to predict that if cyclonic
storm events like this one ending 2015 continue penetrating the eastern Arctic Ocean, they will
increase ice export and reduce summer 2016 ice extent.
Last thought for a while — is the observed
increase in the height of the troposphere a measure of
storm strength?
However, by
increasing the categrories (4 +5) or (3 +4 +5) there is clear evidence (given the limitations in the data records) that the distribution of hurricane
strength has shifted towards more intense
storms.
Here, the science is far less equivocal, and there is a broad consensus that
storms are
increasing in
strength, or severity.