In addition, past data can be used to provide
independent estimates of climate sensitivity, which provide a reality check on the models.
In addition, past data can be used to provide
independent estimates of climate sensitivity, which provide a reality check on the models.
Not exact matches
and
climate sensitivity may give the same result, underlining the continuing need to improve the
independent estimates of the forcings.
In reality,
climate scientists have used many different lines
of evidence to create numerous
independent estimates of the planet's
climate sensitivity.
[Lorius et al., 1990] concluded from their analysis that
climate sensitivity to a doubling
of CO2 is 3 - 4ºC, in good agreement with
independent estimates based on the physical understanding
of CO2 forcing and relevant feedbacks as coded in models.
These ordinal constraints are unaffected by subjective or cultural risk - perception factors, they are
independent of the discount rate, and they are
independent of the magnitude
of the
estimate for
climate sensitivity.
We study
climate sensitivity and feedback processes in three
independent ways: (1) by using a three dimensional (3 - D) global
climate model for experiments in which solar irradiance So is increased 2 percent or CO2 is doubled, (2) by using the CLIMAP
climate boundary conditions to analyze the contributions
of different physical processes to the cooling
of the last ice age (18K years ago), and (3) by using
estimated changes in global temperature and the abundance
of atmospheric greenhouse gases to deduce an empirical
climate sensitivity for the period 1850 - 1980.