Teal
indicates precipitation increases, and brown, decreases.
Not exact matches
Current climate change models
indicate temperatures will
increase as long as humans continue to emit greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, but the projections of future
precipitation are far less certain.
«Our results
indicate that these glaciers may be highly sensitive to changes in temperature, and that
increases in
precipitation are not enough to offset the
increased melt,» Shea explained.
These variability trends
indicate that the frequency of extremes (more drought events and more heavy
precipitation events) has
increased whereas the mean has remained approximately the same.
The report, «Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of
Precipitation Extremes,» previewed in Science Express this Thursday, August 7, and published in an upcoming issue of Science, found that both observations and models
indicated an
increase in heavy rainstorms in response to a warmer climate.
Tropical land - surface
precipitation measurements
indicate that
precipitation likely has
increased by about 0.2 to 0.3 % / decade over the 20th century, but
increases are not evident over the past few decades and the amount of tropical land (versus ocean) area for the latitudes 10 ° N to 10 ° S is relatively small.
Nonetheless, direct measurements of
precipitation and model reanalyses of inferred
precipitation indicate that rainfall has also
increased over large parts of the tropical oceans.
Our observational studies (Gray and Schwartz, 2010 and 2011) of the variations of outward radiation (IR + albedo) energy flux to space (ISCCP data) vs. tropical and global
precipitation increase (from NCEP reanalysis data)
indicates that there is not a reduction of global net radiation (IR + Albedo) to space which is associated with
increased global or tropical - regional rainfall.
In commenting on their findings, the three researchers write that «the large number of stable glacier termini and glacier advances is influenced by positive glacier mass balances in the central Karakoram during the last decade,» citing Gardelle et al. (2012, 2013) and Kaab et al. (2012), which they
indicate is «induced by
increasing winter
precipitation and decreasing summer temperatures since the 1960s,» citing Archer and Fowler (2004), Williams and Ferrigno (2010), Bolch et al. (2012), Yao et al. (2012) and Bocchiola and Diolaiuti (2013).
The results
indicate that extreme
precipitation events consistently
increase by the middle of the twenty - first century for all return periods (49 — 52 %), but changes may become more profound by the end of the twenty - first century (81 — 101 %).
Snowfall varies across the region, comprising less than 10 % of total
precipitation in the south, to more than half in the north, with as much as two inches of water available in the snowpack at the beginning of spring melt in the northern reaches of the river basins.81 When this amount of snowmelt is combined with heavy rainfall, the resulting flooding can be widespread and catastrophic (see «Cedar Rapids: A Tale of Vulnerability and Response»).82 Historical observations
indicate declines in the frequency of high magnitude snowfall years over much of the Midwest, 83 but an
increase in lake effect snowfall.61 These divergent trends and their inverse relationships with air temperatures make overall projections of regional impacts of the associated snowmelt extremely difficult.
Both (top right and bottom left)
indicate that heavy
precipitation events will
increase in intensity in the future across the Midwest.
Although there is as yet no convincing evidence in the observed record of changes in tropical cyclone behaviour, a synthesis of the recent model results
indicates that, for the future warmer climate, tropical cyclones will show
increased peak wind speed and
increased mean and peak
precipitation intensities.
A declining ratio
indicates that greater percentages of
precipitation occur as rain instead of snow and / or that melt of winter snowpack is
increasing.
Output from global circulation models
indicates that climate variability will continue to be an important characteristic of the region in the future [52], but that climate change may
increase the risk of extreme climatic events such as multi-decade droughts and extreme winter
precipitation [53], [54].
Since models
indicate and observations appear to also
indicate an
increase in
precipitation, perhaps they should be arguing for more CO2 release in order to provide more freshwater to the continents.
The singular spectral analysis and monthly sequential Mann - Kendall test of the temperature and
precipitation for 1992 - 2011
indicated that the temperature has
increased about +0.03 C a1 but statistically significant only for winter months.
Glacier mass balance modelling
indicates that to compensate for the
increased ablation from a temperature rise of 1 °C a
precipitation increase of 20 % (Oerlemans, 1981) or 35 % (Raper et al., 2000) would be required.
While there has been a recent
increase in the number of landfalling US hurricanes, the
increase in tropical cyclone - associated heavy events is much higher than would be expected from the pre-1994 association between the two,
indicating that the upward trend in heavy
precipitation events is due to an
increase in the number of heavy
precipitation events per system.
Our results
indicate that these glaciers may be highly sensitive to changes in temperature, and that
increases in
precipitation are not enough to offset the
increased melt.»
Specifically, both observations and GOGA
indicate increased precipitation to the northeast of New Zealand extending to 30 ° S.
The projections also
indicate an
increase in the basin - averaged
precipitation and an
increase in the frequency of extreme
precipitation events over the region as a whole.
«Our ongoing modeling analysis (manuscript in preparation)
indicates that the sum of winter rain in California will actually
increase given the
increasing CO2,» Wang said, «but the
precipitation fluctuation will also
increase — wet gets wetter and dry gets drier.»
The studies
indicate that the observed pattern of mid-tropospheric warming in recent decades over west central Asia led to an
increase in instability of the western winds thereby
increasing WDs leading to a higher propensity for heavy
precipitation over the western Himalayas.
«Indeed it is estimated that annual mean temperature has
increased by over 2 °C during the last 70 years and
precipitation has decreased in most regions, except the western part of the country,
indicating that Mongolia is among the most vulnerable nations in the world to global warming.»
-- First we
increase the greenhouse gases — then that causes warming in the atmosphere and oceans — as the oceans warm up, they evaporate more H2O — more moisture in the air means more
precipitation (rain, snow)-- the southern hemisphere is essentially lots of water and a really big ice cube in the middle called Antarctica — land ice is different than sea ice — climate models
indicated that more snowfall would cause
increases in the frozen H2O — climate models
indicated that there would be initial
increases in sea ice extent — observations confirm the indications and expectations that
precipitation is
increasing, calving rates are accelerating and sea ice extent is
increasing.