First, there has been no change reported in surface temperatures since about the year 2000,
indicating no current warming.
I can't claim to be a whiz at statistics but I remember telling some skeptics on another forum, Accuweather / climate change I believe, that the major point and problem with this paper were that the results still showed a «hockey stick»
indicating current warming was pretty anomalous and that the authors were not climatologists, nor did they seem to consult any to discuss why certain methods were used over the ones they decided to use.
Not exact matches
Untimely infants who were breastfed only and kept
warm through nonstop skin - to - skin contact have turned out to be youthful grown - ups with bigger brains, higher pay rates and less unpleasant lives than babies who got regular hatchery mind, as
indicated by an investigation distributed for the
current week.
Instead, the fossil record
indicates they vanished during the Earth's glacial - interglacial transition, which occurred about 12,000 years ago and led to much
warmer conditions and the start of the
current Holocene period.
«Our research
indicates that as global
warming continues, parts of East Antarctica will also be affected by these wind - induced changes in ocean
currents and temperatures,» Dr Jourdain said.
The findings
indicate some of the likely implications should
current trends of rising carbon dioxide and global
warming continue.
«The
current world climate report
indicates clearly that net - zero emissions are a precondition for limiting global
warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius.
Just to
indicate that the
current warming could not be due to the solar cycle.
And I've shown you evidence repeatedly, evidence
indicating that there has been no long - term
warming trend, evidence that the
current spate of extreme weather events is nothing new.
But from a somewhat larger perspective, this scientific result is just one piece of a host of results all
indicating where the
current warming comes from.
Japanese Naval Records
indicate a fleet navigated a completely ice - free Arctic Ocean at the peak of the Medieval
Warm Period, so total melting is nothing new, however unlikely at
current temperatures.
And in some articles where I have read that it is being observed, often historical data shows those cities and / or regions to have been
warmer in the past century, which would seem to
indicate (1) the permafrost issue isn't new or necessarily unnatural and / or (2) there is a substantial lag between permafrost melting and rising temps (ie, the
current permafrost melt is mostly or all natural).
The
warm sea surface temperatures in the gyres, during hiatus decades,
indicate convergence of near - surface
currents and strong downwelling of heat.
[Response: And note that the abstract linked says «Although the rarity of the
current episode of high average sunspot numbers may
indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong
warming during the past three decades.»
What this regional cooling data in more
current times
indicates to me is that it must be getting really hot in other places (& not all places are
warming in lock - step), or we wouldn't be having this increase in the AVERAGE of global temps.
Nights Aren't Cooling As Much As They Used To Interestingly, the study also found that part of the reason for the 2:1 ratio can be attributed to comparatively smaller numbers of record lows than huge numbers of record highs —
indicating that much of
current warming is occurring at night, something which is «consistent with years of climate model research.»
If the book goes on to say that
current science
indicates at least half the
warming of the last 50 years is due to human influence, is that not exactly what the IPCC says?
In contrast,
current global
warming is occuring in both hemispheres and particularly throughout the world's oceans,
indicating a significant energy imbalance.
Likewise, the
current policy outlook
indicates that
warming would still exceed 2 °C in the second part of this century — a result that will be more likely if climate is slightly more sensitive than the lowest credible estimates or if politicians» pledges to reduce emissions do not bear out.
Research
indicates that the Arctic had substantially less sea ice during this period compared to present
Current desert regions of Central Asia were extensively forested due to higher rainfall, and the
warm temperate forest belts in China and Japan were extended northwards West African sediments additionally record the «African Humid Period», an interval between 16,000 and 6,000 years ago when Africa was much wetter due to a strengthening of the African monsoon While there do not appear to have been significant temperature changes at most low latitude sites, other climate changes have been reported.
This would
indicate that the full effects of 390 ppm of CO2 are in full effect and that the
warming is already fully realized for the
current emissions of CO2.
Available evidence
indicates that the
current warming will not be mitigated by a natural cooling trend towards glacial conditions.
However, the 160 indicative nationally determined contributions (INDCs) pledges submitted by signatories to the UNFCCC prior to COP2121,
indicate that
current targets for GHG emissions are unlikely to limit
warming to below 2 °C 22 With no binding agreement established at COP21 for INDCs, there is no clear indication of how successful the Paris Agreement will be20.
Since the HotSpot is supposed to create a negative feedback, and it hasn't happened, what does that
indicate about
current warming?
The red line
indicates the peak temperature anomaly of the past century, the blue line
indicates the
current temperature anomaly, the shaded red circles
indicate periods in which temperatures were
warmer than the peak warmth of the past century, and the shaded blue circles
indicate periods during the past century that were colder than present.
So, once we clear away the underbrush, we can see that the case for a carbon tax or a cap - and - trade emissions rationing system is really that it would be a hedge against the risk that actual damages from
warming would be much, much worse than
current risk - adjusted projections
indicate.
It seems to me that a common mistake, is the assumption that since our
current interglacial began with periods of very rapid
warming, that somehow
indicates that rapid
warming is currently possible.
Recently graduated Ph.D. student Shaun Marcott has published a paper claiming he compiled a proxy temperature reconstruction
indicating current temperatures are their
warmest in at least 4,000 years.
-- Others
indicated that the observed
current lack of
warming despite unabated human GHG emissions falsified the premise that AGW is a major factor (the CAGW premise of IPCC)[red]
Internal variability has always been superimposed on top of global surface temperature trends, but the magnitude - as well as the fingerprints - of
current warming clearly
indicates that anthropogenic greenhouse gases are the dominant factor.
Sediment cores the team collected by drilling in front of the
current Cosgrove Ice Shelf
indicate that relatively
warm ocean waters dissolved the vast ice shelf and even some of the glacier behind it about 2000 years ago, they recently reported.
Since it's essentially, and of course ironically, entirely non-scientists who make this claim, the deniers would do well to read a recent UCLA study that
indicates California's
current six - year severe drought could be exacerbated enough by global
warming to extend the dry period for centuries.
Also,
current understanding of glacial ice melting due to global
warming indicates that the Western Antarctic...... Read more»
Contrary to widespread belief of northward boreal forest expansion due to recent
warming, lack of post-fire recovery during the last centuries, in comparison with active tree regeneration more than 1000 years ago,
indicates that the
current climate does not favour such expansion.
The report continues, «
current estimates
indicate that ocean
warming is about 50 percent greater than had been previously reported by the IPCC.»
New calculations by the author
indicate that if the world continues to burn fossil fuels at the
current rate, global
warming will rise to two degrees Celsius by 2036, crossing a threshold that will harm human civilization.
Gerald Bond found evidence of cosmogenic isotope changes at each of a long series of
warming followed by cooling events (he has able to track 25 events through
current interglacial Holocene and into the last glacial period, at which point he reached the limit of the range of the proxy analysis technique) which
indicates a solar magnetic cycle change caused the
warming followed by cooling cycle.
, but there is no empirical evidence to
indicate that «CO2 forcing... will increasingly dominate» (the relation with concentration is logarithmic and you have no notion about other factors, such as those causing the
current «lack of
warming»), so this part should be eliminated
Many studies
indicate the Medieval
Warm Period (MWP) was warmer than the current warm period (C
Warm Period (MWP) was
warmer than the
current warm period (C
warm period (CWP).
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will
warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any
current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to
indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
What's more, the preponderance of these studies
indicate that the MWP was
warmer than the
current warm period (CWP).
However, Solanki et al made the same point as we do: «This comparison shows without requiring any recourse to modeling that since roughly 1970 the solar influence on climate (through the channels considered here) can not have been dominant» (Solanki et al., 2003), and: «Although the rarity of the
current episode of high average sunspot numbers may
indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong
warming during the past three decades.»
The findings
indicate some of the likely implications should
current trends of rising carbon dioxide and global
warming continue.
Perhaps Gelbspan has no direct
current involvement in global
warming political efforts, but regarding the question of where he is these days, the answer seems to
indicate that his collective past efforts are worthy of deep professional level investigation in relation to all the
current focus on using racketeering laws to persecute skeptic climate scientists and the organizations having any association with them.
The results of this analysis
indicate that observed temperature after 1998 is consistent with the
current understanding of the relationship among global surface temperature, internal variability, and radiative forcing, which includes anthropogenic factors that have well known
warming and cooling effects.
«Scientists were quick to declare the results of the Turner et al paper, which covered 1 per cent of the Antarctic continent, did not negate a long - term
warming because of man - made climate change... «Climate model projections forced with medium emission scenarios
indicate the emergence of a large anthropogenic regional
warming signal, comparable in magnitude to the late - 20th - century peninsula
warming, during the latter part of the
current century,» the Turner research concluded.»
Many climate change «skeptics» obsess over the «hockey stick», and their discussion inevitably leads back to 1998, when climate scientist Michael Mann first published his paper
indicating that
current global
warming was anomalous in the last 1000 years or so.
The 2007 IPCC report
indicated glaciers in the Himalaya could disappear by 2035 if
current rates of
warming continued (Pic: Edu Bucher)
Piers Forster from the University of Leeds pointed us to his recent paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research, which
indicates that
current warming projections are in line with past published reports.
Current signs though
indicate that the pattern is being transformed to the opposite phase as the eastern Pacific is observed to having
warmer than usual water.