The authors say that while models exist to determine the life cycle greenhouse gas profile of direct land conversions — say, converting a stand of timber to a biofuel crop — there has been little study of
indirect land changes.
Not exact matches
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«However, I need to say that we are not including
indirect land - use
change, and [have] intentionally restricted our analysis to make our findings less uncertain,» he said.
Indirect land - use
change refers to the opportunity lost had the biofuel feedstock acres been set aside for other uses.
The biofuel lobby will win big by delaying rules on «
indirect land - use
change» for six years, but the National Academy of Sciences may now study the issue
Right now,
indirect land use related to biofuels isn't included in proposed climate
change legislation in the U.S. Senate, as well as proposed agreements that will be on the table in Copenhagen.
This error applies not just to
indirect land - use
change but direct
land - use
change.
Indirect land - use
change, ILUC for short, accounts for the impacts of rising biofuel demand and grain prices on cropland around the world.
Model performance in reproducing the observed seasonal cycle of
land snow cover may provide an
indirect evaluation of the simulated snow - albedo feedback under climate
change.
While there is good data over the last century, there were many different
changes to planet's radiation balance (greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar forcing, volcanoes,
land use
changes etc.), some of which are difficult to quantify (for instance the
indirect aerosol effects) and whose history is not well known.
Some of these forcings are well known and understood (such as the well - mixed greenhouse gases, or recent volcanic effects), while others have an uncertain magnitude (solar), and / or uncertain distributions in space and time (aerosols, tropospheric ozone etc.), or uncertain physics (
land use
change, aerosol
indirect effects etc.).
When
indirect land use
change is taken into account, biofuels will emit an extra 27 to 56 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions per year — the equivalent to an extra 12 to 26 million cars on Europe's roads by 2020.
When full consideration is given, including impacts on soils, fertilizer use and both direct and
indirect land use
change, bioenergy processes are, in reality, far from «neutral».
Until
indirect land use
change is fully taken into account, Europe will continue to subsidise an alternative energy that is no better than the fossil fuels it is designed to replace.»
(10/10/2011) Europe's biofuel push could exacerbate climate
change unless policies are in place to accounts for emissions from
indirect land use
change, warns a letter signed by more than 100 scientists and economists.
[1] «
Indirect land use
change» (ILUC) means that many biofuels harm the climate even more than the fossil fuels they replace — due to
land use
changes caused by the expansion of agriculture to meet the additional demand for crop - based biofuels.
So there is a huge list of
indirect effects possible with
land use
change.
New legislation must take account of the full carbon footprint of biofuels by introducing
indirect land use
change «factors».
Accounting for emissions from
indirect land - use
change pushes up abatement costs for agricultural biofuels to between # 215 and # 5,540 ($ 330 - 8,500) per tonne of CO2e depending on the feedstock used, says the report.
Opposition to any attempt to weaken the Renewable Fuel Standard's definition of life - cycle greenhouse gas emissions of biofuels and to exclude emissions from
indirect land - use
change.
There are lots of arguments in relation to the new renewable fuels standard in EISA where people are trying to calculate
indirect land use
change emissions, because converting non-cultivated
land to cultivated
land typically results in carbon release.
After incorporating these «
indirect emission» effects from
changes in
land use, often into areas valuable as carbon sinks, the analysis found that biofuels produced from vegetable oils are likely to be worse for the climate than fossil fuels.
«
Indirect Land Use
Change: Much Ado About (Almost) Nothing.»
Biofuels producers continue to argue that they are an essential part of the solution, even as the low oil price puts an end to several cutting - edge projects, the European Commission prepares to publish a new report about
indirect land - use
change (ILUC) and some stakeholders urge a... [Read more...]
The LCFS regulation also levies the calculation of
Indirect Land Use
Change (ILUC) effects against biofuels, against the opposition (earlier post) of the biofuels industry, and to the particular detriment of corn ethanol.
Also weighing - in on C - ARB's arrogant application of
indirect land use
change theory, is the formal letter of protest by 111 scientists led by 3 prominent experts.
Europe must fully account for the greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation and «
indirect land use
change» caused by expanding agrofuels.
This is an important parameter in the GTAP model and has a significant effect on the final ILUC (
indirect land use
change) results.
Indirect land use
change is unfolding as a scandal, possibly even premeditated by CARB and the EPA to restrict biofuels and protect the petroleum industry.
Again,
indirect land use
change is based on false assumptions and twisted computer modeling that is not supported by the facts on the ground or even realistic projections.
Note, OA stands for Other Anthropogenic factors, primarilly the aerosol direct and
indirect effects and
Land Use
Change, all of which are negative forcings.
C - ARB illegally incorporated the controversial
indirect land use
change theory into their rules, without scientific proof or independent peer review, especially in the realm of agricultural economics.
• Resist EPA efforts to water down implementation of
Indirect Land Use
Change ILUC in the Energy Independence and Security Act EISA and elsewhere.
It includes evidence on size and impacts of «
indirect land use
change» resulting from biofuel use.
The regulation also levies the calculation of
Indirect Land Use
Change (ILUC) effects against biofuels, against the opposition of the biofuels industry.
Subtitle C: Miscellaneous -(Sec. 551) Amends the CAA to exclude from requirements regarding lifecycle GHG emissions
indirect land use
changes outside the renewable fuel's feedstock's country of origin for purposes of determining whether a fuel meets renewable fuel requirements.
-- Notwithstanding the definition of «lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions» in paragraph (1)(H), for purposes of determining whether the fuel meets a definition in paragraph (1) or complies with paragraph (2)(A)(i), the Administrator shall exclude emissions from
indirect land use
changes outside the renewable fuel's feedstock's country of origin.
The exclusion in subparagraph (A) shall end, and the Administrator shall issue a regulation by the same date that shall include emissions from
indirect land use
changes outside the renewable fuel's feedstock's country of origin for purposes of calculating a renewable fuel's lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions to determine whether the fuel meets a definition in paragraph (1) or complies with paragraph (2)(A)(i) for renewable fuels sold in the calendar year following the year of the positive determination.
--(i) In the event of a positive determination under subparagraph (C), the Administrator and the Secretary of Agriculture shall, after notice and an opportunity for public comment, by the same date jointly establish a methodology (or methodologies) to calculate greenhouse gas emissions from
indirect land use
changes that are attributable to the production of renewable fuels and that occur outside the country in which feedstocks are grown for purposes of calculating a renewable fuel's lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions to determine whether the fuel meets a definition in paragraph (1) or complies with paragraph (2)(A)(i).
It has been suggested that higher GHG thresholds for direct emissions are an adequate substitute for accounting for
indirect land use
change emissions.
2 We urge you to align the EU biofuels policy with the best scientific knowledge and take into account emissions from
indirect changes in
land use.
Note that most models do not use other forcings described in Chapter 6 such as soot, the
indirect effect of sulphate aerosols, or
land - use
changes.
This new piece of legislation is also referred to as the iLUC Directive (
Indirect Land Use
Change).
«There is a large body of evidence that because of
indirect land use
change (ILUC), palm oil biodiesel is worse for the climate than the fossil fuel it replaces — perhaps several times worse,» the report concludes.
Indirect land use
change (ILUC) is a key factor, but is currently completely ignored in all calculations linked to whether a biofuel is legitimate for support.
«Decarbonization of heavy industry and aviation will be difficult, which makes converting industrial waste gases into low - carbon jet fuel a fascinating prospect,» said James Beard, climate and aviation specialist at WWF in the U.K. «All airlines should pursue the development of genuinely sustainable, low - carbon fuels that are certified to minimize
indirect land use
change.»
These two reasons, direct
land use
change and
indirect land use
change, significantly affect how much carbon dioxide you save when you use a biofuel.
This additional analysis will also include the effects of proposed
changes to the LCFS, such as potential revisions to the calculation of ILUC (
indirect land use
change) values, options for refineries to generate credits via a refinery credit provisions, provisions for electricity credits for off - road applications, and a cost containment provision, which may affect the volumes and types of fuels needed for compliance.
Among the
changes: requiring the E.P.A. to include «
indirect land use
changes» in analyzing biofuels and their effect on emissions of climate -
changing greenhouse gases.
By law, EPA must consider
indirect land use
change emissions.