Not exact matches
On the current trajectory, greenhouse
gas emissions from cars, trains, ships and airplanes may become one
of the greatest drivers
of human -
induced climate change, according to a draft
of the forthcoming U.N. fifth assessment report on mitigation
of climate change.
When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world
of continuing high greenhouse
gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought -
induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.
They also show that a full decarbonization
of the global power sector by scaling up these technologies would
induce only modest indirect greenhouse
gas emissions — and hence not impede the transformation towards a climate - friendly power system.
Within minutes, the two men had also agreed that it was important to prepare for climate change, whether human -
induced or natural, and that an expansion
of nuclear reactors to generate power could help reduce greenhouse
gas emissions.
The National Research Council in Washington, D.C., estimates that dairy cows account for as much as 20 percent
of human -
induced emissions of methane, a potent climate change — causing greenhouse
gas.
For example, the report summarizes recent research underpinning the scientific rationale for large and rapid reductions in global greenhouse
gas emissions, in order to reduce the likelihood
of dangerous human -
induced climate change.
At the same time it will help mitigate and solve catastrophic consequences
of human -
induced global warming and climate change by reducing greenhouse
gas emissions into the atmosphere.
«In a scenario
of zeroed CO2 and sulfate aerosol
emissions, whether the warming
induced by specified constant concentrations
of non-CO2 greenhouse
gases could slow the CO2 decline following zero
emissions or even reverse this trend and cause CO2 to increase over time is assessed.
And just as increased algal productivity at sea increases the
emission of sulfur
gases to the atmosphere, ultimately leading to more and brighter clouds over the world's oceans, so too do CO2 -
induced increases in terrestrial plant productivity lead to enhanced
emissions of various sulfur
gases over land, where they likewise ultimately cool the planet.
Global warming is unequivocal and is due primarily to human -
induced emissions of heat - trapping
gases and other pollutants.
Fresh headlines followed publication
of «Ebullition and storm -
induced methane release from the East Siberian Arctic Shelf,» a new Nature Geoscience paper from Natalia Shakhova, Igor Semiletov and the rest
of a team tracking
emissions of this important greenhouse
gas from the seabed and shallow waters off Siberia.
The coalition did, however, as the article reported, remove from an internal report by the scientific advisory committee a section that said that «contrarian» theories
of why global temperatures appeared to be rising «do not offer convincing arguments against the conventional model
of greenhouse
gas emission -
induced climate change.»
The new report further states that greenhouse
gas emissions at or above current rates would
induce changes in the oceans, ice caps, glaciers, the biosphere, and other components
of the climate system.
Throughout the history
of science, monocausal explanations that overemphasize the dominance
of one factor in immensely complex processes (in this case, the human -
induced emissions of greenhouse
gases) have been inevitably replaced by more powerful theories.
Sea level rise, ocean acidification and the rapid melting
of massive ice sheets are among the significantly increased effects
of human -
induced global warming assessed in the survey, which also examines the
emissions of heat - trapping
gases that are causing the climate change.
Beginning in the late 1960s, computer simulations indicated possible changes in temperature and precipitation that could occur due to human -
induced emission of greenhouse
gasses into the atmosphere.
«Meat production represents 18 percent
of global human -
induced GHG
emissions... While the world is looking for sharp reductions in greenhouse
gases responsible for climate change, growing global meat production is going to severely compromise future efforts... a study from the University
of Chicago showed that if Americans were to reduce meat consumption by 20 percent it would be as if they switched from a standard sedan to the ultra-efficient Prius.»
One
of the problems with the EPA's Endangerment TSD is the nearly complete disregard
of observed trends in a wide array
of measures which by and large show that despite decades
of increasing anthropogenic greenhouse
gas emissions the U.S. population does not seem to have been adversely affected by any vulnerabilities, risks, and impacts that may have arisen (to the extent that any at all have actually occurred as the result
of any human -
induced climate changes).
«Efforts to reduce human -
induced warming are even more urgent in order to minimise this type
of feedback
of natural greenhouse
gas emissions»
«This means that efforts to reduce human -
induced warming are even more urgent in order to minimise this type
of feedback
of natural greenhouse
gas emissions,» says a co-author
of the study, David Bastviken, senior lecturer in environmental change at Linköping University.
The WMO says the combined causes
of this historically unprecedented heat are both natural and human -
induced: a strong El Niño − the periodic climate phenomenon in the Pacific − and anthropogenic warming resulting from the rising
emissions of greenhouse
gases, largely through the burning
of fossil fuels, agriculture and deforestation.
The overall correlation is a result
of the fact that climate policy
induces systemic changes in the energy system, away from technologies with high greenhouse
gas emission levels, which also have high
emissions of air pollutants (e.g. coal use without CCS has high
emission levels
of CO2, but also
of SO2).
See Stott et al «Attribution
of Weather and Climate - Related Extreme Events», noting the sentence «There is clear evidence that climate has changed as a result
of human -
induced greenhouse
gas emissions, and that across the globe some aspects
of extremes have changed as a result.»
While scientists continue to refine projections
of the future, observations unequivocally show that climate is changing and that the warming
of the past 50 years is primarily due to human -
induced emissions of heat - trapping
gases.
Numerous factors have been shown to influence these local sea surface temperatures, including natural variability, human -
induced emissions of heat - trapping
gases, and particulate pollution.
Given that for over 20 years since international climate change negotiations began, the United States has refused to commit to reduce its greenhouse
gas emissions based upon the justification that there is too much scientific uncertainty to warrant action, if it turns out that human -
induced climate change actually greatly harms the health and ecological systems on which life depends
of others, should the United States be responsible for the harms that could have been avoided if preventative action had been taken earlier?
Reductions in some short - lived human -
induced emissions that contribute to warming, such as black carbon (soot) and methane, could reduce some
of the projected warming over the next couple
of decades, because, unlike carbon dioxide, these
gases and particles have relatively short atmospheric lifetimes.The amount
of warming projected beyond the next few decades is directly linked to the cumulative global
emissions of heat - trapping
gases and particles.
In previous entries, Ethicsandclimate.org examined the failure
of the US media to communicate about: (a) the nature
of the strong scientific consensus about human -
induced climate change, (b) the magnitude
of greenhouse
gas emissions reductions necessary to prevent catastrophic climate change, (c) the practical significance for policy that follows from understanding climate change as essentially an ethical problem, (e) the consistent barrier that the United States has been to finding a global solution to climate change in international climate negotiations, and (f) the failure
of the US media to help educate US citizens about the well - financed, well - organized climate change disinformation campaign.
Because it has been scientifically well established that there is a great risk
of catastrophic harm from human -
induced change (even though it is acknowledged that there are remaining uncertainties about timing and magnitude
of climate change impacts), no high - emitting nation, sub-national government, organization, business, or individual
of greenhouse
gases may use some remaining scientific uncertainty about climate change impacts as an excuse for not reducing its
emissions to its fair share
of safe global greenhouse
gas emission on the basis
of scientific uncertainty.
To slow the rate
of anthropogenic -
induced climate change in the 21st century and to minimize its eventual magnitude, societies will need to manage the climate forcing factors that are directly influenced by human activities, in particular greenhouse
gas and aerosol
emissions.
In mid-2002, Stott took the medical journal The Lancet to task for editorialising in favour
of reducing greenhouse
gas emissions as a way
of preventing the spread
of climate -
induced diseases.
Countries included in Annex B
of the Protocol (most Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries and countries with economies in transition) agreed to reduce their human -
induced heat - trapping
gas (greenhouse
gas)
emissions (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride) by at least 5 % below 1990 levels in the commitment period 2008 to 2012.
-- The term «impact evaluation» means the evaluation
of the program or project - specific, directly
induced changes in energy savings and greenhouse
gas emissions reductions attributable to a program or project.
«This central truth must be stated without equivocation: control
of the
emission of human -
induced greenhouse
gases will not halt climate change.
This table lists all the names I've found who have signed any
of the open letters or declarations expressing skepticism
of the IPCC's findings,
of climate science generally,
of the «consensus» on human -
induced warming, and / or arguing against any need for immediate cuts to greenhouse
gas emissions.
While it is generally accepted that the observed reduction
of the Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover extent (SCE) is linked to warming
of the climate system caused by human
induced greenhouse
gas emissions, it has been difficult to robustly quantify the anthropogenic contribution to the observed change.
Throughout the history
of science, monocausal explanations that overemphasize the dominance
of one factor in immensely complex processes (in this case, the human -
induced emissions of greenhouse
gases) have been inevitably replaced by more powerful theories.Philp Stott
Climate change —
inducing greenhouse
gas emissions have real impacts, and the cost
of inaction is high.
Which points out the anemic effect that U.S. greenhouse
gas reductions will have on the climate
of the U.S. and just how easily the whims
of foreign nations, not to mention Mother Nature, can completely offset any climate changes
induced by our greenhouse
gas emissions reductions.»
By then comparing the results
of these Industrial and Non-industrial simulated climates, and recording the occurrence
of floods like that
of Autumn 2000 in each
of them, the change in the frequency
of occurrence (or «risk»)
of such a flood was determined, and therefore how much risk is attributable to human -
induced emissions of greenhouse
gases over the last century.
RE: The Over-whelming scientific Consensus on man - made CO2 caused Global - warming - 97 %
of the climate scientists surveyed believe «global aver temps have increased» during the past century [So do I]-- Your quotes: How «significant it is that 84 %
of climate scientists have reached a «consensus» that «human -
induced warming is occurring» «--RCB- 84 % «personally believe» [implies they may NOT have actually studied this topic — IE: may NOT be experts on this particular matter] human -
induced warming is occurring -LCB--... — «In 1991 only 41 %
of climate scientists were very confident that industrial
emissions of greenhouse
gases were responsible for climate disruption.
In recent decades the scientific community has gathered overwhelming evidence that the earth's climate is undergoing a period
of significant heating,
of which human -
induced greenhouse
gas emissions are a major cause.
E.g., research assumes greenhouse
gas emissions cause warming without explicitly stating humans are the cause»... carbon sequestration in soil is important for mitigating global climate change» (4a) No position Does not address or mention the cause
of global warming (4b) Uncertain Expresses position that human's role on recent global warming is uncertain / undefined «While the extent
of human -
induced global warming is inconclusive...» (5) Implicit rejection Implies humans have had a minimal impact on global warming without saying so explicitly E.g., proposing a natural mechanism is the main cause
of global warming»... anywhere from a major portion to all
of the warming
of the 20th century could plausibly result from natural causes according to these results» (6) Explicit rejection without quantification Explicitly minimizes or rejects that humans are causing global warming»... the global temperature record provides little support for the catastrophic view
of the greenhouse effect» (7) Explicit rejection with quantification Explicitly states that humans are causing less than half
of global warming «The human contribution to the CO2 content in the atmosphere and the increase in temperature is negligible in comparison with other sources
of carbon dioxide
emission»»
If present trends in the
emission of greenhouse
gases continue for 100 years, the group concludes, then resultant human -
induced global warming will raise the Earth's average surface temperature between 1.4 and 5.8 degrees Celsius (2.5 and 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit).
As Philip Stott stated, «throughout the history
of science, monocausal explanations that overemphasize the dominance
of one factor in immensely complex processes (in this case, the human -
induced emissions of greenhouse
gases) have been inevitably replaced by more powerful theories.»
Because human activities, such as the
emission of greenhouse
gases or land - use change, do result in external forcing, it is believed that the large - scale aspects
of human -
induced climate change are also partly predictable.
I find it difficult at best to comprehend your position on human -
induced climate change, given the fact that every science academy across the globe, including the NAS, AAAS, AMA, AMS, AGU, and countless other scientific bodies, ALL agree that AGW is happening, it is already bad, it is going to get worse, and we should be doing everything in our power to cut down our
emissions of greenhouse
gases and pollution in general.
More than three decades
of US - supported scientific research together with the body
of work produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have allowed for an increasingly accurate understanding
of the complex dynamics
of the Earth's climate system as it responds to escalating human -
induced emissions of greenhouse
gases.
But these sinks, critical in the effort to soak up some
of our greenhouse
gas emissions, may be stopping up, thanks to deforestation, and human -
induced weather changes that are causing the oceanic carbon dioxide «sponge» to weaken, a new study led by Fraser and detailed in the May 18 issue
of the journal Science found.
Although one
of the ES components mentioned above, the global economy, is about to inadvertently transform that face through massive
emissions of greenhouse
gases (GHGs) and the so -
induced planetary warming, one other crucial component, the human brain, struggles to advertently preserve it by constructing clumsy institutions like the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng.pdf).