Human -
induced warming of the climate system is widespread.
My earlier criticism had been that the IPCC AR4 report was equivocating in not stating clearly and forcefully enough that human -
induced warming of the climate system is established fact, and not something to be labeled as «very likely» at the 90 percent probability level.
The second paragraph of the Chapter 9 Executive Summary starts with: «Human -
induced warming of the climate system is widespread.
Not exact matches
If there is any
Climate Sensitivity to CO2, to date we have been unable to eek out the signal to CO2
induced warming from the noise
of natural variation notwithstanding the use
of our best and most sophisticated measuring devices and the inherent shortcomings
of our measurement
systems and error bounds.
Given the increased levels
of certainty regarding human -
induced global
warming (from 90 to 95 %), more robust projections on sea - level rise and data on melting
of ice sheets, and the «carbon budget» for staying below the 2 °C target, the WGI conclusions together with other AR5 component reports are likely to put more pressure on the UNFCCC parties to deliver by 2015 an ambitious agreement that is capable
of preventing dangerous anthropogenic interference with the
climate system.
The measure
of «
climate» sensitivity by looking at only tropospheric temperature sensitivity might need to be examined a bit, especially, if turned out to be the case (as some research seems to indicate) that CO2 at 400 ppm
induces a permanent La Niña state in the Pacific, while still allowing for rapid
warming in other parts
of the ocean and
climate system.
The
climate disinformation front groups have not been interested in publishing reports, journal articles, or conclusions
of mainstream scientists that support the conclusion that human -
induced warming is a threat to people and ecological
systems around the world.
If you concede that
climate skeptics have not proven in peer - reviewed journals that human -
induced warming is not a very serious threat to human health and ecological
systems, given that human -
induced warming could create catastrophic
warming the longer the human community waits to respond to reduce the threat
of climate change and the more difficult it will be to prevent dangerous
warming, do you agree that those nations most responsible for rising atmospheric ghg concentrations have a duty to demonstrate that their ghg emissions are safe?
If you concede that
climate skeptics have not proven in peer - reviewed journals that human -
induced warming is not a very serious threat to human health and ecological
systems, given that human -
induced warming could create catastrophic
warming the longer the human community waits to respond to reduce the threat
of climate change and the more difficult it will be to prevent dangerous
warming, do you agree that those responsible for rising atmospheric ghg concentrations have a duty to demonstrate that their ghg emissions are safe?
Hence, avoiding dangerous levels
of CO2 -
induced warming is a necessary, albeit not always sufficient, condition for avoiding potentially dangerous anthropogenic interference in the
climate system.
While it is generally accepted that the observed reduction
of the Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover extent (SCE) is linked to
warming of the
climate system caused by human
induced greenhouse gas emissions, it has been difficult to robustly quantify the anthropogenic contribution to the observed change.
For the latter, one merely has to demonstrate either
of two things: that CO2 does not indeed alter the thermal budget
of the
climate system such that increasing its concentration results in the trapping
of more heat within that
system, or that the negative feedbacks associated with CO2 -
induced warming overwhelm the positive ones and result in a neutral or negative change to the state
of the
climate's average temperature.
«The
warming leads to a simulated long - term reduction in soil moisture which, although
of weak magnitude compared to soil moisture deficits
induced by naturally occurring droughts in the southwest United States, would imply that drought conditions may be entered more quickly and alleviated more slowly owing to long - term
warming... Radiative forcing
of the
climate system is another source
of predictability, although not really a welcome one, and rising greenhouse gases will lead to a steady drying
of southwest North America.
This year's late winter heat wave over much
of the United States, dubbed «March Madness,» has been cited as evidence that human -
induced global
warming is causing the
climate system to stray far outside its normal range
of variability.
Careful and up - to - date monitoring
of present and projected human -
induced warming will be essential to the Paris process as it tackles the challenge
of limiting
warming to 1.5 C — as will a good dialogue between scientists and decision - makers to ensure that the latest knowledge about the
climate system is effectively communicated to policymakers.
The point
of GH
induced «
warming»
of the
climate system means more energy is available within the
system for «fluxing» from once part to another.