Regardless of the cause, which some have attempted to explain as due to
industrial aerosol cooling, one can't accuse CO2 emissions of raising global temperatures during a period when there was no such rise.
runup from 1910 - 1940 than lack of volcanic activity and a better explanation for the 1940 - 1979 hiatus than
industrial aerosol cooling.»
Not exact matches
Now if this was the 1980s they might have had a point, but the fact that
aerosols are an important climate forcing, have a net
cooling effect on climate and, in part, arise from the same
industrial activities that produce greenhouse gases, has been part of mainstream science for 30 years.
You can, of course, argue that other factors were at work in the early 20th century warming phase, but if you want to argue that the mid-century
cooling was largely due to the neutralizing effect of
industrial aerosol pollutants, then you can not, as did Rodgers, claim that any part of that earlier warmup was due to the burning of fossil fuels.
«A rapid cutback in greenhouse gas emissions could speed up global warming... because current global warming is offset by global dimming — the 2 - 3ºC of
cooling cause by
industrial pollution, known to scientists as
aerosol particles, in the atmosphere.»
On the one hand it repeats the oft argued claim that the
cooling after 1940 was largely due to sulfate
aerosols produced by «
industrial activities,» but on the other hand, she is honest enough to admit that «the situation is complicated» by factors rarely addressed by cli - change advocates:
Further, since these
industrial pollution centers have had widespread
aerosol thermal changes, the localized effects would have shown «hotbeds» of
cooling (sorry).
Lastly, today, i.e. over the last 30 years, we should be able to observe the identical localized
aerosol caused
cooling over the Chinese
industrial zones, which are known for their constant brown haze.
Industrial - produced
cooling aerosols, without which most climate models can't be made to fit history, are another example.
lends support to the idea that a period of global
cooling occurred later during the mid-twentieth century as a result of sulphate
aerosols being released during the 1950s with the rise of
industrial output.
The localized
cooling between about 1950 and 1970 over
industrial regions such as Europe and Southeast Asia, where anthropogenic sulfate
aerosol loadings were high, is consistent with the expected
cooling effect of sulfate
aerosols.
Similar considerations apply to non-chaotic anthropogenic
cooling phenomena such as
industrial aerosols, anthropogenic
cooling catastrophes (global thermonuclear war), or non-anthropogenic catastrophes such as an asteroid impact.
It turns out that these supposedly -
cooling aerosols are produced mainly in the northern hemisphere, where
industrial activity is highest.
That stagnation or slight
cooling in the 70's is entirely due to
aerosols, both volcanic and
industrial.
From the IPCC AR4 report, FAQ2.1, Figure 2, the net effect of anthropogenic
aerosols is clearly negative (
cooling), totalling about -1.2 W / m2 since the dawn of the
industrial era in 1750 to 2005.
He also found that much of the effect was due to natural
aerosols which would not be affected by human activities, so the
cooling effect of changes in
industrial pollution would be much less than he had calculated.
«Residual analysis does not provide any evidence for a substantial
cooling effect due to sulfate
aerosols from 1940 to 1970... sulfate
aerosols produced by volcanoes or
industrial emissions no doubt have a
cooling effect»
In contrast, increased
industrial and volcanic
aerosols restrict the penetration of solar radiation to the Earth's surface and lead to surface
cooling.
On the other end of the spectrum, the
industrial sector releases such a high proportion of sulfates and other
cooling aerosols that it actually contributes a significant amount of
cooling to the system.
If we account for the
cooling effect of sulphur
aerosols from
industrial pollution, greenhouse gases have already contributed 2 ℃ of global warming.
So the
cooling back then wasn't only down to increased
industrial aerosol pollution blocking / scattering some of the incoming sunlight, the IPO also played a part.
For example, if
aerosols caused net
cooling in the
industrial Northern hemisphere, the positive feedback would magnify the
cooling effect.)
If this were the case, we would see those colored global warming maps with
cooling in
industrial aerosol - rich areas and warming in the rest of the world, but we just don't see that.