Sentences with phrase «inflated lines»

Many bettors will think it is unlikely that a bad team will win two games in a row and can lead to artificially inflated lines.
Plus you'll also have one or two «recreational books», which use inflated lines on the favorites.
Without a lot of public support, he enjoys inflated lines.
This decreased volume means minimal risk for sportsbooks and fewer artificially inflated lines which, as our research shows, has caused the value derived from betting against the public to wane substantially in day games.
With college basketball totals on the rise and public betting continuing to hammer the over, contrarian bettors may be able to take advantage of these inflated lines by taking the under.
This behavior typically leads to shaded opening lines and one - sided public betting, and exploiting these artificially inflated lines is a hallmark of our contrarian philosophy.
We advise taking advantage of artificially inflated lines caused by one - sided public betting.
Everybody seems to believe that they have gleamed some sort of unique insight, and this can lead to artificially inflated lines.
It's also worth noting that sportsbooks usually have inflated lines for traditionally public teams.
Since casual bettors are willing to take longshot payouts at bad prices, opportunistic bettors can capitalize on artificially inflated lines as sportsbooks attempt to mitigate their risk.
Our latest article for ESPN Insider explains how bettors should take advantage of artificially inflated lines and points to value on Cal State Bakersfield in this matchup.
Also about inflated lines.
Broadcasters and analysts will spend all week overreacting to a subpar outing, and this often creates artificially inflated lines for the following week.
This simple strategy encourages bettors to identify the most popular teams and bet against them; thereby capitalizing on artificially inflated lines created by public perception.
Bettors may not see many teams receiving at least 75 % of spread dollars, but there's plenty of value capitalizing on these artificially inflated lines during the postseason.
The best example of how public perception can cause artificially inflated lines involves the Houston Texans, who moved from +2850 to +2210 at Bookmaker following the draft.
By comparing Pinnacle's opening line with their closing line, you can clearly see that public money leads to artificially inflated lines.
By comparing the opening line with the closing line at Pinnacle, you can clearly see that public money leads to artificially inflated lines.
According to Scott Cooley, an Odds Consultant for Bookmaker.eu, «Even with inflated lines during the winning streak, we couldn't dissuade public action on the Warriors.»
Sharp bettors allowed public bettors to hammer Wake Forest before capitalizing on the artificially inflated lines.
We always recommend betting against the public and buying back on artificially inflated lines.
The contrarian bettor recognizes that casual bettors make extreme decisions based on small sample sizes, and takes advantages of inflated lines based on recent events.
Of course, the sharp players will be looking for inflated lines to capitalize on value.»
That shows how contrarian bettors can take advantage of artificially inflated lines.
With one - sided public betting and limited sharp involvement, contrarian bettors can easily exploit artificially inflated lines.
I would not recommend betting against every single ranked team, but it's clear that ranked teams routinely have artificially inflated lines based on public perception.
This is the perfect example of how casual bettors are prone to overreacting to recent events, and sharp bettors quickly capitalized on these artificially inflated lines.
Injuries to quality starting quarterbacks trigger major line moves, but knowing the true value of each backup can help you quickly recognize whether oddsmakers have overreacted to an injury and help you take advantage of inflated lines.
I always advocate going against the grain in order to take advantage of artificially inflated lines.
The influx of public money creates artificially inflated lines, which can be exploited by opportunistic bettors.
Typically we're able to take advantage of artificially inflated lines based on public overreaction to recent events, but that's not the case for WNBA betting.
These artificially inflated lines help to explain why betting against the public has been proven to be a historically profitable strategy.
Oddsmakers understand these tendencies and shade their lines accordingly, which creates artificially inflated lines based on public perception.
This strategy capitalizes on public perception and exploits artificially inflated lines by targeting teams that are being widely ignored by the majority of moneyline bettors.
Public bettors don't care if Golden State is -13 or -14, but these inflated lines can create value on the other side.
We don't recommend blindly betting against Jake Arrieta in every start, but the public's infatuation with the red - hot 30 - year - old has created artificially inflated lines.
These artificially inflated lines have historically created value for opportunistic contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the opinion of recreational bettors.
Our past research has conclusively proven that by betting against the public, contrarian bettors are able to capitalize on these artificially inflated lines.
These artificially inflated lines create value for anybody willing to take the unpopular side of a game.
By capitalizing on overreactions and the predictable actions of casual bettors (sometimes known as squares), a contrarian can exploit mispriced or artificially inflated lines.
This influx of «square» money has led to artificially inflated lines and greater success for our contrarian plays.
These tactics may seem counter-intuitive, but they have allowed us to exploit public perception and take advantage of artificially inflated lines.
As part of our contrarian strategy, we constantly advocate buying on bad news and selling on good news as this enables bettors to capitalize on market overreactions and take advantage of artificially inflated lines.
These artificially inflated lines have historically created value for opportunistic contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the public perception.
With Michigan's recent Big Ten Tournament win fresh on the minds of casual bettors, this may be the ideal opportunity to sell high on the Wolverines and take advantage of an artificially inflated line.
This leads to an influx of public money, which typically leads to an artificially inflated line.
With an influx of casual bettors entering the market, public money has a more significant impact on line movement, which often creates artificially inflates lines that can be exploited by contrarian bettors.
More than 70 % of tickets are taking the Tigers on the road which may be encouraging for FSU backers as the public could continue to inflate this line.
You are also getting good numbers because public perception often inflates lines, giving brave contrarian bettors an extra half point or full point for free.
This is where shrewd sports bettors can jump in and take advantage of an artificially inflated line.
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