Stagnant wages in 2014 helped hold the Fed's preferred
inflation gauge below its 2 percent goal, fueling bond gains that caught almost everyone off - guard.
Not exact matches
The U.S. Federal Reserve's
gauge of
inflation remains stubbornly
below its 2 percent target, but U.S. 10 - year Treasury yields spiked to near four - year highs in January as a bond sell - off gathered steam.
In addition, the Fed's preferred
gauge of price pressures has been mired
below 2 percent; during an economic expansion,
inflation usually begins to tick higher.
The figure
below shows some of the key indicators from the Fed's dashboard, including unemployment, the Fed's guess at the «natural rate» (the lowest unemployment rate consistent with stable
inflation), actual
inflation (PCE core, the Fed's preferred
gauge), and the Fed's
inflation target of 2 percent.
Sure, we're closing in on full employment, but the Fed's preferred
inflation gauge, the core PCE, is
below their 2 percent
inflation target and slowing.