Inflation data published last week showed the headline personal consumption expenditure (PCE)
inflation index hit a 2 per cent annual pace in the year to March and the Fed's preferred underlying measure, the core PCE which excludes volatile energy and food items, rose to 1.9 per cent.
Not exact matches
It is worth noting that the core Consumer Price
Index (excluding food and energy) stood at a year - on - year rate of 1.8 % in July, and that the Fed may be content to see
inflation at least trending upward — without necessarily
hitting 2 % in the near term — before deciding to act.
Table 2 shows that neither
inflation indexed bonds nor the swap market expect the Fed to
hit its 2 percent PCE
inflation goal in the foreseeable future.
The Fed's preferred Personal Consumption Expenditures price
index hit the two - percent target in March for the first time in nearly a year, while «core»
inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was 1.9 percent.
This month's Foodservice Price
Index, produced by CGA and Prestige Foodservice, reveals that food
inflation hit 7 % in the 12 months to July 2017, down from its previous level of 8.8 % in June 2017 and 9 % in May.