In addition, to the extent higher realized
inflation leads to higher inflation expectations — and in turn, higher interest rates — financial stocks, another big value sector, also benefit.
Not exact matches
So that policy response is going
to lead to slightly
higher inflation in terms of wages and slightly
higher interest rates, and the market had
to respond
to that.
Many on the right are understandably concerned by the Fed's unprecedented policy actions, fearing they will
lead to dramatically
higher inflation and economic instability.
«The benefits of tax reform, global synchronized growth, [and] employment gains will extend the life of our economic expansion and eventually
lead to inflation and
higher interest rates.
A related question I sometimes hear — which bears also on the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy, is this: By buying securities, are you «monetizing the debt» — printing money for the government
to use — and will that inevitably
lead to higher inflation?
Higher wages can point to higher inflation, which, in turn, could lead the Fed to raise interest rates more aggress
Higher wages can point
to higher inflation, which, in turn, could lead the Fed to raise interest rates more aggress
higher inflation, which, in turn, could
lead the Fed
to raise interest rates more aggressively.
The fuel price increases will filter through the economy, said McTeague,
leading to less discretionary spending,
higher inflation rates and fuel premium increases for truck, rail and air transport of goods.
But having more room
to cut rates isn't the only reason
leading some economists
to flirt with
higher inflation.
Workers expect their earnings
to keep pace with
inflation, and a more substantial rate will likely
lead to demands for ever
higher wages.
Finally, in a nominal GDP targeting regime, a decline in r - star caused by slower trend growth automatically
leads to a
higher rate of trend
inflation, providing a larger buffer
to respond
to economic downturns.
This would likely
lead to further pressure on labor resources,
higher wages and, over time, somewhat
higher inflation.
It is also possible that a period of very low interest rates will eventually
lead to higher inflation for land and construction work, as is normally required
to bring forth more supply of a particular good or service.
In January, expensive commodities
led to inflation,
higher interest rates in developing markets, riots in the Arab world, and lower economic growth.
In December,
inflation in the 19 countries of the eurozone fell below zero and raised the specter of deflation, a sustained decline in prices that can
lead to higher unemployment and that is notoriously difficult
to reverse.
O'Neil said he's skeptical about the assumptions that a Trump agenda of increased government spending and tax cuts will be fully enacted and
lead to faster growth,
higher inflation and bigger budget deficits.
Since the election, investors appear increasingly convinced that a Trump administration will
lead to higher inflation, and potentially
higher growth as well.
It also
lead to higher inflation, which reduced the real value of Iceland's debts, making them easier
to repay.
U.S. food - price
inflation may top the government's forecast as
higher crop, meat, dairy and energy costs
lead companies including Nestle SA, McDonald's Corp. and Whole Foods Market Inc.
to boost prices.
In principle, keeping policy sufficiently accommodative
to achieve maximum employment could
lead inflation to be too
high.
Under these conditions, there is substantial risk that the additional stimulus from larger deficits will
lead to higher inflation and interest rates.
This is because interest rate changes have their largest effect on
inflation risk, while stronger macroprudential settings will
lead to a
higher quality of household indebtedness over time.
The economy is growing nicely and unemployment is falling, factors that typically
lead to higher inflation — even before Congress cuts taxes, as it seems set
to do.
While the positives include the unemployment rate falling
to 42 - year lows, a weaker pound sterling is
leading to a spike in consumer
inflation; in the event of a negative outcome in the negotiations with the European Union, the UK currency could slide further,
leading to a rise in consumer prices and leaving the Bank of England in a very precarious situation in which easing interest rates will be ruled out due
to high inflation, and hiking rates will
lead to a slowdown in economic activity.
The selling has raged on in the days since, fueled partly by fear that
higher inflation would
lead the Fed
to accelerate its interest rates hikes and weaken the economy and the stock market.
That puts pressure on corporate profit margins and theoretically should
lead to higher inflation.
Proposals for fiscal stimulus via tax cuts, government spending and regulatory reform have
led to expectations of stronger economic growth,
higher inflation and
higher interest rates.
Higher food and oil prices
led to a marked increase in consumer price
inflation throughout the region in mid 2004, particularly in Thailand, Singapore, Korea and the Philippines.
The introduction of the major elements of the new tax system in July will
lead to temporarily
higher CPI
inflation in the September quarter 2000, followed by a period of time during which reductions in various taxes flowing through
to prices will reduce measured
inflation.
The important thing
to remember is that the government will want
to avoid the expansion that was «associated with the earlier plan that
led to higher CPI, asset price
inflation and a surge in lending
to non-priority projects,» says J.P. Morgan.
But modest economic growth and rising wages have
led to concerns about rising
inflation and pushed interest rates
higher.
High inflation rates, slow economic growth, loss of global value of currency, and social and political uncertainty
leads to increment in prices of precious metals.
As an aside, the further the dollar weakens the more expensive it will be for the US
to purchase foreign goods, which will
lead to higher inflation.
As a general rule, countries attempt
to keep
inflation fixed at a rate of 2 percent as moderate levels of
inflation are acceptable, with
high levels of deflation
leading to economic stagnation.
In other words, I suspect that fewer immigrants will
lead to (modestly)
higher inflation in the UK longer term.
Domestic inflationary pressures, associated with
higher wages and incomes, will
lead to higher inflation for non-tradable goods and services but, at the same time, the gradual pass through of the initial exchange rate appreciation will
lead to lower
inflation for tradable goods and services (whose prices in foreign currency terms depend
to a significant extent on global considerations).
If this selloff is precipitated by
higher interest rates, weaker dollar and
higher inflation and the Fed decided
to start cutting rates that would be a further mess for the U.S dollar and potentially even more inflationary and could
lead to even
higher long - term interest rates.
The referendum result is expected
to trigger political and economic uncertainty in the UK, which will
lead to a weaker currency,
higher inflation, and lower growth, as well as significant consequences in the EU and around the globe.
In terms, I think of
inflation and bond markets, it took six, seven, eight, maybe 10 years of
high inflation in the 1970s before you had Paul Volcker brought in
to say «enough is enough,» and then again whether it's
led by American monetary policy but similar moves in Europe, obviously in the UK, a significant tightening of monetary policy because people got fed up with
inflation and I don't think that we are kind of yet at the point where real wages have been suppressed so much by that irritation that
inflation is always running ahead, life is becoming more expensive, so we need the central bank radically
to change their policy.
During periods of
inflation, workers often demand raises which
leads to higher costs for business which, in a self - reinforcing cycle, results in even
higher rates of
inflation.
The UK has voted
to leave the European Union, setting off what is expected
to be protracted political and economic uncertainty, which will
lead to a weaker currency,
higher inflation, and lower growth, says Jacob Nell, Morgan Stanley's UK economist.
Surging deficits will likely require greater Treasury issuance, which will
lead to higher rates, even if
inflation doesn't rise much more.
Wage bargaining generally may not be very responsive
to unemployment; wage bargains in a particular
leading sector may reflect conditions in that sector, but then be transmitted, through concerns about relativities, into other sector s which experience quite different conditions; wage negotiator s may have unduly
high expectations of future
inflation in mind when striking their bargains.
We believe that a
high degree of economic confidence for the euro zone will
lead the ECB
to hike rates next year, even though
inflation will likely remain far from the bank's price - stability objective.
And while easy money eventually
leads to higher inflation, that threat could still be several years away.
Once consumers»
inflation expectations pick up, they typically demand
higher pay, which can
lead companies
to raise prices
to cover the costs.
We believe that
inflation will continue
to increase moderately in 2018, which likely will
lead to moderately
higher interest rates as well.
As we mentioned above,
higher inflation leads investors
to consider other storehouses of value for protection.
Historically, fear of
high inflation has
led the Federal Reserve
to step up its short - term interest rate increases.
An improving growth backdrop should eventually
lead to a sustainable move
higher in eurozone
inflation, justifying a removal of monetary accommodation.
When Republicans, for instance, damn Democratic leaders for
high prices and
inflation, some individuals may be
led to blame the Democratic Party and vote Republican despite misgivings about Republican preferences for the wealthy at the expense of the poor.