The Singapore central bank's core
inflation measure rose 1.5 per cent, slightly lower than the 1.6 per cent increase in May.
Not exact matches
The flash
measure of consumer price
inflation in the euro zone is forecast to
rise an annual 0.4 % in September.
The government was also forced to fight
rising inflation last year by withdrawing post-recession stimulus
measures.
The Fed's preferred
measure of underlying
inflation has retreated to 1.5 % from 1.8 % earlier in 2017 and investors are growing increasingly doubtful policymakers will be able to stick to their anticipated pace of tightening of three interest rate
rises this year and next.
The Consumer Price Index, our typical
measure for
inflation, over that period only
rose by 121 percent.
The
rise in the annual
inflation measures reported by the Commerce Department on Monday was anticipated by economists and Fed officials and is not expected to alter the U.S. central bank's gradual pace of interest rate increases.
CPI
inflation rose to 2.1 per cent in January, reflecting higher energy prices due in part to carbon pricing
measures introduced in two provinces.
Understand how
inflation is
measured, how U.S.
inflation compares to other countries, and if investors should be concerned with
rising inflation.
For each CEO's tenure, the researchers calculated three metrics: the country - adjusted total shareholder return (including dividends reinvested), which offsets any increase in return that's attributable merely to an improvement in the local stock market; the industry - adjusted total shareholder return (including dividends reinvested), which offsets any increase that results from
rising fortunes in the overall industry; and change in market capitalization (adjusted for dividends, share issues, and share repurchases),
measured in
inflation - adjusted U.S. dollars.
Inflation Driver # 1: Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of i
Inflation Driver # 1:
Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed
measure of
inflationinflation.
Survey
measures of expected
inflation are falling not
rising.
One option proposed in a new Government Green Paper would see firms linking annual
rises to the consumer price index
measure of
inflation, rather than the higher retail price index
Euro zone
inflation eased in June because of more moderate energy price
rises, but the slowdown was less than expected by markets and the core
measure of price growth the ECB keenly watches increased by more than anticipated.
The core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index, the Fed's favored
measure of
inflation,
rose 1.4 % over the year.
Various
measures of underlying
inflation, which typically exclude the
rise in the price of petrol, also picked up, to rates of 0.6 to 0.8 per cent.
The wholesale price index — the preferred
inflation measure in India — was 6.5 per cent higher over the year to December, having
risen by 8.7 per cent over the year to August.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with
rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as
measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as
measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent
inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
The large
rise in the house purchase component of the CPI over the past year has contributed to the increase in the CPI and to most
measures of underlying
inflation.
Although
inflation compensation, which has returned as an accurate
measure of
inflation expectations, plays a key role in the recent
rise in longer - term rates, an earlier post illustrated that the primary reason for the longer decline in the 10 - Year Treasury note rate is the real, or
inflation - adjusted, yield, as
measured by the rate on 10 - Year Treasury Inflated Protected Securities.
Most of them would have been tightening policy in a
measured fashion in response to
rises in headline
inflation over the past couple of years.
Inflation expectations, as measured by the difference between yields on 10 - year nominal Treasury notes and Treasury inflation protected securities (Tips), have risen to 2.25 per cent from a low of around 2.10 a m
Inflation expectations, as
measured by the difference between yields on 10 - year nominal Treasury notes and Treasury
inflation protected securities (Tips), have risen to 2.25 per cent from a low of around 2.10 a m
inflation protected securities (Tips), have
risen to 2.25 per cent from a low of around 2.10 a month ago.
Our econometric analysis shows that global factors play a dominant role in driving
inflation at the individual country level; our
measure of the global output gap has begun to increase, and should
rise further as emerging markets recover, exerting upward pressure on
inflation rates.
The core PCE index, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred
measure of
inflation,
rose 2.5 % in the first quarter.
Inflation data published last week showed the headline personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation index hit a 2 per cent annual pace in the year to March and the Fed's preferred underlying measure, the core PCE which excludes volatile energy and food items, rose to 1.9
Inflation data published last week showed the headline personal consumption expenditure (PCE)
inflation index hit a 2 per cent annual pace in the year to March and the Fed's preferred underlying measure, the core PCE which excludes volatile energy and food items, rose to 1.9
inflation index hit a 2 per cent annual pace in the year to March and the Fed's preferred underlying
measure, the core PCE which excludes volatile energy and food items,
rose to 1.9 per cent.
Importantly, when a preferred share is trading at a high current yield relative to the market yield, the investor receives a
measure of protection from the impact of
rising interest rates (or, if we're focused on real returns, the impact of
rising inflation).
Lastly, the ECB has described the policy
measures in its March package as complementary, together helping
inflation to
rise towards the 2 % target over the medium - term.
The Office for National Statistics places the consumer price index
measure of
inflation at 2.5 per cent, after
rising from 2.2 per cent in January.
The assemblyman's office noted he had co-sponsored a
measure that would peg the then - $ 8 hourly minimum wage to the urban
inflation rate, which has increased by an average of 1.7 percent annually over the last five years (and only increased by a tenth of a percent in 2015)-- which would have resulted in a far more modest
rise in the pay floor.
We see steady economic growth and
inflation extending the lifespan of the reflation theme without the need for further
rises in the pace of those
measures.
TIPS are considered an extremely low - risk investment since they are backed by the U.S. government and because the par value
rises with
inflation, as
measured by the Consumer Price Index, while the interest rate remains fixed.
Inflation hasn't been a problem for a while now, but with both key measures of inflation on the rise, now could be the time for investors to
Inflation hasn't been a problem for a while now, but with both key
measures of
inflation on the rise, now could be the time for investors to
inflation on the
rise, now could be the time for investors to buy TIPS.
The central bank's president, Mario Draghi, addressed the low
inflation issue by saying that the
measure of
inflation would remain low over the upcoming months, but he would expect it to eventually
rise back to the central bank's target rate of just under 2 %.
As
measured by TIPS, five year forward five year
inflation has fallen since the last meeting, but has been slowly
rising over the past five years.
Continuing asset deflation, and declining but still positive economic growth (as the government
measures it) leads the Fed to continue to loosen, or stand pat in the face of
rising consumer price
inflation.
Historically, many dividend stocks have increased their payouts well above
measures of
inflation and interest rate
rises.
And if the Fed is successful in goal of increasing
inflation, then we could see
inflation measures like CPI
rise as well.
Contrarily, as part of the S&P Global Developed Sovereign
Inflation - Linked Bond Index that measures the performance of the inflation - linked securities market, the S&P Japan Sovereign Inflation - Linked Bond Index rose 3.84 % YTD, see Exhibit 3, and its yield - to - maturity has also shifted from negative territory to 0.648 % in the same period, which is a level last seen in ea
Inflation - Linked Bond Index that
measures the performance of the
inflation - linked securities market, the S&P Japan Sovereign Inflation - Linked Bond Index rose 3.84 % YTD, see Exhibit 3, and its yield - to - maturity has also shifted from negative territory to 0.648 % in the same period, which is a level last seen in ea
inflation - linked securities market, the S&P Japan Sovereign
Inflation - Linked Bond Index rose 3.84 % YTD, see Exhibit 3, and its yield - to - maturity has also shifted from negative territory to 0.648 % in the same period, which is a level last seen in ea
Inflation - Linked Bond Index
rose 3.84 % YTD, see Exhibit 3, and its yield - to - maturity has also shifted from negative territory to 0.648 % in the same period, which is a level last seen in early 2012.
It
measures the changing prices of everyday household goods and services like food and energy bills, and shows how
inflation rises over the years.
By almost any
measure, real income has been
rising in recent years, after adjusting for
inflation.
The Euro dollar became jittery at the end of the first week of February when the ECB President Mario Draghi underplayed the recent
rise in the headline
inflation in the European Union and justified the need for the further quantitative easing
measures including the current bond purchases.
Politicians find «economists» to suit their political ends, and they come up with complex reasoning for why
measured inflation is higher than it should be, inequality is
rising, etc..
If interest rates
rise due to reasons other than
inflation (for example, due to changes in currency exchange rates), investors in these securities may not be protected to the extent that the increase is not reflected in the bond's
inflation measure.
«But it will take broad - based and sustained
rises in
inflation - expectation
measures to get the Fed closer to tightening policy,» the analysts wrote.
In one
measure that Makin calls a «flashing red light,» yields on 10 - year Treasury bonds, which
rise with
inflation worries, have slipped to less than 3 % from 4 % in April.
Inflation, as
measured by the Consumer Price Index, was a tame 1.4 percent in 2013 but is projected to
rise to 2.5 percent this year and 3.5 percent in 2015.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that a
measure of
inflation, its Consumer Price Index — Urban Consumer (CPI),
rose by 2.1 percent over the past 12 months, similar to the 12 - month rate of growth recorded in December.
For 2012, 2013 and 2014,
inflation as
measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to be 2.4 percent, 2.8 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively; and ten - year treasury rates will
rise along with
inflation, with a rate of 2.4 percent projected for 2012, 3.1 percent for 2013, and 3.8 percent for 2014.