Sentences with phrase «inflation scenario in»

«We also like EU inflation - linked securities, as they discount a very pessimistic inflation scenario in the Eurozone,» said Pioneer's Germano.

Not exact matches

The worst case scenario is that the country will experience what economists call a «hard landing,» essentially a major slowdown in GDP growth, to less than 5 % or the approximate rate of inflation.

This conundrum shares some characteristics and common roots with the theory of secular stagnation; in both scenarios, interest rates, growth, and inflation are persistently low (Summers 2015).

In other words, inflation does not need to be high or rising to represent a risk to an investment strategy; it should be a key consideration for managing portfolio risk in any scenariIn other words, inflation does not need to be high or rising to represent a risk to an investment strategy; it should be a key consideration for managing portfolio risk in any scenariin any scenario.

Even apart from the desirability of allowing inflation to rise above two percent in a happy economic scenario GDP, labor market and inflation expectations data all make a compelling case against a rate increase.

Under CBO's Alternative Fiscal Scenario — which assumes many of the 2017 tax law's expiring provisions and other temporary tax cuts are made permanent, the recent spending deal is extended so that most discretionary spending grows with inflation, and emergency funding for disasters is kept in line with its historical average — deficits will exceed the two - trillion dollar mark by 2028.

It's hard to say, but certainly in a scenario where our government attempts to make up for the sins of over borrowing by creating inflation, we should expect interest rates to increase enough to hurt.

A separate discussion paper published by central bank staffers in October 2017 concluded that even under an alternative scenario in which the potential level of growth was ultimately 1 per cent higher than forecast by 2020, the effects on inflation would be «small» and «therefore does not affect the stance of monetary policy.»

Under this scenario, an eventual rise in wage growth would likely be accompanied by a secular rise in realized inflation (inflation expectations would trend with energy prices), and the policy battle onward may resemble that of Paul Volcker instead of Ben Bernanke.

@ Andrew / Hariseldon — short nominal bond funds will recover quite quickly from a rise in interest rates but the research I've read says they do badly in unexpected inflation scenarios.

The inflation scenario results in a financial impact of around two - thirds of the market crash scenario.

As we move further into 2018 without the economic acceleration and boom (hysteria aside, the inflation scenario never got very far in junk markets), and with liquidity risk rising again, it can't be surprising that junk markets struggle.

With inflation of up to 3 % you would remain on track for achieving the target income floor from the state pension alone in 18 years or less — the # 300K or so required to buy an index - linked annuity in your scenario would certainly see your relative through those 18 years comfortably.

In a scenario with a reasonably benign world environment, these factors could see a strengthening of demand pressures and hence upward pressure on wage and price inflation.

The trade - offs in this scenario are that market fears of inflation running too hot would be assuaged, alongside a higher risk of policy accident if the Fed becomes too aggressive in attempting to exorcise inflation before secular forces tame it organically.

However, we're in a different scenario, given the low - inflation, low - rate economic environment we expect for the foreseeable future.

That inflation has now swayed the consensus before do not exclude that there is a high degree of dilution in LCDM, which is correct since 2004, whether or not you refer to ekpyrotic scenario (now in high stress) or chaotic / eternal inflation.

Considering that the media plays up the worst possible scenarios in everything — you would think that a winter snowstorm was an assault on the existance of all humanity in its path the way some weather forecasters talk about it — the constant inflation of the danger posed by ordinary events, it is no wonder that people are fearful.

I'd say, in such a scenario, buying a 60 - 70m player is probably better value for money, because even with the TV money, there will be less clubs able to buy at that value, hence inflation will not be as high.

The public sector can never pay for better wages out of productivity so their wages will always lag behind the private sector, in a time of rising prices and inflation this becomes a nightmare scenario for any government.

Ma's team says a more likely scenario is that the process of inflation, credited with smoothing out the distribution of matter and light in the early universe and causing the two components to move at the same rate, did not quite finish the job.

That might work if incomes were increasing with inflation, but as health care premiums climb through the roof and the price of goods and services grow to simply put more money in the pockets of the wealthy, we are likely to see these scenarios played out again and again, and even worsen in the near future.

Instead of breakthrough that would lead to overcoming the global economic crisis, the scenario of the global economic collapse was predicted by the great thinker and French economist Jacques Attali (2010) who predicts the occurrence of four steps to the unfolding economic crisis that erupted in 2008 in United States and that spilled over the world: 1) the public debts become heavier; 2) the failure of the euro and the global depression; 3) the failure of the Dollar and the return of global inflation; and, 4) the depression and ruin of Asia.

And while the monthly payments the group received in the scenarios above could vary from month to month based on investment earnings and whether or not someone died, an insurer's immediate annuity states in advance how much you'll receive each month (although some immediate annuities may increase their payments based on the inflation rate or other factors).

For example, a 25 - year - old worker making $ 40,000 with a 3 percent rate of inflation who plans on retiring at age 65 can save 8.1 percent of their income per year (in this scenario about $ 271 per month).

However, we're in a different scenario, given the low - inflation, low - rate economic environment we expect for the foreseeable future.

These assets can help deliver returns to participants in a variety of growth and inflation scenarios.

In 10 more years, even if the value of their home didn't increase at all over the entire 30 years of their mortgage (not even keeping pace with inflation — an unlikely scenario), they would at worst have a virtually free place to live and $ 250,000 in equitIn 10 more years, even if the value of their home didn't increase at all over the entire 30 years of their mortgage (not even keeping pace with inflation — an unlikely scenario), they would at worst have a virtually free place to live and $ 250,000 in equitin equity.

Plug in your numbers and fiddle around with different scenarios on inflation and your investment return.

Mean reversion to a value of 23 would deliver a scant return of 30 bps a year, whereas reversion to the historical average CAPE ratio of 16.6 would result in a loss of − 2.8 % a year; both scenarios are net of inflation, but include the positive impact of dividends.

I also suspect Japanese property could be a potentially decent currency hedge (& even a hedge against a run - away fiscal / inflation scenario), and it's a pretty compelling property market in its own right — so it might be an attractive alternative to other large cap sectors.

In this scenario, I don't think the gambit will work; we will likely end up with a higher rate of price inflation.

In this scenario, the retiree was able to withdraw the desired income each year, adjusted for inflation, and still end up with over roughly USD 6 million in terminal wealth at the end of 199In this scenario, the retiree was able to withdraw the desired income each year, adjusted for inflation, and still end up with over roughly USD 6 million in terminal wealth at the end of 199in terminal wealth at the end of 1997.

While either scenario is possible, given the lack of rising inflation and the slack in our employment market, I believe scenario # 2 is more likely to occur than scenario # 1.

1 For each start date the scenario is the same: $ 1 million invested in the S&P 500 Index on January 1, a $ 100,000 initial annual withdrawal which increases with inflation, the balance remains invested in the S&P 500.

We saw this scenario in the high inflation 1970s.

My total savings would only need to be $ 400k in this scenario, the income would grow with inflation (more or less), and all 65 + income would just be gravy

Societe Generale strategist Dylan Grice is concerned that as a result of the Federal Reserve's ongoing quantitative easing programs, all scenarios going forward lead to inflation in the United States.

If the inflation rate announced in November is 0 % or less, you will earn no interest from November 1 through April 30; in this worst case scenario, you will have earned $ 230 on your $ 10,000 for about 11 months (assuming you bought the I Bonds at the end of May), which comes out to about 2.5 %.

In a significant inflation scenario, gold would soar, long T - bonds would tank, T - bills would actually earn nominal but not real money, and stocks would likely trail inflation, aside from investors that invest in low P / E stockIn a significant inflation scenario, gold would soar, long T - bonds would tank, T - bills would actually earn nominal but not real money, and stocks would likely trail inflation, aside from investors that invest in low P / E stockin low P / E stocks.

Won't the increased earning of MR points create an «inflation» scenario where an abundance of MR points leads to a decrease in value?

If this is the situation today, then you can envisage what would be the scenario in the future when the inflation is much higher.

It would also be assisting in the scenario of negative global inflation.

In an effort to help you better understand the environment, and therefore come to your own conclusions (hedges), I'll lay out an argument and counter argument for each scenario... Deflation, Stagflation, Inflation and Hyperinflation.