But scientists increasingly attribute much of the observed grounding line retreat — particularly in West Antarctica — to
the influence of warmer ocean water seeping beneath the ice shelves and lapping against the bases of glaciers, melting the ice from the bottom up.
Over the last few years, research has increasingly suggested that ice loss in this region is heavily driven by
the influence of the warming ocean.
A regional climate model study examines
the influence of warm ocean surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Atlantic in summer to see what an increase of a few degrees Celsius does to rainfall.
But scientists increasingly attribute much of the observed grounding line retreat — particularly in West Antarctica — to
the influence of warmer ocean water seeping beneath the ice shelves and lapping against the bases of glaciers, melting the ice from the bottom up.
Not exact matches
He points to the
influence of the Pacific
Ocean, which can make winters
warm in California and summers cool.
While natural patterns
of certain atmospheric and
ocean conditions are already known to
influence Greenland melt, the study highlights the importance
of a long - term
warming trend to account for the unprecedented west Greenland melt rates in recent years.
Warm water flowing through the Indonesian archipelago from the Pacific to the Indian
Ocean influences the climate
of the surrounding regions.
That region, he says, is susceptible to even small amounts
of warming and cooling from the atmosphere — and how cold the water gets
influences how much or how little it sinks, thereby driving or delaying, respectively, the
ocean conveyer belt.
Changes in flow patterns
of warm Pacific
Ocean air from the south were driving earlier spring snowmelt, while decreasing summer sea ice had the greatest
influence on later onset
of snowpack in the fall.
The next step was see how those factors were
influenced by ENSO; while El Niños and La Niñas are defined by how much
warmer or colder than normal tropical Pacific
ocean waters are, they trigger a cascade
of reactions in the atmosphere that can alter weather patterns around the globe.
Another principal investigator for the project, Laura Pan, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., believes storm clusters over this area
of the Pacific are likely to
influence climate in new ways, especially as the
warm ocean temperatures (which feed the storms and chimney) continue to heat up and atmospheric patterns continue to evolve.
The science team obtained vital information about the physical characteristics within one large
warm - water eddy, which likely originated from the North Brazil Current, and analyzed its potential
influence on sub-surface
ocean conditions during the passage
of tropical cyclones.
«
Warm summers could weaken
ocean circulation: Long - term observations reveal the
influence of increased surface freshening on convection in the subpolar North Atlantic.»
The study marks the first time that human
influence on the climate has been demonstrated in the water cycle, and outside the bounds
of typical physical responses such as
warming deep
ocean and sea surface temperatures or diminishing sea ice and snow cover extent.
Whether the loss
of mass by the glaciers is due to natural variation or is caused by human -
influenced warming of the
oceans is not known for sure.
For the late 20th century, a period
of strong greenhouse gas increases, but with diminishing solar
influence, variability in
ocean warming shown in the profiles falls much further still.
The
oceans were one
of the clear
warm areas
of the globe during the year, particularly the Indian
Ocean and the tropical Pacific
Ocean, which was under the
influence of an incredibly strong El Niño.
While not nearly as dramatic, the
influence of solar,
ocean, and wind patterns is much more immediate, but these effects generally alternate between
warming and cooling over the course
of months to decades in relation to their respective cycles.
... Discernible human
influences now extend to other aspects
of climate, including
ocean warming, continental - average temperatures, temperature extremes, and wind patterns The ASA endorses the IPCC conclusions
Given the atmospheric lifetime
of carbon dioxide is many hundreds to thousands
of years, we can now understand that long - lived greenhouses will also continue to exert a
warming influence on the worlds
oceans for a very long time.
At the same time, increasing depth and duration
of drought, along with
warmer temperatures enabling the spread
of pine beetles has increased the flammability
of this forest region — http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v1/n9/full/nclimate1293.html http://www.vancouversun.com/fires+through+tinder+pine+beetle+killed+forests/10047293/story.html Can climate models give different TCR and ECS with different timing / extent
of when or how much boreal forest burns, and how the soot generated alters the date
of an ice free Arctic
Ocean or the rate
of Greenland ice melt and its
influence on long term dynamics
of the AMOC transport
of heat?
ENSO events, for example, can
warm or cool
ocean surface temperatures through exchange
of heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent
of cloud cover (which
influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
Human
influence has been detected in
warming of the atmosphere and the
ocean, in changes in the global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes.
ENSO events, for example, can
warm or cool
ocean surface temperatures through exchange
of heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent
of cloud cover (which
influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
What happens to global temperature trends when you factor in the potentially confounding
influence of ocean warming and cooling cycles?
The salinity levels
of the northern
ocean region are also influence by the inflow of warm and salty water from lower latitudes in the Atlantic O
ocean region are also
influence by the inflow
of warm and salty water from lower latitudes in the Atlantic
OceanOcean.
It's important to note that a substantial short - term
influence on the globe's average temperature, the cycle
of El Niño warmth and La Niña cooling in the tropical Pacific
Ocean, was in the
warm phase until May but a La Niña cooling is forecast later this year, according to the Climate Prediction Center
of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
But efforts to tease out the impact
of human - driven global
warming in the region are complicated by the big
influence around the Bering Sea
of natural variations in
ocean conditions, including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
12
Ocean Currents, Weather and Climate These convection currents create
warm and cold «streams» that
influence the weather and climate
of the land they pass.
Human
influence has been detected in
warming of the atmosphere and the
ocean, in changes in the global water cycle, in reductions in snow and ice, in global mean sea level rise, and in changes in some climate extremes (see Figure SPM.6 and Table SPM.1).
Dan Barrie, program manager at NOAA, called the research «compelling» and said: «[It] provides a powerful illustration
of how the remote eastern tropical Pacific guides the behaviour
of the global
ocean - atmosphere system, in this case exhibiting a discernible
influence on the recent hiatus in global
warming.»
Therefore
warming of the
oceans by a degree or two has little
influence on the balance (it's compensated by a addition
of a few ppm in the atmospheric concentration).
The global temperature switches from cooling to
warming mode frequently as a result
of the ever changing interplay between variations in solar
influence and intermittent heat flows from the
oceans.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a
warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage including the fact that
oceans are now
warmer, and regional
ocean circulation cycles such as La Nina / El Nino patterns in the Pacific which affect upper atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the
influence of climate change.
Further analyses
of long coupled model runs will be critical to resolve the
influence of the
ocean thermohaline circulation and other natural climate variations on Arctic climate and to determine whether natural climate variability will make the Arctic more or less vulnerable to anthropogenic global
warming.»
Although global
warming appears to have taken a breather over the past decade and a half, the leveling off
of average global temperatures is likely just a temporary phenomenon that is due to other climate
influences from the sun's radiance level to natural temperature oscillations in the Pacific
ocean.
In particular,
warming of the Indian
Ocean influenced monsoon rains, Giannini et al. (2003).
While scientific models can tell us what is going to happen as the earth
warms, climate change will also be
influenced by small so far neglected fluctuations in chemistry such as these pH changes in our
oceans, affecting billions
of creatures, and
of course, us.
This would be some combination
of warmings and coolings due to natural and / or human influences such as aerosols, instabilities in ocean currents, Length - Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17, Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc
of warmings and coolings due to natural and / or human
influences such as aerosols, instabilities in
ocean currents, Length -
Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17, Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc
Of - Day (LOD) fluctuations, the stadium wave (Wyatt and Curry), the 3M effect (me, December 17, Global Environmental Change section, this AGU Fall Meeting), etc. etc..
Natural climate patterns (think, El Niño) occur regularly because
of warmer ocean waters and
influence areas like regional climates and marine life.
Many factors — like the thermohaline circulation, which reverses direction at the poles as
warm salty water releases heat into the air and sinks down to the bottom — are heavily
influenced by the
ocean's salinity, and thus, the movement
of freshwater into and around the Arctic plays an important role in shaping both regional and global climate.
Other important natural climate
influences like El Niño, the recurring
warming of ocean waters in the tropical east - central Pacific Ocean, are more difficult to extract from climate datasets for two rea
ocean waters in the tropical east - central Pacific
Ocean, are more difficult to extract from climate datasets for two rea
Ocean, are more difficult to extract from climate datasets for two reasons.
In times when the
oceans are
warming, there could be several factors that
influence this, each with varying contributions based on natural and / or anthropogenic variability: 1) Greater solar output 2) Less aerosols in the atmosphere 3) Less cloudiness (especially
of a certain type) 4) Increased greenhouse gases
... Discernible human
influences now extend to other aspects
of climate, including
ocean warming, continental - average temperatures, temperature extremes, and wind patterns The ASA endorses the IPCC conclusions
She suggests that future shelf stability studies should consider the role
of the
ocean's
influence, like the effects
of warm water pulses flowing under the Cosgrove Ice Shelf.
«Ice loss also increases
warming and can
influence ocean circulation and weather — all
of which can have impacts on people and ecosystems outside
of the Arctic.»
Steve Fitzpatrick says: «It is an real contribution to link the ENSO to the AMO (this gives the AMO a more solid rational for
influencing global temperatures), but it is I think unwise to suggest that ENSO driven cycles are (rather than could possibly be) responsible for most
of the observed
ocean surface
warming since 1900.»
It is an real contribution to link the ENSO to the AMO (this gives the AMO a more solid rational for
influencing global temperatures), but it is I think unwise to suggest that ENSO driven cycles are (rather than could possibly be) responsible for most
of the observed
ocean surface
warming since 1900.
Plankton forms the main food
of many
ocean species, and fisheries could be badly hit by the loss
of these micro-organisms as a result
of warmer waters, according to the paper, published this week in the British journal Nature... Other factors that
influence phytoplankton growth include [iron] dust blown from the land, and variations in solar radiation.
And because the Arctic is the fastest -
warming region on Earth, and because atmosphere and
ocean influence each other, the steady loss
of sea ice each year has forced a change in wind patterns.