Sentences with phrase «influence on extreme events»

· Accelerating influence on extreme events: including floods and droughts.
This change in long timescale climate variability could have influences on extreme events and seasonal variability.

Not exact matches

There began to be the sense that events could be influenced only by large - scale, remote economic or governmental forces, or by extreme political initiatives on the right or on the left.
Among others, I have requested hearings on new findings on the impacts of climate change on agriculture, new findings regarding the probability that extreme weather events are influenced by climate change, and new analysis of earth surface temperatures.
In December, a special edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society included a selection of studies investigating the influence of climate change on a variety of recent extreme weather and climate events, including marine heat waves.
Many of the other 24 studies in the new issue found a strong likelihood of human influence on extreme weather events, but stopped short of saying they were completely out of the realm of natural variability.
A report in 2014 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration pointed to human - caused climate change as a significant influence on some extreme weather events in 2013 — notably heat waves in Europe, Asia and Australia.
To attribute any specific extreme weather event — such as the downpours that caused flooding in Pakistan or Australia, for example — requires running such computer models thousands of times to detect any possible human impact amidst all the natural influences on a given day's weather.
In addition, noted climate scientist Peter Stott of the U.K. Met Office, these studies show that in many cases, human influence on climate has increased the risks associated with extreme events.
But decision makers need to appreciate the influence of global warming on extreme climate and weather events.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climate.
Jiacan has worked on several projects on climate dynamics, including the response of large - scale circulations in the warming climate, its effects on regional weather patterns and extreme events, tropical influence on mid-latitude weather, and dynamical mechanisms of sub-seasonal variability of mid-latitude jet streams.
There is increasing concern that extreme events may be changing in frequency and intensity as a result of human influences on climate.
In 2014, Climate Central helped create the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, a groundbreaking international effort to analyze and communicate the possible influence of climate change on extreme weather events such as storms, extreme rainfall, heat waves, cold spells, and droughts.
Professor Allen will explore the role of human influence on climate in recent extreme weather events.
Monday 27th February, 18.30 - 20.00 Room 1.07 Western Gateway Building Western Road, UCC, Cork Tickets free Eventbrite Professor Allen will explore the role of human influence on climate in recent extreme weather events.
«The coupling of these two models is predicated on the assertion that climate change drives changes in extreme events, extreme events interact with human perception of risk to influence emissions behaviors and emissions behaviors then feed back into climate change, leading to a fully interacting model.»
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climate.
Consequently, an international team of researchers led by Markus Reichstein, director at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany, investigated the influence of extreme climate events on the carbon cycle of land ecosystems and if the resulting additional CO2 emissions feedback on climate change.
One example of an effective metaphor that he provides (and indeed, which I sometimes use myself) is the notion of «weather on steroids» as a way of communicating the statistical nature of the subtle — but very real — influence that climate change is having on certain types of extreme weather events.
It's a daunting task to try to detect any links between short - term fluctuations in extreme weather events and the rising influence of accumulating greenhouse gases on climate, given that extreme weather is, by definition, rare.
This influence of climate change on some extremes, including especially heat waves and heavy precipitation and some kinds of storm and flood events must no longer be waved away, swept under the rug, or otherwise ignored.
This result would be strongly dependent on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays global models.Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of extreme events.
Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of extreme events.
By exaggerating the influence of climate change on today's weather and climate - related extreme events, a part of our community is painting itself into a rhetorical corner.
In my research group, we are focused on understanding whether global warming has influenced the probability of a given kind of extreme event (such as the probability of a warm December in Alaska).
So: The study finds a fingerprint of anthropogenic influences on large scale increase in precipitation extremes, with remaining uncertainties — namely that there is still a possibility that the widespread increase in heavy precipitation could be due to an unusual event of natural variability.The intensification of extreme rainfall is expected with warming, and there is a clear physical mechanism for it, but it is never possible to completely separate a signal of external forcing from climate variability — the separation will always be statistical in nature.
There are very real decisions that depend on having accurate, understandable information about the influence of global warming on these kinds of extreme events.
«Since the AR4, there is some new limited direct evidence for an anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation, including a formal detection and attribution study and indirect evidence that extreme precipitation would be expected to have increased given the evidence of anthropogenic influence on various aspects of the global hydrological cycle and high confidence that the intensity of extreme precipitation events will increase with warming, at a rate well exceeding that of the mean precipitation..
People affected by an extreme weather event (e.g., the extremely hot summer in Europe in 2003, or the heavy rainfall in Mumbai, India in July 2005) often ask whether human influences on the climate are responsible for the event.
Recent trends, assessment of human influence on trends, and projections of extreme weather and climate events for which there is evidence of an observed late 20th - century trend.
The press actually produced quite a bit of nuanced coverage, which explained that while it's impossible to peg any single weather event to climate change, many scientists felt that summer's extremes would not have been possible without humanity's influence on the climate system.
An event attribution framework is used to quantify the influence of anthropogenic forcings on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada region.
Look At the Trends in Extreme Weather and See the State of the World BY EDITOR OF THE FABIUS MAXIMUS WEBSITE ON 5 APRIL 2017 • Summary: Climate activists make bold claims about extreme weather caused by our CO2 emissions, attributing most big weather events to CO2's influence.
While a warming climate is influencing extreme events, by making them stronger or more frequent, it can't be said to have «caused» an event on its own.
Research has shown that extreme weather events, such as droughts, will become more frequent in the future due to climate change, although it was found to have «not [been] a major influence» on a severe drought in southeastern Brazil in 2014 - 15.
At a time when global warming is projected to produce more extreme weather, the study provides the most comprehensive look yet at the influence of such events on crop area, yields and production around the world.
In particular, my foci include modeling trends in the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice variability on midlatitude extreme weather events.
Evidence indicates that the human influence on climate has already roughly doubled the probability of extreme heat events such as the record - breaking summer heat experienced in 2011 in Texas and Oklahoma.
``... there is now strong evidence linking specific [extreme] events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.»
The observed influence of the NAO on extreme precipitation is largest in eastern North America, with the likelihood of a negative phase extreme rainfall event decreased in the north and increased in the south under the positive phase of the NAO.
Monday 27th February, 18.30 - 20.00 Room 1.07 Western Gateway Building Western Road, UCC, Cork Tickets free Eventbrite Professor Allen will explore the role of human influence on climate in recent extreme weather events.
Many extreme events are influenced by circulation features that occur outside, or on the edges of, RCM domains.
The evidence for human influence on the probability of extreme precipitation events, droughts, and storms is more mixed.
The overall objective of the research was to produce a comprehensive study about the frequency, intensity, spatial and temporal variation and the impacts of the extreme weather and sea level events that are relevant from the point of safety of nuclear power plants, as well as clarify the influence of climate change on these.
The human influence on extreme weather events that lead to such floods, thereby affecting freshwater supply in Bangladesh, will be quantified.
In our view, this type of deals only serves as a band - aid on a very serious issue because they can not prevent Haiti from being hit by climate change influenced weather events such as extreme floods or severe hurricanes.
Jiacan has worked on several projects on climate dynamics, including the response of large - scale circulations in the warming climate, its effects on regional weather patterns and extreme events, tropical influence on mid-latitude weather, and dynamical mechanisms of sub-seasonal variability of mid-latitude jet streams.
In the scientific literature, the influence of global warming on extreme events is therefore usually discussed in terms of probabilities, which is more fitted to stochastic events.
By comparing the numbers of extreme temperature and drought events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a heatwave or drought has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climate.
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