· Accelerating
influence on extreme events: including floods and droughts.
This change in long timescale climate variability could have
influences on extreme events and seasonal variability.
Not exact matches
There began to be the sense that
events could be
influenced only by large - scale, remote economic or governmental forces, or by
extreme political initiatives
on the right or
on the left.
Among others, I have requested hearings
on new findings
on the impacts of climate change
on agriculture, new findings regarding the probability that
extreme weather
events are
influenced by climate change, and new analysis of earth surface temperatures.
In December, a special edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society included a selection of studies investigating the
influence of climate change
on a variety of recent
extreme weather and climate
events, including marine heat waves.
Many of the other 24 studies in the new issue found a strong likelihood of human
influence on extreme weather
events, but stopped short of saying they were completely out of the realm of natural variability.
A report in 2014 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration pointed to human - caused climate change as a significant
influence on some
extreme weather
events in 2013 — notably heat waves in Europe, Asia and Australia.
To attribute any specific
extreme weather
event — such as the downpours that caused flooding in Pakistan or Australia, for example — requires running such computer models thousands of times to detect any possible human impact amidst all the natural
influences on a given day's weather.
In addition, noted climate scientist Peter Stott of the U.K. Met Office, these studies show that in many cases, human
influence on climate has increased the risks associated with
extreme events.
But decision makers need to appreciate the
influence of global warming
on extreme climate and weather
events.
By comparing the numbers of
extreme rainfall
events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human
influence on climate.
Jiacan has worked
on several projects
on climate dynamics, including the response of large - scale circulations in the warming climate, its effects
on regional weather patterns and
extreme events, tropical
influence on mid-latitude weather, and dynamical mechanisms of sub-seasonal variability of mid-latitude jet streams.
There is increasing concern that
extreme events may be changing in frequency and intensity as a result of human
influences on climate.
In 2014, Climate Central helped create the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, a groundbreaking international effort to analyze and communicate the possible
influence of climate change
on extreme weather
events such as storms,
extreme rainfall, heat waves, cold spells, and droughts.
Professor Allen will explore the role of human
influence on climate in recent
extreme weather
events.
Monday 27th February, 18.30 - 20.00 Room 1.07 Western Gateway Building Western Road, UCC, Cork Tickets free Eventbrite Professor Allen will explore the role of human
influence on climate in recent
extreme weather
events.
«The coupling of these two models is predicated
on the assertion that climate change drives changes in
extreme events,
extreme events interact with human perception of risk to
influence emissions behaviors and emissions behaviors then feed back into climate change, leading to a fully interacting model.»
By comparing the numbers of
extreme rainfall
events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human
influence on climate.
Consequently, an international team of researchers led by Markus Reichstein, director at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany, investigated the
influence of
extreme climate
events on the carbon cycle of land ecosystems and if the resulting additional CO2 emissions feedback
on climate change.
One example of an effective metaphor that he provides (and indeed, which I sometimes use myself) is the notion of «weather
on steroids» as a way of communicating the statistical nature of the subtle — but very real —
influence that climate change is having
on certain types of
extreme weather
events.
It's a daunting task to try to detect any links between short - term fluctuations in
extreme weather
events and the rising
influence of accumulating greenhouse gases
on climate, given that
extreme weather is, by definition, rare.
This
influence of climate change
on some
extremes, including especially heat waves and heavy precipitation and some kinds of storm and flood
events must no longer be waved away, swept under the rug, or otherwise ignored.
This result would be strongly dependent
on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays global models.Yes human
influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of
extreme events.
Yes human
influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of
extreme events.
By exaggerating the
influence of climate change
on today's weather and climate - related
extreme events, a part of our community is painting itself into a rhetorical corner.
In my research group, we are focused
on understanding whether global warming has
influenced the probability of a given kind of
extreme event (such as the probability of a warm December in Alaska).
So: The study finds a fingerprint of anthropogenic
influences on large scale increase in precipitation
extremes, with remaining uncertainties — namely that there is still a possibility that the widespread increase in heavy precipitation could be due to an unusual
event of natural variability.The intensification of
extreme rainfall is expected with warming, and there is a clear physical mechanism for it, but it is never possible to completely separate a signal of external forcing from climate variability — the separation will always be statistical in nature.
There are very real decisions that depend
on having accurate, understandable information about the
influence of global warming
on these kinds of
extreme events.
«Since the AR4, there is some new limited direct evidence for an anthropogenic
influence on extreme precipitation, including a formal detection and attribution study and indirect evidence that
extreme precipitation would be expected to have increased given the evidence of anthropogenic
influence on various aspects of the global hydrological cycle and high confidence that the intensity of
extreme precipitation
events will increase with warming, at a rate well exceeding that of the mean precipitation..
People affected by an
extreme weather
event (e.g., the extremely hot summer in Europe in 2003, or the heavy rainfall in Mumbai, India in July 2005) often ask whether human
influences on the climate are responsible for the
event.
Recent trends, assessment of human
influence on trends, and projections of
extreme weather and climate
events for which there is evidence of an observed late 20th - century trend.
The press actually produced quite a bit of nuanced coverage, which explained that while it's impossible to peg any single weather
event to climate change, many scientists felt that summer's
extremes would not have been possible without humanity's
influence on the climate system.
An
event attribution framework is used to quantify the
influence of anthropogenic forcings
on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada region.
Look At the Trends in
Extreme Weather and See the State of the World BY EDITOR OF THE FABIUS MAXIMUS WEBSITE
ON 5 APRIL 2017 • Summary: Climate activists make bold claims about
extreme weather caused by our CO2 emissions, attributing most big weather
events to CO2's
influence.
While a warming climate is
influencing extreme events, by making them stronger or more frequent, it can't be said to have «caused» an
event on its own.
Research has shown that
extreme weather
events, such as droughts, will become more frequent in the future due to climate change, although it was found to have «not [been] a major
influence»
on a severe drought in southeastern Brazil in 2014 - 15.
At a time when global warming is projected to produce more
extreme weather, the study provides the most comprehensive look yet at the
influence of such
events on crop area, yields and production around the world.
In particular, my foci include modeling trends in the timing of transition seasons, such as spring, and evaluating the
influences of Arctic amplification and sea ice variability
on midlatitude
extreme weather
events.
Evidence indicates that the human
influence on climate has already roughly doubled the probability of
extreme heat
events such as the record - breaking summer heat experienced in 2011 in Texas and Oklahoma.
``... there is now strong evidence linking specific [
extreme]
events or an increase in their numbers to the human
influence on climate.»
The observed
influence of the NAO
on extreme precipitation is largest in eastern North America, with the likelihood of a negative phase
extreme rainfall
event decreased in the north and increased in the south under the positive phase of the NAO.
Monday 27th February, 18.30 - 20.00 Room 1.07 Western Gateway Building Western Road, UCC, Cork Tickets free Eventbrite Professor Allen will explore the role of human
influence on climate in recent
extreme weather
events.
Many
extreme events are
influenced by circulation features that occur outside, or
on the edges of, RCM domains.
The evidence for human
influence on the probability of
extreme precipitation
events, droughts, and storms is more mixed.
The overall objective of the research was to produce a comprehensive study about the frequency, intensity, spatial and temporal variation and the impacts of the
extreme weather and sea level
events that are relevant from the point of safety of nuclear power plants, as well as clarify the
influence of climate change
on these.
The human
influence on extreme weather
events that lead to such floods, thereby affecting freshwater supply in Bangladesh, will be quantified.
In our view, this type of deals only serves as a band - aid
on a very serious issue because they can not prevent Haiti from being hit by climate change
influenced weather
events such as
extreme floods or severe hurricanes.
Jiacan has worked
on several projects
on climate dynamics, including the response of large - scale circulations in the warming climate, its effects
on regional weather patterns and
extreme events, tropical
influence on mid-latitude weather, and dynamical mechanisms of sub-seasonal variability of mid-latitude jet streams.
In the scientific literature, the
influence of global warming
on extreme events is therefore usually discussed in terms of probabilities, which is more fitted to stochastic
events.
By comparing the numbers of
extreme temperature and drought
events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a heatwave or drought has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human
influence on climate.