Not exact matches
This is the first time anyone has examined regional climate
change in the central United States by directly comparing the
influence of
greenhouse gas emissions to agriculture, says Nathan Mueller, an earth systems scientist at the University of California (UC), Irvine, who was not involved with this study.
Their findings: natural
influences such as
changes in the amount of sunlight or volcanic eruptions did not explain the warming trends, but the results matched when increasing levels of
greenhouse gas emissions were added to the mix.
«This study is the best estimate we have to date of how effectively behavioural
change could cut US
greenhouse gas emissions,» says Ruth Rettie, who leads Project Charm, a group based at Kingston University
in London that investigates ways
in which people's behaviour could be
influenced.
In addition, both internal variability and aerosol forcing are likely to affect tropical storms in large part though changes in ocean temperature gradients (thereby changing ITCZ position and vertical shear), while greenhouse gases likely exert their influence by more uniformly changing ocean and tropospheric temperatures, so the physics of the problem may suggest this decomposition as more natural as wel
In addition, both internal variability and aerosol forcing are likely to affect tropical storms
in large part though changes in ocean temperature gradients (thereby changing ITCZ position and vertical shear), while greenhouse gases likely exert their influence by more uniformly changing ocean and tropospheric temperatures, so the physics of the problem may suggest this decomposition as more natural as wel
in large part though
changes in ocean temperature gradients (thereby changing ITCZ position and vertical shear), while greenhouse gases likely exert their influence by more uniformly changing ocean and tropospheric temperatures, so the physics of the problem may suggest this decomposition as more natural as wel
in ocean temperature gradients (thereby
changing ITCZ position and vertical shear), while
greenhouse gases likely exert their
influence by more uniformly
changing ocean and tropospheric temperatures, so the physics of the problem may suggest this decomposition as more natural as well.
But there are vast volumes of studies concluding that rising concentrations of
greenhouse gases are already
influencing the climate and will continue to raise the odds of fiercer floods, drier droughts and other disruptive
changes, including a quickening pace of coastal retreats (and all as human populations soar
in some of the world's most vulnerable places).
there is no evidence, none, zero, that any composition
change, associated with any extraordinary «
greenhouse gas»
change has ever left an
influence on the global climate that could be seen
in the geological record.
It seems oddly tendentious to deny for instance the role of natural variability on the basis that some of the recent
changes in these long standing climate patterns may be
influenced by
greenhouse gases.
* The role of the US
in global efforts to address pollutants that are broadly dispersed across national borders, such as
greenhouse gasses, persistent organic pollutants, ozone, etc...; * How they view a president's ability to
influence national science policy
in a way that will persist beyond their term (s), as would be necessary for example to address global climate
change or enhancement of science education nationwide; * Their perspective on the relative roles that scientific knowledge, ethics, economics, and faith should play
in resolving debates over embryonic stem cell research, evolution education, human population growth, etc... * What specific steps they would take to prevent the introduction of political or economic bias
in the dissemination and use of scientific knowledge; * (and many more...)
While it is «likely» that anthropogenic
influences are behind the
changes in cold days and warm days, there is only «medium confidence» that they are behind
changes in extreme rainfall events, and «low confidence»
in attributing any
changes in tropical cyclone activity to
greenhouse gas emissions or anything else humanity has done.
Any
change in the strength of natural (volcanic, solar)
influences based on historical variations will have an opposite effect on the
influence of
greenhouse gases, and thus on man - made emissions.
There is still a lot of work being done on this, but I wouldn't anticipate much of a significant
change in NAO over 2005 - 2007 since there is a lot of noise and a lot of other
influences — not least
greenhouse gases, which with either mechanism, provide an opposing tendency.
The lines of evidence and analysis supporting the mainstream position on climate
change are diverse and robust — embracing a huge body of direct measurements by a variety of methods
in a wealth of locations on the Earth's surface and from space, solid understanding of the basic physics governing how energy flow
in the atmosphere interacts with
greenhouse gases, insights derived from the reconstruction of causes and consequences of millions of years of natural climatic variations, and the results of computer models that are increasingly capable of reproducing the main features of Earth's climate with and without human
influences.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (big pdf file) and other climate - research groups have largely rejected the hypothesis that variations
in the sun's behavior could have played a big role
in warming since 1950 (the period
in which the panel and the vast majority of climate specialists see abundant evidence that a human - caused buildup of
greenhouse gases is the main
influence).
When reconstructing Earth's climate history, it can't be explained without including all the various
influences, including solar irradiance, volcanism, albedo, orbital variations, continental drift, mountain building, variations
in sea currents,
changes in greenhouse gases, even cometary impacts.
The latest en vogue explanation linking human
greenhouse gas emissions to strong winter - season East Coast storms involves
changes in the characteristics of the jet stream — a river of fast moving air
in the atmosphere that
influences both the strength and the forward speed of extratropical storm systems.
In particular, the authors find fault with IPCC's conclusions relating to human activities being the primary cause of recent global warming, claiming, contrary to significant evidence that they tend to ignore, that the comparatively small influences of natural changes in solar radiation are dominating the influences of the much larger effects of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
In particular, the authors find fault with IPCC's conclusions relating to human activities being the primary cause of recent global warming, claiming, contrary to significant evidence that they tend to ignore, that the comparatively small
influences of natural
changes in solar radiation are dominating the influences of the much larger effects of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
in solar radiation are dominating the
influences of the much larger effects of
changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
in the atmospheric
greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balance.
«
Changes in the sun's energy was one of the biggest factors
influencing climate
change during this period, but have since been superceded by
greenhouse gases due to the industrial revolution.»
The summer - winter
changes in insolation are much larger than those due to human - induced
greenhouse gas changes; the seasonal
change is mainly
in the visible part of the electromagnetic spectrum while the
greenhouse gas forcing is
in the infrared; the
greenhouse gas influence is global while the seasonal
changes are opposite
in the two hemispheres; and we have a much longer history of observing the seasonal
changes, so a more or less correct prediction can be made empirically, without any physical understanding.
On the question of hurricanes, the theoretical arguments that more energy and water vapor
in the atmosphere should lead to stronger storms are really sound (after all, storm intensity increases going from pole toward equator), but determining precisely how human
influences (so including GHGs [
greenhouse gases] and aerosols, and land cover
change) should be
changing hurricanes
in a system where there are natural external (solar and volcanoes) and internal (e.g., ENSO, NAO [El Nino - Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation]-RRB-
influences is quite problematic — our climate models are just not good enough yet to carry out the types of sensitivity tests that have been done using limited area hurricane models run for relatively short times.
The red line incorporates natural
influences like
changes in solar output and volcanic activity but virtually all of the long - term warming is attributable to human - caused increases
in greenhouse gasses.
This is the first time anyone has examined regional climate
change in the central United States by directly comparing the
influence of
greenhouse gas emissions to agriculture, says Nathan Mueller, an earth systems scientist at the University of California (UC), Irvine, who was not involved with this study.
In one world, greenhouse gases, deforestation, and other climate influences were allowed to change much as they did in the real world between the mid-1800s and the presen
In one world,
greenhouse gases, deforestation, and other climate
influences were allowed to
change much as they did
in the real world between the mid-1800s and the presen
in the real world between the mid-1800s and the present.
We instead conclude that solar forcing probably had a minor effect on Northern Hemisphere climate over the past 1,000 years, while, volcanic eruptions and
changes in greenhouse gas concentrations seem to be the most important
influence over this period.
To slow the rate of anthropogenic - induced climate
change in the 21st century and to minimize its eventual magnitude, societies will need to manage the climate forcing factors that are directly
influenced by human activities,
in particular
greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions.
Note the
change of wording
in the attribution statement AR4: «
greenhouse gases» AR5: «human
influence» Roger Pielke Sr will approve of this I think.
Global climate
change is
influenced by the average concentration of
greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere and it does not matter where the carbon dioxide was emitted.
You may wonder why the government finds the need to pursue such action since 1) U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have already topped out and have generally been on the decline for the past 7 - 8 years or so (from technological advances
in natural
gas extraction and a slow economy more so than from already - enacted government regulations and subsidies); 2)
greenhouse gases from the rest of the world (primarily driven by China) have been sky - rocketing over the same period, which lessens any impacts that our emissions reduction have); and 3) even
in their totality, U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have a negligible
influence on local / regional / global climate
change (even a immediate and permanent cessation of all our carbon dioxide emissions would likely result
in a mitigation of global temperature rise of less than one - quarter of a degree C by the end of the century).
There is evidence that some extremes have
changed as a result of anthropogenic
influences, including increases
in atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases.
But to quantify the
influences (or «forcings»
in climate jargon) even further, they considered three anthropogenic forcings — well - mixed
greenhouse gases, sulfate aerosols, and tropospheric and stratospheric ozone — as well as two natural forcings —
changes in solar irradiance and volcanic aerosols — all of which are likely to
influence tropopause height.»
I think it is really important to make that distinction - that there are a number of factors that
influence the extent of Arctic sea ice, some of them of course associated with
changes in the radiative forcing from the atmosphere, as a result of anthropogenic
greenhouse gases and aerosols, but also
changes in the atmospheric circulation and also the advection of heat into or out of the Arctic by the ocean circulation.
[38] Radiative forcing quantifies the effect of factors that
influence Earth's energy balance, including
changes in the concentrations of
greenhouse gases.
The science on tropical cyclones is complicated and ultimately unclear
in terms of the
influence of
greenhouse gas emissions, but is quite clear when it comes to the
influence of demographics and wealth vs. climate
change — the former grossly dominates the latter when it comes to future tropical cyclone disasters.