By: Betsy Turner - Bogren and Helen Wiggins, ARCUS SIPN 2017 During the final months of funding for
the initial Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN) project, efforts were focused on the core Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) activities in the summer and fall of 2017.
During the final months of funding for
the initial Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN) project, efforts were focused on the core Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) activities in the summer and fall of 2017.
Not exact matches
This is quite subtle though — weather forecast models obviously do better if they have
initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model
predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic
sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.
The ensemble consists of seven members each of which uses a unique set of NCEP / NCAR atmospheric forcing fields from recent years, representing recent climate, such that ensemble member 1 uses 2005 NCEP / NCAR forcing, member 2 uses 2006 forcing..., and member 7 uses 2011 forcing... In addition, the recently available IceBridge and helicopter - based electromagnetic (HEM)
ice thickness quicklook data are assimilated into the
initial 12 - category
sea ice thickness distribution fields in order to improve the
initial conditions for the
predictions.
Collow, T.W., W. Wang, A. Kumar, and J. Zhang, Improving Arctic
sea ice prediction using PIOMAS
initial sea ice thickness in a coupled ocean - atmosphere model, Mon..