We've already seen in the Chinese wind industry how the dogmatic pursuit of
installed capacity targets came at the expense of actual generation as many wind farms were left unconnected to the grid (see a previous post on the wind industry).
Not exact matches
China alone has a
target of building 49 gigawatts of new
capacity between now and 2020, Agence France - Presse reports, roughly equalling the world's current
installed solar
capacity.
It will also expand use of natural gas and clean energy sources such as hydro, wind, geothermal and nuclear energy (specific
targets include: 200 GW of
installed wind
capacity and 100 GW of
installed solar
capacity by 2020).
The government has set a
target for
installed solar power generating
capacity to reach 15 gigawatts by 2015 and wind power
capacity to hit 100 GW, China National Radio reported, citing an announcement from the National Energy Administration.
The International Solar Alliance has set a
target of having at least 3 terawatts — or 3,000 gigawatts (GW)-- of additional solar power
capacity by 2030, up from the current
installed capacity of 71 GW.
A draft report on an Energy Department workshop on solar power's future last year said that preliminary analysis suggests that if solar power could hit a $ 1 per watt
target for
installed systems by 2020, one - third of the current cost, total U.S. solar generating
capacity could rise to 5 percent of the nation's total.
For example, a significant portion of India's new
installed power generation
capacity will come from renewable energy sources in order to meet its national
target of 15 percent renewable energy by 2020.
Adding up the provincial
targets, and accounting for
capacity already
installed in provinces not mentioned, the 13th FYP
target came out considerably higher.
Brazil's solar association has said that it expects it will reach 2 gigawatts (GW) worth of cumulative solar PV
capacity installed by the end of this year, having already hit the 1.1 GW mark and with enough projects in construction this year to hit the
target.
In the past China has set multiple» 5 year plans» for
installing wind
capacity, met each
target early, and then set a new, more aggressive
target.
India's 2027 renewable energy
target requires 57 % of
installed capacity to come from non-thermal energy, necessitating 21 - 22 GW annual renewable installations.
With 130 megawatts
installed in 2012 alone, China has quickly amassed the world's third largest offshore
capacity figure; the country's near - term offshore
targets are 5,000 megawatts by 2015 and 30,000 by 2020.
India has set out some of the world's most ambitious renewable energy policies, including a
target to ramp up solar
installed capacity to 100 GW by 2022.
The UK already leads the world in the amount of offshore wind
installed, and has set an ambitious
target of adding a further 18GW to its
capacity by 2020.
SaskPower's wind energy
target is part of a broader plan to have renewable energy sources represent 50 percent of
installed electricity generation
capacity in Saskatchewan within 15 years.
To put 260 MW into perspective, the national
target for all types of solar power (including non-photvoltaic solar such as concentrated solar power applications) for 2010 is 300 MW (to total
installed capacity at the end of 2007 was 100 MW).
Finally, the plan calls for 100 megawatts of
installed renewable energy
capacity on federally subsidized housing by 2020 and a 20 percent renewable procurement
target for federal buildings by that date.
Notwithstanding that and the lack of any subsidy or
targets, 6 % of Alberta's
installed generating
capacity is wind — the highest of any province.
For solar, the
target for
installed capacity will be 2 GW by 2011 and 20 GW by 2020 (previous
target was 1.8 GW by 2020); for wind, the new
target will be 35 GW by 2011 and 150 GW by 2020 (previous
target 30 GW by 2020); and for nuclear, the new
targets will be 12 GW by 2011 and 86 GW by 2020 (previous
target was 40 GW by 2020).
This more than quadruples the solar
targets India set last fall, and will increase the country's
installed solar
capacity by a factor of nearly forty.
That's not trivial, but even if it's achieved it won't be any more than solar PV (2020
target of 150 GW,
installing about 15 GW per year) even allowing for higher
capacity factors and less than wind (250 GW by 2020, up to 400 by 2030).
New wind
capacity has been
installed so rapidly in the last few years, it looked increasingly likely that Germany would overshoot its
target of 40 - 45 percent of total power consumption coming from renewables by 2025.