Sentences with phrase «instrumental estimates»
So, I would expect that the writing team would be interested to include an updated instrumental estimate based on the newest forcing estimates.
bishop-hill.net
GCM mean (dark blue # 1) and envelope (lighter blue) range of global surface temperature projections vs. HadCRUT4 (red # 1) and Cowtan & Way (red # 2) global surface temperature instrumental estimates.
However, proxy records are not as well distributed as weather stations, and so for these multi-centennial reconstructions there is more weight attached to each proxy than it would be for a weather station at the same spot in an instrumental estimate.
In fact, it is clear that the instrumental estimates run a bit warm relative to all of the proxy reconstructions (i.e., they suggest even less of a «little ice age» in the 18th and 19th centuries).