«This means temperatures will remain well above the long - term average and we will continue to see temperatures like those which resulted in 2000 - 2009 being the warmest decade in
the instrumental record dating back to 1850.»
Not exact matches
Until now,
instrumental temperature
records dating back to the middle of the nineteenth century have been compiled by three main research groups: NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in Greenbelt, Maryland; the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Washington DC; and a collaboration between Britain's Met Office and the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in Norwich, UK.
There are long
instrumental and historical
records in these regions which clearly show no «slippage» of
dating prior to 1816.
Figure 2 provides a comparison of them all, starting in AD 500 (the earliest
date in Mann 2008's global reconstruction), with the northern hemisphere
instrumental record shown for comparison.
If the paleo part of the chart has a granularity of 120 years, and the present temps are the annual
instrumental record (tortured to bend upwards), then it is clear that the medieval warm period (error bars) still make it stick up above the most stretched out hockey stick to
date.
«To produce temperature series that were completely up - to -
date (i.e. through to 1999) it was necessary to combine the temperature reconstructions with the
instrumental record, because the temperature reconstructions from proxy data (such as tree rings) ended many years earlier whereas the
instrumental record is updated every month.»
If you have an
instrumental way to demonstrate this «disappearing from our visible spectrum» hypothesis, then all sunspot observations prior to the
date that instrument began measuring must be all but thrown out, because we would have no clue what invisible priors existed, so the uncertainty of the pre-
instrumental record would skyrocket.
Instrumental climate
records aren't available for
dates before the mid-19th century so scientists must turn to data from «proxies» such as tree - rings, corals, and ice cores.
The analysis is based on Central England Temperature (CET) to 1659 which is the world's longest
instrumental record, and my own reconstruction from that
date to 1538.
As far as «hidden» ones go, where the averaged
instrumental record shows nothing that reaches our benchmark but the end result does, we have two identified to
date; the 1960/70's and the mid 1800's where the winters became noticeably milder as noted by Noah Webster of Dictionary fame.
To produce temperature series that were completely up - to -
date (i.e. through to 1999) it was necessary to combine the temperature reconstructions with the
instrumental record, because the temperature reconstructions from proxy data ended many years earlier whereas the
instrumental record is updated every month.
It was this latter
date when the CET
instrumental records began, and we can usefully bookend this era with two pieces of observational climate information.
Dr Mann, together with colleagues Bradley and Hughes, used
instrumental data from 1902 to 1998, (the
date of the study) together with a variety of proxies such as tree rings, in order to reconstruct a Northern Hemisphere
record of temperature anomalies back to the year 1400.
A warming trend can be observed from 1659, the start
date of Central England Temperature (CET)- the oldest
instrumental record in the world - to today.
Digitised
records for the whole country
date back to 1910 and data for the Central England Temperature
record dates back to 1654 - the world's longest
instrumental record.