A discernible trend of increasing temperatures and declining rainfall, coupled with more
intense cyclones and floods, is disrupting life across Tamil Nadu, which is currently battling a drought
There is evidence of a minimum of
intense cyclones occurring in the 1970s (11), which could indicate that our observed trend toward more
intense cyclones is a reflection of a long - period oscillation.
It is very likely that this trend also can be found for the periods 1975 - 1989 and 1990 - 2004, since there were more
intense cyclones before 1970 - 1974 than from 1975 - 1979 and there were quite a number of extreme cyclones from 2000 - 2004 according to JTWC.
Consequently, the higher frequency of
the intense cyclones during the last decade could come from a decline in the vertical shearing of the horizontal wind.
Still, it may make sense to start with policies based on the efficient - market concept (tax / credit), which should tend to have a desired effect (while markets are imperfect, it's not like they're worse than randomness; perhaps the efficient market concept is a little bit like the quasi-geostrophic approximation applied to midlatitude synoptic scale systems —
intense cyclones (large Ro) will require corrections, but it's a good place to start.).
Our people are already suffering coastal devastating impacts and losses at the current 0.8 °C of warming — coastal erosion, coral bleaching, salty drinking water, flooding, and more
intense cyclones and hurricanes.
Bangladesh and the Indian cities of Kolkata and Mumbai will be confronted with increased flooding,
intense cyclones, sea - level rise, and warming temperatures.
For rising sea levels, shrinking polar regions, diminishing glaciers, drier droughts, wetter floods, more
intense cyclones, say a growing global cadre of scientists.
Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina said a one - metre rise in sea level could displace 30 million people in her country, a delta nation of more than 150 million on the Bay of Bengal that faces heavy seasonal flooding and
intense cyclones.
Unlike coastal fisheries which have suffered due to more frequent and
intense cyclones, these aquaculture efforts can be sustained even in the face of climate - related challenges.
«We predicted that
intense cyclones will increase during the late monsoon season in the Arabian Sea due to anthropogenic (manmade) forcing,» says Hiroyuki Murakami, a Princeton... Read more
The range of
intense cyclones on the other side of the globe is more limited.
He told Thomson Reuters Foundation at the UN-backed climate talks in Warsaw that «the global frequency of tropical cyclones will change little (as a result of climate change) but the frequency of the most
intense cyclones will increase in some regions.»
The First reference happens to be fascinating, especially WRT the claim of increasing
intense cyclones:
Balanced against this, higher resolution modelling studies typically project substantial increases in the frequency of the most
intense cyclones, and increases of the order of 20 % in the precipitation rate within 100 km of the storm centre.
And a recent rash of unusually
intense cyclones may be linked to changes in the tropical Pacific.
La Nina bring frequent and
intense cyclones and rainfall to Australia and some 2 billion others.
Consequently I would expect a more active storm track and more
intense cyclones.
While some studies consistently project decreases in the globally averaged frequency of tropical cyclones, substantial increases are projected in the frequency of the most
intense cyclones.
The team interpreted those shifts as the effect of cyclonic winds moving above and below the black hole at speeds of about 4000 kilometers per second, tens of thousands of times stronger than the most
intense cyclones on Earth.
This diary of destruction shows that far fewer
intense cyclones have pummeled the Gulf coast in the last millennium than in previous times, according to a report presented here yesterday at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union.
The floods were quickly followed by one of the most
intense cyclone ever to hit Queensland.
Not exact matches
Two U.N. reports this month said greenhouse gases had reached record levels in the atmosphere and a warming world would likely bring more floods, stronger
cyclones and more
intense droughts.
Hurricane Rita is the fourth-most
intense Atlantic hurricane ever recorded and the most
intense tropical
cyclone observed in the Gulf of Mexico.
Instead, climate models project more
intense rains and tropical
cyclones, although
cyclones are expected to happen less frequently.
Over the past three decades, the incidence of
cyclones in the tropics has actually diminished — because while tropical
cyclones may become more
intense in a warmer climate, it is actually more difficult to generate them.
What he found was that not only were the simulations much closer to actual observations, but the high - resolution models were far better at reproducing
intense storms, such as hurricanes and
cyclones.
That signal is translating into all sorts of events — droughts,
intense rainfall, more
intense tropical
cyclone activity, crop stress, heat waves, and so on.
These shifts may include rising sea levels, stronger tropical
cyclones, the loss of soil moisture under higher temperatures, more
intense precipitation and flooding, more frequent droughts, the melting of glaciers and the changing seasonality of snowmelt.
Instead, the report focuses on problems that are likely to disproportionately hit developing countries: coastal inundation from rising sea levels, plummeting food production and associated malnutrition, unprecedented heat waves, increasing fresh water scarcity, more frequent and
intense tropical
cyclones, and the loss of biodiversity.
Intense tropical
cyclone activity has increased since about 1970.
The research shows a consistent progression in these conditions, suggesting that the Bay of Bengal will be the location of increasingly
intense post-monsoon
cyclones.
Hurricanes and tropical
cyclones become up to 50 percent more
intense when passing over oceans inundated with fresh water
It is very rare for a tropical
cyclone to make landfall from the south in the state, although the remnants have sometimes brought
intense rain to the region as the storms break up and move into the southwest U.S.
Dennis: Due to
intense fist pumping, God of War III will cause a
cyclone that demolishes all attendees.
In the past 16 months, two exceptionally
intense tropical
cyclones, Haiyan and Pam, have struck the western Pacific with devastating effect.
Tropical storms can be fairly mighty too... The second grey line gives an indication of the ratio
intense (category 3 and higher) to weak
cyclones.
According to the IPCC AR5, however, there are little indications of a change in the number of tropical
cyclones, although they are becoming more intense (p. 107, TS.5.8.4 Cy
cyclones, although they are becoming more
intense (p. 107, TS.5.8.4
CyclonesCyclones):
Alarmed at the pace of change to our Earth caused by human - induced climate change, including accelerating melting and loss of ice from Greenland, the Himalayas and Antarctica, acidification of the world's oceans due to rising CO2 concentrations, increasingly
intense tropical
cyclones, more damaging and
intense drought and floods, including glacial lakes outburst loods, in many regions and higher levels of sea - level rise than estimated just a few years ago, risks changing the face of the planet and threatening coastal cities, low lying areas, mountainous regions and vulnerable countries the world over,
While the total number of
cyclones may not increase (though there seems to be quite a bit of uncertainty here), the
intense ones are projected to increase.
(2) low to mid-latitude coastal regions are already facing a greater likelihood of very
intense tropical
cyclones that are drawing energy from significantly warmer ocean waters.
What he found was that not only were the simulations much closer to actual observations, but the high - resolution models were far better at reproducing
intense storms, such as hurricanes and
cyclones.
There is observational evidence for an increase of
intense tropical
cyclone activity in the North Atlantic since about 1970, correlated with increases in tropical SSTs.
There is very good evidence to support the conclusion that continued unmitigated climate change will lead to more
intense tropical
cyclones, and there is even some evidence (see the Nature paper above) that on average
cyclones are already getting stronger and more devastating.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation helps keep tropical
cyclones, like Hurricane Joaquin above, from becoming too
intense.
«Australia is amongst those most exposed, extreme weather events, firestorms, more
intense if not more frequent
cyclones,» he said.
A name of Chinese origin, meaning «great wind» applied to the
intense tropical
cyclones which occur in the western Pacific Ocean.
The vulnerable nations declared that they are, «Alarmed at the pace of change to our Earth caused by human - induced climate change, including accelerating melting and loss of ice from Greenland, the Himalayas and Antarctica, acidification of the world's oceans due to rising CO2 concentrations, increasingly
intense tropical
cyclones, more damaging and
intense drought and floods, including Glacial Lakes Outburst Floods, in many regions and higher levels of sea - level rise than estimated just a few years ago, risks changing the face of the planet and threatening coastal cities, low lying areas, mountainous regions and vulnerable countries the world over...»
Which forms the basis for the IPCC claim of high climate sensitivity (mean value of 3.2 C), resulting in significant global warming (up to 6.4 C warming by 2100), «extreme high sea levels», increased «heat waves», increased «heavy rains» and floods, increased «droughts», increased «
intense tropical
cyclones» — which, in turn, lead to crop failures, disappearance of glaciers now supplying drinking water to millions, increased vector borne diseases, etc. (for short, potentially catastrophic AGW — or «CAGW»).
-- I have listed the «catastrophic results» that are projected to occur, according to IPCC AR4 WG1 SPM, pp. 8 and 13: temperature increase of up to 6.4 °C, heat waves, floods, droughts, increased
intense tropical
cyclones, extreme high sea level, as well as some of the secondary impacts, which IPCC projects in WG2, WG3: crop failures, disappearing glaciers now supplying drinking water for millions, spread of vector diseases, etc..