Sentences with phrase «interannual variability»

Other major African rivers, including the Blue and White Nile, Congo and inflow into Lake Malawi show high variability, consistent with interannual variability of SSTs in the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Oceans.

Following up on Jennifer's comments, and with my regional blinkers on, it's important to point to the expected increases in interannual variability in total ice extent, but also keep in mind that at the regional level, the thickness distribution of sea ice plays an important role in determining how a particular summer or even specific weather events like storms or stretches of calm sunny weather play out.

The albedos for the years after the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo (1991 — 1992) are among the largest; however, the increase is just comparable with interannual variability.

The difference seen in IPCC AR5 Fig 10.1 between those cases in the 21st Century is about 0.8 ºC, with an SD of ~ 0.15 C for interannual variability in the simulations.

Most model results project increased interannual variability in season - averaged Asian monsoon precipitation associated with an increase in its long - term mean value (e.g., Hu et al., 2000b; Räisänen, 2002; Meehl and Arblaster, 2003).

Cole, J.E., D. Rind, R.S. Webb, J. Jouzel, and R. Healy, 1999: Climatic controls on interannual variability of precipitation δ18O: Simulated influence of temperature, precipitation amount, and vapor source region.

We have identified considerable interannual variability in the frequency of global hurricane landfalls; but within the resolution of the available data, our evidence does not support the presence of significant long - period global or individual basin linear trends for minor, major, or total hurricanes within the period (s) covered by the available quality data.

The previous message mentioned CENTURY TIME SCALES, not INTERANNUAL variability.

The models and observations both also indicate that the amplitude of interannual variability about these longer - term trends is quite large, making it foolhardy, at best, to try to estimate the slope of anthropogenic warming from a few years of data (as you seem to advocate).

Ocean temperatures experience interannual variability and over the past 3 decades of global warming have had several short periods of cooling.

In fact prior to 1973, the HADISST ice data are based primarily on climatology, i.e., on estimates of annual averages so they reflect persistent conditions but don't include interannual variability.

This will make it clear that the models do simulate interannual variability as seen in the observations.

At the annual scale, the precipitation datasets show reasonably consistent interannual variability, although estimates of annual precipitation over global land deviate by as much as 300 mm / year among the different products.

What other factors might explain the remaining interannual variability?

The surprisingly rapid decline in air - sea partial pressure difference (ΔpCO2) is primarily a response to an elevated water column inventory of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), which, in turn, reflects mostly anthropogenic CO2 input rather than natural interannual variability.

Karspeck et al. (2015) examines the mean and variability of the AMOC as represented in six ocean reanalysis products over the period 1960 - 2007, with particular focus on multi-decadal trends and interannual variability at 26.5 ° N and 45 ° N. Ocean reanalysis products, developed independently at modeling centers around the world, use historical surface observations and subsurface ocean hydrography to constrain the solution of ocean general circulation models.

«This research covers a very broad range of topics including ocean circulation, water mass formation and spreading, mesoscale eddies, interannual variability such as El Niño, decadal variability, and multi-decadal climate change,» said Scripps Institution of Oceanography professor Dean Roemmich, who was in New Zealand last week preparing Argo floats for deployment by the RV Kaharoa's crew.

A summary of results explaining interannual variability of streamflow follows.

As I've mentioned on the show in the past, monsoons are endlessly vexing: tantalizing but ephemeral teleconnections; busted predictions; monstrous interannual variability; conceptually simple but terribly complex in the details.

Similar signals of interannual variability without a discernable trend come from direct flow measurements in the western boundary current at the exit of the Labrador Sea (Fritz Schott and colaborators)(north of Brydan's section) and Uwe Send's record at 15N to the south.

Boyce et al. are incorrect in suggesting that the ability of their dataset to represent this seasonal to interannual variability adds confidence to their main result.

The new ocean heat numbers are not mearly interannual variability, but represent a challenge for the community to better understand all of these processes.

This is not to say that ENSO is the only diagnostic of internal variability that is important, but it is the dominant factor in the global mean unforced interannual variability.

Quadrelli and Wallace (2004) found that many patterns of NH interannual variability can be reconstructed as linear combinations of the first two Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) of sea level pressure (approximately the NAM and the PNA).