Unless I've missed something, the press releases concerning Fed policy have explicitly stated that the central bank will maintain its zero percent
interest rate policy for as long as the U.S. unemployment rate remains above 6.5 % and price inflation remains below 2.5 %.
I had control of
interest rate policy for my line of business.
At this rate, by the time June rolls around, Janet Yellen's Fed will declare zero changes to
interest rate policy for the entire calendar year.
Falling US$ when (US govt impotence, China revalues yuan, Fed starts the printing presses again, zero
interest rate policy for x years) = Gold rises = Commodities rise = US stocks on sale (especially one's with global exposure) = US exports rise = US profits rise = inflation rises.
What is the real story behind the Bank of Japan's quantitative and qualitative using program which begun in 2013 augmented with a negative
interest rate policy for large scale purchases of Japanese government bonds?
But even if the ECB does bend to the will of the bond markets this year, and begins to buy sovereign debt directly, the single currency is left with all of the same weaknesses that existed prior to the crisis: the inability to tailor
interest rate policy for each individual economy, the lack of foreign currency adjustment needed to offset differences in competitiveness, and growth - limiting trade dynamics throughout the area.
Bank of Japan has had a zero
interest rate policy for 20 years.
German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble has already blamed Draghi's low -
interest rate policy for the rise of the populist right - wing Alternative für Deutschland, which performed well in regional polls last year at the expense of Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats.
Not exact matches
Unless something drastic happens, the era of low -
for - longer
interest -
rate policy is nearing an end.
Its
policy of maintaining extremely low
interest rates has been, in large part, responsible
for fueling the current mania
for housing.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential
for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build
rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build
rates of changing customer preferences
for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange
rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals
for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand
for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount
rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price
for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit
ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate
for our additional capital needs or
for payment of
interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher
interest payments should
interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any
interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions
for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange
rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government
policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Those federal rules, which double down on restrictions adopted in 2014 and stern warnings to lenders issued by OSFI earlier this summer, require banks to qualify borrowers at higher
interest rates, impose additional limits on mortgages
for buyers with small down payments, and compel financial institutions to share the risk by taking out insurance
policies on low - ratio mortgages.
NEW YORK, May 1 - The dollar broke into positive territory
for the year and U.S. bond yields inched higher again on Tuesday as the recent rise in oil prices fueled expectations the Federal Reserve could flag more
interest rate hikes at its
policy meeting this week.
The U.S. is primed
for higher
interest rates, but the Bank of Canada won't follow suit until there are real
policy changes — not just Trump Tweets — to act on
His remarks can't be considered a roadmap
for the future path of
interest rates; he made a point of stating that every
policy meeting is «live,» meaning the latest data could alter assumptions.
Gold slid to a four - month low on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened ahead of a US Federal Reserve
policy meeting that is being watched
for clues on the future pace of
interest rate hikes.
Even though our activities are likely to result in a lower national debt over the long term, I sometimes hear the complaint that the Federal Reserve is enabling bad fiscal
policy by keeping
interest rates very low and thereby making it cheaper
for the federal government to borrow.
The Federal Reserve came through on a widely expected
interest rate hike Wednesday following its two - day
policy meeting and sharply raised its economic growth forecast
for 2018.
The Fed's low
interest rate policy has driven more and more money into bond funds as investors search
for higher yields.
His normally boilerplate explanation
for his
interest rate decision contained a new line: «Some modest withdrawal of the present considerable monetary
policy stimulus may become appropriate.»
Subdued inflation forced the BOJ to revamp its
policy framework in 2016 to one better suited
for a long - term battle against deflation, which targets
interest rates instead of the pace of money printing.
If anything has gotten easier
for Barkan despite the physical and emotional challenges that comes with his illness, it's that the issues he is now advocating
for are much simpler to explain to people than US
interest rate policy, which has been his focus at the Center
for Popular Democracy.
In his job as an activist at the Center
for Popular Democracy, Barkan led a successful effort to get Fed officials thinking more about low - income Americans as they conduct monetary
policy, often arguing against
interest rate hikes in the face of high underemployment and weak wage growth.
The most important
policy action
for mitigating the damage of a recession is
for the central bank to keep
interest rates low, according to the respondents, followed by increasing spending on transportation and other infrastructure projects.
While the Fed has indicated it plans to raise short - term
interest rates, the uncertain domestic and global economies and the still - loosening monetary
policy of central bankers in other countries suggests that
rates could remain very low
for a long time still.
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, without limitation: (1) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including financial market conditions, fluctuations in commodity prices,
interest rates and foreign currency exchange
rates, levels of end market demand in construction and in both the commercial and defense segments of the aerospace industry, levels of air travel, financial condition of commercial airlines, the impact of weather conditions and natural disasters and the financial condition of our customers and suppliers; (2) challenges in the development, production, delivery, support, performance and realization of the anticipated benefits of advanced technologies and new products and services; (3) the scope, nature, impact or timing of acquisition and divestiture or restructuring activity, including the pending acquisition of Rockwell Collins, including among other things integration of acquired businesses into United Technologies» existing businesses and realization of synergies and opportunities
for growth and innovation; (4) future timing and levels of indebtedness, including indebtedness expected to be incurred by United Technologies in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition, and capital spending and research and development spending, including in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition; (5) future availability of credit and factors that may affect such availability, including credit market conditions and our capital structure; (6) the timing and scope of future repurchases of United Technologies» common stock, which may be suspended at any time due to various factors, including market conditions and the level of other investing activities and uses of cash, including in connection with the proposed acquisition of Rockwell; (7) delays and disruption in delivery of materials and services from suppliers; (8) company and customer - directed cost reduction efforts and restructuring costs and savings and other consequences thereof; (9) new business and investment opportunities; (10) our ability to realize the intended benefits of organizational changes; (11) the anticipated benefits of diversification and balance of operations across product lines, regions and industries; (12) the outcome of legal proceedings, investigations and other contingencies; (13) pension plan assumptions and future contributions; (14) the impact of the negotiation of collective bargaining agreements and labor disputes; (15) the effect of changes in political conditions in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate, including the effect of changes in U.S. trade
policies or the U.K.'s pending withdrawal from the EU, on general market conditions, global trade
policies and currency exchange
rates in the near term and beyond; (16) the effect of changes in tax (including U.S. tax reform enacted on December 22, 2017, which is commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017), environmental, regulatory (including among other things import / export) and other laws and regulations in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate; (17) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins to receive the required regulatory approvals (and the risk that such approvals may result in the imposition of conditions that could adversely affect the combined company or the expected benefits of the merger) and to satisfy the other conditions to the closing of the pending acquisition on a timely basis or at all; (18) the occurrence of events that may give rise to a right of one or both of United Technologies or Rockwell Collins to terminate the merger agreement, including in circumstances that might require Rockwell Collins to pay a termination fee of $ 695 million to United Technologies or $ 50 million of expense reimbursement; (19) negative effects of the announcement or the completion of the merger on the market price of United Technologies» and / or Rockwell Collins» common stock and / or on their respective financial performance; (20) risks related to Rockwell Collins and United Technologies being restricted in their operation of their businesses while the merger agreement is in effect; (21) risks relating to the value of the United Technologies» shares to be issued in connection with the pending Rockwell acquisition, significant merger costs and / or unknown liabilities; (22) risks associated with third party contracts containing consent and / or other provisions that may be triggered by the Rockwell merger agreement; (23) risks associated with merger - related litigation or appraisal proceedings; and (24) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins, or the combined company, to retain and hire key personnel.
Nevertheless, when making
interest rate policy in early March, BoC governor Mark Carney overlooked rising pressures on inflation and left the central bank's target
for Canada's overnight
rate at 1 %.
But on the other hand, where it matters —
interest rate policy — he sees no material impact, at least
for the near term.
Much of the effectiveness of Canadian monetary
policy depends on the Bank of Canada's credibility: managing expectations
for the future is at least as important as setting short - term
interest rates.
Carney - who has never been shy about inflicting «unconventional monetary
policies» on the economy and its denizens - went on to slam negative
interest rates just when the chief negative -
interest -
rate perpetrators, let's call them NIRPs, were hoping
for a little love and solidarity.
Until recently, he has focused on more tangential issues
for the Fed — like the regulation of scandal - ridden Libor
interest rates, financial innovation, and housing
policy.
Germany's media isn't normally as breathless as,
for example, the British press, but it's always willing to whip Germans up into a frenzy over the ECB's zero
interest -
rate policy, especially in an election year.
«Perhaps most salient
for monetary
policy, it appears increasingly clear that the neutral
rate of
interest remains considerably and persistently lower than it was before the crisis.»
A week after the U.S. Federal Reserve opted to leave the country's
interest rates unchanged
for the time being, Fed chair Janet Yellen is set to testify before Congress on U.S. monetary
policy.
Under that
policy, the Federal Reserve has kept
interest rates low and engaged
for period of years in a campaign of aggressive bond purchases that have increased monetary supply and bolstered the stock market.
«Perhaps most salient
for monetary
policy, it appears increasingly clear that the neutral
rate of
interest remains considerably and persistently lower than it was before the crisis,» she said.
Zentner says the Fed
policy committee's median
interest rate forecast
for the end of 2015 will dip to 0.375 %, down from the prior forecast of 0.625 % in June.
This target
for the overnight
rate is often referred to as the Bank's
policy interest rate.
On 19 September 2000, the Bank of Canada published details of its plan to adopt a new system of eight «fixed» or pre-specified dates each year
for announcing any changes to the official
interest rate that it uses to implement monetary
policy.
In November 2000, the Bank of Canada introduced a new system of eight «fixed» or pre-specified dates each year
for announcing any changes to the official
interest rate it uses to implement monetary
policy.
The reason Keynesianism got such a boost post-crisis was not
for any real - world examples of its success — the list of its failures, by contrast, is lengthy — but because of the assertion, accepted far too quickly with far too little evidence, that monetary
policy, at the fabled Zero Lower Bound (
interest rates of near zero) had lost its effectiveness.
All three of these reasons — evidence that U.S. monetary
policy is currently only moderately accommodative, the fact that U.S. financial conditions have been influenced by economic and financial market developments abroad, and risk management considerations — argue, at the moment,
for caution in raising U.S. short - term
interest rates.
With the global economy «floating on an ocean of credit,» the current acceleration of credit via central bank
policies will likely produce a positive
rate of real economic growth this year
for most developed countries, PIMCO chief Bill Gross writes in his latest monthly commentary, but «the structural distortions brought about by zero bound
interest rates will limit that growth and induce serious risks in future years.»
But with the Federal Reserve (Fed) normalizing monetary
policy, higher
interest rates, and prospects
for deregulation, the sector now seems poised
for growth.
The Federal Reserve is expected to leave
interest rates unchanged in today's monetary
policy announcement, but firmer inflation in recent months lays the foundation
for hikes in the months ahead.
And to the extent that, because of constraints on how low
interest rates can go, recessions are more frequent and protracted in the years ahead, the case
for expansionary fiscal
policy is reinforced.
Trading activity in this contract, the main benchmark
for short - term
interest rates in Europe, had been depressed
for years due to the monetary
policy environment in Europe.
As long as the market expects the Fed to cut, the pressure on the stock market will be mitigated by an outlook
for some relief from present
interest rate policy.
* GOLD: Gold prices rose
for a second session on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve held
interest rates steady as expected at the end of a two - day
policy meeting, while investors awaited U.S. - China trade talks.
A second reason
for the downward adjustment in U.S.
interest rate expectations is that U.S. financial market conditions depend, in part, on the stance of U.S. monetary
policy relative to monetary
policies abroad.