This makes it easier to identify the least known elements and take
into account any uncertainties related to them.
«The trends we have established in this study highlight the need for regulatory bodies to look beyond the existing databases and take
into account the uncertainty surrounding our current understanding of wildlife trade in their conservation efforts.
Since we vary the Thompson & Warren parameterization we do implicitly take
into account the uncertainty of clouds on the longwave fluxes.
And as Nathan correctly states, and as we have already pointed out in our paper, we do not take
into account the uncertainty of clouds on shortwave fluxes (atmospheric albedo was not varied).
Increased confidence in balanced mutual funds is a sign of investors» need for growth while taking
into account the uncertainties of the market, says Kevin Headland, senior investment strategist for Manulife, who has done an annual survey on consumer confidence, using 2001 respondents at least 25 years of age or older.
Firstly, the PEG ratio does not take
into account any uncertainty about the expected growth rate.
But when you take
into account the uncertainty, you find that there is a disturbingly high likelihood (roughly even odds) that it won't.
Taking
into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880 - 2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being....
What many previous emergent - constraint studies have done is to take such a band of observations and project it onto the vertical ECS axis using the estimated regression line between ECS and the natural fluctuations, taking
into account uncertainties in the estimated regression model.
I refer to that as good modeling, which takes
into account uncertainties in our understanding and measurements and randomness in the observed process.
Dr. Stanton's analysis identifies a range of possible emission rates associated with the project, taking
into account uncertainty regarding methane leak rates and the lifecycle contribution of natural gas to greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.
However, a comprehensive, consistent analysis of impacts, taking
into account uncertainty in both climate models and impacts models, has so far been lacking.
To facilitate policy decisions on mitigation and adaptation strategies, it is necessary to understand, quantify, and synthesize these climate - change impacts, taking
into account their uncertainties.
We can also produce a risk assessment that takes
into account our uncertainty about what the model will do in any part of parameter space.
Taking
into account the uncertainties, both methodologies place 2014 within the top 10 % of the warmest years over the reanalysis period (since 1979), demonstrating the consistency of these various estimates.
In testimony before the US Senate in 2003, he stated: It is the consensus of the climate research community that the anomalous warmth of the late 20th century can not be explained by natural factors, but instead indicates significant anthropogenic, that is human influences... More than a dozen independent research groups have now reconstructed the average temperature of the northern hemisphere in past centuries... The proxy reconstructions, taking
into account these uncertainties, indicate that the warming of the northern hemisphere during the late 20th century... is unprecedented over at least the past millennium and it now appears based on peer - reviewed research, probably the past two millennia.
The study also failed to properly take
into account uncertainties in temperature reconstructions of the last 2,000 years.
This takes
into account the uncertainty regarding the nature of fossil fuel usage that's inherent in future energy projections.
I must estimate the amount to which Ms. Olson is entitled, exercising caution and taking
into account any uncertainty concerning whether the benefits will be paid.
Not exact matches
In our view, any decision on monetary policy normalization will have to take
into account some of what is happening outside of America's borders, including the hazy economic outlook for China, the slowdown in other large emerging markets and the
uncertainties that continue to plague the eurozone.
I believe that those factors should be taken
into account and that we need to end that
uncertainty.»
Taking
into account the well - known pro-Labour bias in the electoral system as well as prediction
uncertainty, the method suggested then that the Tories would have a 64 % chance of being the largest party in parliament.
The model predictions are therefore reliable, taking some statistical
uncertainty into account.
The team honed their statistical models to further take
into account such
uncertainties and possibly created a statistical first.
«
Uncertainties must be taken
into account in fisheries stock assessment.»
In her doctoral thesis, Henni Pulkkinen, Researcher at the Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), explored how the various sources of
uncertainty can be taken
into account in fisheries stock assessment by using Bayesian statistical models, which enable extensive combining of information.
An environmental modeler presents how the science works, but a decision scientist uses decision theory to take
into account both the scientific information in a model and its
uncertainty, and to help policymakers weigh that information against other factors, Crawford - Brown says.
By applying new mathematical methods, the
uncertainties related to fisheries stock assessment can be taken
into account, thus providing more reliable assessments to support decision - making.
We simply have no way to take
uncertainties into account.»
ANOTHER VIEW Bruce Dale, a biofuels researcher at MichiganState University, says there is a huge amount of
uncertainty whenbasing predictions on an inherently complex economic model.Additionally, he asserts that the United States should not beresponsible for «anything but its own environmental profile» and thatto take
into account world land changes is unreasonable.
So when you take
uncertainty into account, it actually leads to the decision that we should take action more quickly.
«(A) the technical capacity to monitor, measure, report, and verify forest carbon fluxes for all significant sources of greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation with an acceptable level of
uncertainty, as determined taking
into account relevant internationally accepted methodologies, such as those established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change;
Much of this discussion follows a common pattern of looking through the peer - reviewed paper to find all the caveats and discussion points, and then repeating them back as if they undermine the paper's conclusions rather than reflecting that they are
uncertainties that were already taken
into account.
Click here for Part II, an
accounting of Exxon's early climate research; Part III, a review of Exxon's climate modeling efforts; Part IV, a dive
into Exxon's Natuna gas field project; Part V, a look at Exxon's push for synfuels; Part VI, an
accounting of Exxon's emphasis on climate science
uncertainty.
Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking
into account internal variability, forcing
uncertainties, and model scope.
Furthermore, as pointed out by Frame et al. (2005), the effect of noise on the estimate of the climatic background level can lead to a substantial underestimate of
uncertainties if not taken
into account.
The third group is the group that is between these two groups, which can not be categorized as heterosexual nor homosexual, because they are born with ambiguous genitalia or genital
uncertainty and sex determination should be carried out later by taking
into account various factors.
volatility — markets tend to take high volatility or
uncertainty into account by pricing financial assets lower
While many people approaching retirement have actively adjusted their retirement plan to take
into account recent economic
uncertainty and market volatility, few recognize that an even bigger threat to their retirement nest egg is unrealistic expectations.
Obtaining relevant information about this goal is best accomplished using a framework that integrates the investment solution with the risks that produce
uncertainty in translating
account balances
into estimated future income.
Any investor who has a need for a portfolio of a certain size within ten years or so needs to take the
uncertainty of the return on stocks
into account.
Finally, in a collective spasm of
uncertainty at the very moment of hitting the button that would instantly and irrevocably flush our bank
accounts into his, we asked Armand outright what was to keep him from bolting with the cash.
Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking
into account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the
uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.
The model results (which are based on driving various climate models with estimated solar, volcanic, and anthropogenic radiative forcing changes over this timeframe) are, by in large, remarkably consistent with the reconstructions, taking
into account the statistical
uncertainties.
Example: ``... water storage capacity in a region, taking
into account that the supply of the resource, the flow
into the reserve, is uncertain, that a measure of the
uncertainty, the variance, is likely to increase with climate change...
The error bars in state - of - the - art SST compilations take
into account such sampling
uncertainties, and indeed they become larger back in time, especially the earliest decades (1850s - 1870s) in part due to the fact that there is substantial eddy variance.
Pretty much all existing GCMs take
into account changes in cloud albedo effects (though these are still characterized by a fairly high level of
uncertainty).
The assessment based on these results typically takes
into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known
uncertainties are
accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.
When considering drivers of
uncertainty, professional considerations must be taken
into account.
Ideally, one would want to do a study across all these constraints with models that were capable of running all the important experiments — the LGM, historical period, 1 % increasing CO2 (to get the TCR), and 2xCO2 (for the model ECS)-- and build a multiply constrained estimate taking
into account internal variability, forcing
uncertainties, and model scope.