Sentences with phrase «into modelled assumptions»

This seems to me to reproduce the same old trick, of plugging in worst - case scenario projections into modelled assumptions of sensitivity of this - or - that to climate, to reveal, hey - presto, a sound prediction of what life will be like a few decades hence.

Not exact matches

And it would not be until they questioned their own most basic assumptions about «the way Magellan's was managed» — the company's dependence on them, the heroic - leader model they'd brought into the company from day one — that they would have a shot at doing what few founders can when the wall confronts them: getting through it.

For most economists, history is usually little more than a data sequence whose values are plugged into mathematical models — whose implicit assumptions too often these same economists fail to understand.

At Valuentum, we often use a discounted cash - flow model as a means to back into the current share price of firms in order to ascertain whether the market is unfairly pricing their stock relative to reasonable long - term growth and profitability assumptions.

Models that try to explain how life can come from non-life, and models that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make itModels that try to explain how life can come from non-life, and models that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make itmodels that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make itmodels where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make it work.

RE: Just a little piecprsteve on the credibility of the authors of the study: Study co-author Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville and U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer flying on NASA's Aqua satellite, reports that real - world data from NASA's Terra satellite contradict multiple assumptions fed into alarmist computer models.

In short, they plugged a bunch of current numbers and assumptions into the model, ran it out past 75 years until it reached some kind of stability, and reported that number.

Taking distributional characteristics into account leads to situations where two variables can not be exchanged in their status as cause and effect without systematically violating assumptions of the model.

«Most previous research into ways of delaying the onset of HD symptoms have focused on studying the mutant protein in cells or in animal models, but the relevance of abnormalities in those systems to what actually happens in patients remains a huge assumption,» says James Gusella, PhD, director of the Center for Human Genetic Research (CHGR) at Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH), corresponding author of the Cell paper.

Other assumptions built into the current cosmological standard model might also need to be revised.

The assumption that suppressing fever increases infectivity is built into the model, he says, «so it's no surprise that that is what they come up with at the end.»

Using a new class of mathematical models that do not make many assumptions about how behavior is organized, we will deconstruct the mouse's normal behavior into motifs, or syllables, and correlate those with brain activity.

This seems to play into one of Loveless's core worries though, as he seems to have a love for some of the assumptions embedded in the factory model of education.

Unfortunately, this model is based on faulty assumptions: that time is the constant and learning is the variable; that knowledge is easily divided into discrete disciplines that should be taught as separate entities; that students must be led by the experts in those disciplines; and that young people will not learn unless adults control the environment.

In this stage, we utilise our proprietary optimisation model to begin to convert our assumptions into a series of portfolios that account for the covariance between these assets.

The multi-level growth rate for dividends model may divide the growth rate into two or three phases (according to the assumption).

Of course, it is a given that the young analyst can gain his or her own company and industry expertise so as to insert reasonable assumptions into the DCF model.

Facing that constraint, the models pour money into BECCS on the assumption that costs will go down and then, as costs come down, the technology is assumed to spread rapidly and ubiquitously.

These data products are not just a function of the raw observations, but also of the assumptions and the «model» (usually statistical) that go into building the synthesis.

Based on their choice of time - shift rather than volume shift to «correct» the models, I'd suspect that an assumption of lingering ice is built into the models.

Note too that the details of how aerosols are implemented in any specific model can also make a difference to the forcing, and there are many (as yet untested) assumptions built into the forcing reconstructions.

It feeds those into a model to forecast the impact these assumptions might have on future CO2 concentrations (note the concentrations are forecasts based on assumptions about the emissions).

Whilst these assumptions ensured hot water and lighting energy use weren't underestimated, they were then fed into the thermal model as heat sources, and, with a good wodge of insulation, the model showed that a wellinsulated house might not need any heating at all.

Modeling teams that fed different plausible assumptions into their computers got somewhat different results for particular regions, although always overall global warming.

The problem arises, I believe, when strong feedbacks, «masking» effects of aerosols and volcanoes and other uncertain assumptions are fed into computer models to generate catastrophic scenarios for the near - medium future.

My argument is this: Computer - models are only as accurate as the assumptions that get programmed into them.

Many economic models add further gross underassessment of risk because the assumptions built into the economic modeling on growth, damages and risks, come close to assuming directly that the impacts and costs will be modest and close to excluding the possibility of catastrophic outcomes.

I don't think he's predicting a mini ice age, but he is adamant that the assumptions about climate sensitivity to CO2 built into the climate models are wrong and the models grossly understate the importance of cosmic radiation.

And to be fair, the article in the Journal of Geophysical Research describing the results of the three scenarios of the model noted many of the uncertainties regarding the assumptions that went into the model.

To find out, the researchers plugged better cost information and more aggressive cost - curve assumptions into REMIND, a «global inter-temporally optimizing energy — economy model that has been extensively used for analyses of climate policies.»

Must be some pretty creeped - out careful - diagnostic - failing assumptions built into those crusty, stagnant models!)

The IPCC climate sensitivity is based on assumptions, which have been fed into computer models to arrive at estimates.

Indeed it is not even the poor models fault so much as the circular logic that went into assumptions and the huge reliance placed on unvalidated results.

This analysis provides insight into the key differences between a wide range of effort sharing models, criteria, their proxy metrics and the most important assumptions that influence countries» emissions allowances under different equity regimes.

; — RRB - Of course, an explicit listing of all the assumptions that go into GCMs would give critics and skeptics almost limitless ammunition to attack these models without ever having to get inside them.

As MIT's world - renowned oceanographer Carl Wunsch warned «Convenient assumptions should not be turned prematurely into «facts,» nor uncertainties and ambiguities suppressed... Anyone can write a model: the challenge is to demonstrate its accuracy and precision... Otherwise, the scientific debate is controlled by the most articulate, colorful, or adamant players.

(C) ensure operational quality control of all Climate Service Program products including a transparent and open accounting of all the assumptions built into the global, national, regional, and local weather and climate computer models upon which such products are based;

Clouds especially are a challenge to incorporate into climate models, and different assumptions — all of which reasonable — can exert an uncomfortably powerful influence over the strength of amplifying feedbacks.

Focus on CO2 and the assumption an increase causes temeprature increase are built into the computer models.

As an economic policy adviser in the UK and Australia, I well understand that the assumptions that go into models are more critical than the mechanics.

Quite a remarkable statement when you consider the myriad assumptions and uncertainties built into the modeling scenarios that are needed to favor renewables.

Rather than focusing just on methane leakage, the authors of the ERL paper surveyed 23 experts to get their predictions about future natural gas supply and then fed those assumptions into a model of the energy system.

To explore these questions, we used our MiniCAM model and the following assumptions: that industrialized countries impose a common emissions price in 2012, China joins the agreement at a later date, and other countries join whenever their per capita income reaches that of China at the time of China's accession into the emissions control agreement.

Once you presuppose that climate change is happening, it doesn't take a leap of faith to incorporate the assumption into models to estimate the health of polar bear populations, the progress of glaciers, and the vulnerability of Arctic sea ice.

Questionable assumptions whose probability would then have to be estimated and incorporated into the model.

This unique ability, paired with our insight into modeling techniques and assumptions, allows us to provide analyses and review at an unparalleled level of depth.

Many of the assumptions going into [the models] are simply not right.»

Between this shortcut / mistake (which violates the Stephan - Boltzmann equations and was copied by all the following climate scientists) and through the climate model's assumption of a constant linear lapse rate of 6C / kilometre when it is probably not constant), they have changed all the logarithmic radiation equations into linear ones.

Neither approach is likely to help them much if for no other reason than that both approaches will drive the debate into complex arguments about whose climate or economic modelling is using the best assumptions, data etc..

The inherent circularity, then, is shown in the way the models simply produce the results they were created to produce, because those unwarranted assumptions were built into them.