At least part of this, however, reflects the winding back of inflation, with a corresponding reduction in the inflation premium built
into nominal interest rates, which in earlier years was being consumed — ie retirees were effectively running down their real capital, often without realising it.
Not exact matches
It will be
interesting to see by how much a «risk adjustment factor» the Minister of Finance builds
into his fall update
nominal GDP forecast.
This willingness to let inflation «run hot» means even as
nominal rates rise, real rates — that is, the
nominal interest rate minus inflation — are headed
into negative territory.
Nominal interest rates are at historical lows and new fiscal measures have shifted the budget
into a sizeable deficit.
Now, we're sympathetic to the idea that prospective real growth and inflation may be sufficiently lower in the future to place us
into a low
nominal growth world, which would also justify lower equilibrium
interest rate levels.
A
nominal interest rate is the
interest rate that does not take inflation
into account.
The
nominal interest rate is a simple concept to understand; for example, if you borrow $ 100 at a 6 %
interest rate, you can expect to pay $ 6 in
interest without taking inflation
into account.
When describing concepts such as
interest rate or GDP,
nominal refers to their unadjusted rate, value or current price without taking elements such as inflation, seasonality, loan fees,
interest compounding or other factors
into account.
So your negative yielding bonds become more expensive as the
nominal interest rates dives deeply
into the negative territory.
That just means you have to be careful to plug the
nominal interest rate
into the formula.
Quite the juxtaposition in global equity performance, but understandable when one considers the prior period global spillover of Fed QE
into the global asset markets all in the search for higher rates of return in a period that had become an ice age for
nominal US
interest rates.
By taking the real rate of return
into consideration (
nominal interest less inflation), you can see how soon a particular investment will double the value of your money.