Not exact matches
«This
introduces a large
uncertainty in the degree of warming predicted by climate change
models.»
I would have liked to see mention of
uncertainty that inherent in examining short term data, whether the end points used
introduces an element of bias, whether the «pause» is on a much higher plateau of warming than in the past, whether decadel cycles in ocean heat displacement may have interacted with the the known minimum levels of solar activity (not
modelled) to cause this «pause».
However, the separation of greenhouse gas response from the responses to other external forcing in a multi-fingerprint analysis
introduces a small
uncertainty, illustrated by small differences in results between three
models (Figure 9.21).
«At each step (of the CO2 calculations)
uncertainty in the time signals of climate change is
introduced by errors in the representation of earth's system processes in
modelling.»
This would quite obviously
introduce wider
uncertainty in the negative correlation between results of measurements and
models.
The choice of
model A
introduces an
uncertainty of the order of 30 %, which is estimated by comparing
model A to other possible candidates for the minimum state of the quiet Sun, e.g.,
model B from Vernazza et al. (1981).
The main new aspect i
introduce here is NUSAP, which is a way to categorize and assess
uncertainty (including pedigree) in complicated multi premise problems and
models, which has been widely applied in water resources and other environmental problems.
Both the Hubbert
model (s) and IPCC scenarios suffer from the
uncertainty introduced by the unpredictability of future human actions, and socioeconomic forecasting even more so.
Including these elements will make the
models into more realistic simulations of the climate system, but it will also
introduce uncertainties.»