Since its 2014 high on December 29, the S&P 500 Index has gained 1.5 % (not including a fraction of a percent in dividends), the Dow Industrial Average has gained 1.3 %, the Dow Transportation Average is down -5.8 %, the Dow Utilities Average is down -8.9 %, market breadth has churned sideways, and
investment grade corporate spreads are flat (though junk spreads have come in about two - tenths of a percent).
Not exact matches
This leaves us roughly in the same position that we started the year, slightly overweight to
spread product, i.e.,
investment -
grade and high - yield
corporate bonds and emerging markets (more recently, we also went back to a slight overweight on commercial mortgage - backed securities).
Last week,
spreads on the Morningstar
Corporate Bond Index, an investment - grade corporate bond gauge, and the BofA Merrill Lynch High Yield Master Index, sho
Corporate Bond Index, an
investment -
grade corporate bond gauge, and the BofA Merrill Lynch High Yield Master Index, sho
corporate bond gauge, and the BofA Merrill Lynch High Yield Master Index, shot higher.
More broadly, he says that while
corporate credit may benefit from aspects of tax reform (i.e., better earnings growth from the
corporate tax cuts, modestly lower
investment grade supply as repatriation becomes reality), he does not see tax cuts at this point in the cycle as a bullish driver of credit
spreads.
The average bid / ask
spread was 29 cents (per $ 100 par value) for both
investment -
grade and high - yield bonds, and the average daily trading volume was $ 2.2 million ($ 2.5 million) for
investment -
grade (high - yield)
corporate bonds.
With the exception of the very front end of the yield curve, Canadian government bond yields declined, as did
spreads on
investment grade corporate bonds.
For example, by comparing a group of
corporate bonds (like
investment grade corporate bonds) vs. treasuries, you get a picture of where the average
investment grade bond credit
spread currently stands.
But even within the past few months,
spreads between
investment -
grade corporates and Treasuries remain above historical averages.
The average bid - offer
spread for trading an
investment grade corporate bond, for example, is 50 basis points.
This flight to quality movement also impacted credit
spreads, which widened for both
investment grade and high yield
corporate bonds, negatively impacting the returns of bonds in those sectors.
The average bid - offer
spread for trading an
investment grade corporate bond, for example, is 50 basis points.
US and CAD
investment grade credit
spreads, the difference in yield between
corporates and Canadas, tightened by.3 % and US high yield bonds tightened by 1 %.
What's more, just like the September - October pullback of 2014, market internals have been deteriorating at a noteworthy pace, whether one is looking at waning breadth of bullish stock participation or widening credit
spreads between
investment grade and higher yielding
corporates / junk
corporates.
In the next few blogs, we will detail our approach to and back - tested results of employing credit
spread (value) and volatility as factors in order to systematically construct a portfolio of U.S.
investment -
grade corporate bonds.
The S&P 500 High Yield
Corporate Bond Index presents a unique credit alternative to bridge the gap between existing investment grade, which offers spread levels of around 150 bps, and high - yield corporate credit, which offers north of 600 bps i
Corporate Bond Index presents a unique credit alternative to bridge the gap between existing
investment grade, which offers
spread levels of around 150 bps, and high - yield
corporate credit, which offers north of 600 bps i
corporate credit, which offers north of 600 bps in
spread.
As of Feb. 5, 2018,
investment - grade spreads had tightened 6 bps and were more than 110 bps tighter compared with February 2016, as measured by the S&P 500 Investment Grade Corporate B
investment -
grade spreads had tightened 6 bps and were more than 110 bps tighter compared with February 2016, as measured by the S&P 500
Investment Grade Corporate B
Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index.
The OAS (Option Adjusted
Spread) of the
investment grade corporate rating sub-indices are tighter: AAA -LRB--6 bps), AA -LRB--2 bps), A -LRB--3 bps) and BBB -LRB--5 bps) while high yield's BB and B are flat and the CCC & below are 22 bps wider.
Since the financial crisis,
investment grade corporate bond indexes have reached record highs, 1 and credit
spreads have tightened significantly,» said Michael L. Sapir, Chairman and CEO of ProShare Advisors LLC, ProShares»
investment advisor.
Investment grade corporate bonds possess an average yield
spread of 2.2 % to Treasuries, which is above the historical average of 1.5 % and notably greater than MBS
spreads.
The premium paid on CMBS rated BBB -, the lowest
investment -
grade level before junk, has tumbled 105 basis points over the last month, more than 10 times the
spread compression of
investment -
grade corporate bonds, Edward Reardon and Simon Mui wrote in a note dated Aug. 2.
In October, U.S. Treasury yields declined 23 basis points on a year - over-year basis, while
corporate debt on the low end of the
investment grade spectrum increased more than 65 basis points, nearly a 90 basis point increase in the
spread between U.S. Treasuries and the low - end of
investment grade corporate bonds.