US
investment grade spreads stand 37 bps tighter over the last 12 months and are 67 bps through historic averages.
Canadian
investment grade spreads tightened 28 bps over the last 12 months and are now 13 bps through long term averages.
This event illustrates how central banks have distorted the credit markets and allowed inferior borrowers access credit at
investment grade spreads.
Not exact matches
It said in a note Friday: «With the recent back - up in both IG [
investment grade] and HY [high - yield]
spreads to their respective 3.5 - year wides, a discussion has emerged about whether the market is sensing the next default cycle around the corner or is simply «overreacting» to some exogenous but ultimately irrelevant events.
This leaves us roughly in the same position that we started the year, slightly overweight to
spread product, i.e.,
investment -
grade and high - yield corporate bonds and emerging markets (more recently, we also went back to a slight overweight on commercial mortgage - backed securities).
Finally, it was a banner year for credit, with
spreads narrowing across
investment grade, high yield and emerging markets.
Since its 2014 high on December 29, the S&P 500 Index has gained 1.5 % (not including a fraction of a percent in dividends), the Dow Industrial Average has gained 1.3 %, the Dow Transportation Average is down -5.8 %, the Dow Utilities Average is down -8.9 %, market breadth has churned sideways, and
investment grade corporate
spreads are flat (though junk
spreads have come in about two - tenths of a percent).
Last week,
spreads on the Morningstar Corporate Bond Index, an
investment -
grade corporate bond gauge, and the BofA Merrill Lynch High Yield Master Index, shot higher.
At the beginning of 2016, U.S. high yield
spreads were among the widest versus
investment grade since the financial crisis.
Investment grade and emerging market debt
spreads are right in line with the historical trend line since 2006.
Investment grade, high yield and emerging market
spreads are currently trading relatively rich.
More broadly, he says that while corporate credit may benefit from aspects of tax reform (i.e., better earnings growth from the corporate tax cuts, modestly lower
investment grade supply as repatriation becomes reality), he does not see tax cuts at this point in the cycle as a bullish driver of credit
spreads.
The average bid / ask
spread was 29 cents (per $ 100 par value) for both
investment -
grade and high - yield bonds, and the average daily trading volume was $ 2.2 million ($ 2.5 million) for
investment -
grade (high - yield) corporate bonds.
That large bid / ask
spread is equivalent to almost two years of the
spread advantage of illiquid (as measured by bid / ask
spread)
investment -
grade bonds, creating a large hurdle for providing a liquidity premium.
There was a weaker correlation between the ability to trade (daily trading volume, issue size and frequency of zero - trading days) and credit
spreads for both
investment -
grade and high - yield markets.
And in CMBS land,
spreads on
investment -
grade triple - B bonds surged by 158 basis points between May and June.
With the exception of the very front end of the yield curve, Canadian government bond yields declined, as did
spreads on
investment grade corporate bonds.
For example, by comparing a group of corporate bonds (like
investment grade corporate bonds) vs. treasuries, you get a picture of where the average
investment grade bond credit
spread currently stands.
The hybrid loan's pricing is also significantly jucier than typical
investment -
grade spreads of 143.7 bp for BBB - loans, the data shows.
But even within the past few months,
spreads between
investment -
grade corporates and Treasuries remain above historical averages.
The average bid - offer
spread for trading an
investment grade corporate bond, for example, is 50 basis points.
CNH is now rated
investment grade by two of the three ratings agencies, making its bonds eligible for
investment -
grade indexes, which will lead to lower
spreads.
Investment grade and emerging market debt
spreads are right in line with the historical trend line since 2006.
While there has been a
spread between
investment grade bonds and Illinois G.O.s the muni market kept the yields for these bonds relatively consistent up until now.
Accordingly, we are migrating some of our duration exposures to the shorter part of the curve and layering in partially (or fully) rate - hedged
investment -
grade and municipal bonds out the curve to capture higher - quality
spread.
This flight to quality movement also impacted credit
spreads, which widened for both
investment grade and high yield corporate bonds, negatively impacting the returns of bonds in those sectors.
High yield municipal bond yields and relative
spreads to
investment grade munis have moved to lows not seen since 2008.
The yield
spread between high yield and
investment grade municipal bonds is now at 265bps or 2.65 % (on March 15, 2012 the
spread was 351bps).
The average bid - offer
spread for trading an
investment grade corporate bond, for example, is 50 basis points.
Take for example, these graphs of lower
investment grade, and junk
spreads.
US and CAD
investment grade credit
spreads, the difference in yield between corporates and Canadas, tightened by.3 % and US high yield bonds tightened by 1 %.
What's more, just like the September - October pullback of 2014, market internals have been deteriorating at a noteworthy pace, whether one is looking at waning breadth of bullish stock participation or widening credit
spreads between
investment grade and higher yielding corporates / junk corporates.
Credit
spreads can continue to narrow (supported by U.S. tax reform, which might result in more limited high yield and
investment grade supply), but we don't anticipate a repeat of the Great Narrowing of 2017.
That large bid / ask
spread is equivalent to almost two years of the
spread advantage of illiquid (as measured by bid / ask
spread)
investment -
grade bonds, creating a large hurdle for providing a liquidity premium.
There was a weaker correlation between the ability to trade (daily trading volume, issue size and frequency of zero - trading days) and credit
spreads for both
investment -
grade and high - yield markets.
Measures of bid / ask
spread and price impact (the cost of trading) were positively correlated, reflecting the direct costs of trading both in
investment -
grade and high - yield bonds.
In the next few blogs, we will detail our approach to and back - tested results of employing credit
spread (value) and volatility as factors in order to systematically construct a portfolio of U.S.
investment -
grade corporate bonds.
The S&P 500 High Yield Corporate Bond Index presents a unique credit alternative to bridge the gap between existing
investment grade, which offers
spread levels of around 150 bps, and high - yield corporate credit, which offers north of 600 bps in
spread.
Investment grade, high yield and emerging market
spreads are currently trading relatively rich.
As of Feb. 5, 2018,
investment - grade spreads had tightened 6 bps and were more than 110 bps tighter compared with February 2016, as measured by the S&P 500 Investment Grade Corporate B
investment -
grade spreads had tightened 6 bps and were more than 110 bps tighter compared with February 2016, as measured by the S&P 500
Investment Grade Corporate B
Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index.
The OAS (Option Adjusted
Spread) of the
investment grade corporate rating sub-indices are tighter: AAA -LRB--6 bps), AA -LRB--2 bps), A -LRB--3 bps) and BBB -LRB--5 bps) while high yield's BB and B are flat and the CCC & below are 22 bps wider.
Finally, it was a banner year for credit, with
spreads narrowing across
investment grade, high yield and emerging markets.
Since the financial crisis,
investment grade corporate bond indexes have reached record highs, 1 and credit
spreads have tightened significantly,» said Michael L. Sapir, Chairman and CEO of ProShare Advisors LLC, ProShares»
investment advisor.
Investment grade and high yield bond
spreads are at record levels.
The
spread between utility dividend yields and the yield from a basket of long - dated
investment -
grade debt is fairly small.
Investment grade credit
spreads in CDS gapped out 4.5 bp on the IBOXX 7 deal.
The market turmoil in the wake of the subprime mortgage crisis hit CPDOs particularly hard as
investment -
grade spreads widened sharply even in the absence of defaults.
Investment grade corporate bonds possess an average yield
spread of 2.2 % to Treasuries, which is above the historical average of 1.5 % and notably greater than MBS
spreads.
The increase in Treasury yields mirrored the returns of
investment grade and BBB crossover issues, which are sensitive to movement in interest rates, while lower rated CCC - rated bonds had slightly positive returns (primarily due to 800 bps of Treasury
spread insulating their sensitivity to interest rate movements).
Also,
spread volatility is more pronounced in below -
investment -
grade markets.