Various mechanisms,
involving changes in ocean circulation, changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases or haze particles, and changes in snow and ice cover, have been invoked to explain these sudden regional and global transitions.
So was there a climate shift after the turn of the century
involving changes in ocean and atmospheric circulation involving cloud changes?
They involve changes in ocean and atmospheric circulation, ice, cloud, dust and biology.
Not exact matches
The foundation of the research
involved tracking the
changes in ocean circulation
in new detail by studying three sediment cores extracted from the seafloor of the Gulf of Mexico
in 2010 during a scientific cruise.
«This is an important finding because it highlights the role that the rapidly
changing Greenland ice sheet plays
in supplying nutrients to the Arctic
Ocean,» observed Eran Hood of the University of Alaska Southeast
in Juneau, who studies the meltwater from coastal glaciers
in Alaska, and was not
involved in the new study.
«Evidence from Kipp and co-workers for substantial ongoing
change in the chemical environment of the Arctic
Ocean emphasizes the need for sustained study of these
changes and of the processes
involved,» said Bob Anderson, an Ewing - Lamont Research Professor at the Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University and the director of the U.S. GEOTRACES Program Office.
The discovery of genes
involved in the production of DMSP
in phytoplankton, as well as bacteria, will allow scientists to better evaluate which organisms make DMSP
in the marine environment and predict how the production of this influential molecule might be affected by future environmental
changes, such as the warming of the
oceans due to climate
change.
Richard Alley, a Penn State geosciences professor who wasn't
involved with the new study, said far more work is needed to understand the effects of wind and
ocean changes in the Southern Hemisphere's most frigid stretches.
«The 2 °C target was all about warming and didn't
involve consideration of
ocean acidification
in any direct way,» said University of Queensland professor Ove Hoegh - Guldberg, one of the lead authors of the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change assessment chapter dealing with
ocean impacts.
«Documenting an effect of OA [
ocean acidification]
involves showing a
change in a species (e.g. population abundance or distribution) as a consequence of anthropogenic
changes in marine carbonate chemistry.
Hoerling and Kumar (2003) attributed the drought to
changes in atmospheric circulation associated with warming of the western tropical Pacific and Indian
oceans, while McCabe et al. (2004) have produced evidence suggesting that the confluence of both Pacific decadal and Atlantic multi-decadal fluctuations is
involved.
Numerous denier arguments
involving slight fluctuations
in the global distribution of warmer vs cooler sea surface areas as supposed explanations of climate
change neglect all the energy that goes into
ocean heat content, melting large ice deposits and so forth.
Because the drains out of the various bathtubs
involved in the climate — atmospheric concentrations, the heat balance of the surface and
oceans, ice sheet accumulations, and thermal expansion of the
oceans — are small and slow, the emissions we generate
in the next few decades will lead to
changes that, on any time scale we can contemplate, are irreversible.
One of those proposed and observed mechanisms
involves changes in Pacific winds which cause more heat to be transferred from the atmosphere to the
ocean (you can read a paper if you want the details).
The class of hypothetical climate shifts to which I allude
involve fundamental
changes in the frequency and amplitude of known oscillatory behavio (u) r of the atmosphere -
ocean - cryosphere system and the potential emergence of new oscillatory behaviors.
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and
ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also significant (
in part due to the small heat fluxes
involved, viscosity
in the crust and somewhat
in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core)
in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature
changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
They also ignored the processes
involved, including, but not limited to, the differences
in properties of grazed lands compared to woodlands, the effect of the
ocean and other sequestration sinks, and the fact the while undergoing deterioration and desertification, poorly managed grasslands are an emission source instead of a sequestration sink due to land use
changes.
The Arctic
Ocean losing its ice is almost certainly
involved in the initiation of northern thermohaline demise, so albedo
change will compensate.
To the extent that this abrupt cooling event can be identified with
ocean dynamics, regardless of whether it
involves the GSA or an abrupt
change in the intensity of the AMOC, it provides a plausible explanation of why the NH warmed less rapidly from around the time of the end of WW II to 1980 than the SH.
As pointed out above a small
change in ocean temperature
involves a very large
change in energy.
Francis, who wasn't
involved with either study, is one of the main proponents of an idea that by altering how much heat the
ocean lets out, sea ice melt and Arctic warming can also
change atmospheric circulation patterns,
in particular by making the jet stream form larger peaks, or highs, and troughs, or lows.
They should be proudly supporting the wind farm and thereby being
involved in saving the world from the damage that climate
change and
ocean acidification will bring, instead they choose to be selfish, short - sighted and self - defeating
in the long - term.
The abrupt shifts
in Pacific
Ocean circulation
involve changes in the PDO
in the north - eastern Pacific and coincident
changes in the frequency and intensity of ENSO events.
The Arctic climate affects the world:
Changes in sea ice affect
ocean circulation, which,
in turn, affects atmospheric circulation that then impacts the globe, said Bruce Forbes, a geographer at the Arctic Center at the University of Lapland
in Finland, who was not
involved in the study.
There are temperature effects
involving both energy transfer — to a cool
ocean in a La Nina and from a warm
ocean in an El Nino — and cloud
changes involving both SST and convection
changes.
While Mass was not
involved with the new study, his prior research reached similar conclusions regarding a strong influence of Pacific
Ocean cycles on
changes in annual snowpack levels
in the Cascade mountains.
It is not clear that the world is warming post the 1998/2001 climate shift — that
involved a climatically significant step
change in albedo as a response to abrupt
changes in ocean and atmospheric circulation.
The mechanism
involves cloud
changes in these major internally driven reorganizations atmospheric and
ocean circulation.
The most natural type of long term variability is
in my view based on slowly varying
changes in ocean circulation, which doesn't necessarily
involve major transfer of heat from one place to another but influences cloudiness and other large scale weather patterns and through that the net energy flux of the Earth system.
How atmospheric and
ocean circulation responds to various
changes in forcing would need to be detailed if someone wanted to «prove» anthropogenic forcing is
involved other than a minor increase
in the average surface temperature.
These results also increase our overall understanding of glacial − interglacial cycles by putting further constraints on the timing and strength of other processes
involved in these cycles, like
changes in sea ice and ice sheet extents or
changes in ocean circulation and deep water formation.
Unlike Charney climate sensitivity, which is related to the strength of feedbacks
involving short timescale climate processes such as those
involving clouds and water vapor, Earth System sensitivity also integrates feedbacks
involving long timescale
changes in the cryosphere, terrestrial vegetation, and deep
ocean circulation.
Though more work is needed to fully understand these long term trends, especially what happens from the mid-1970's, it is likely that
changes in ocean circulation
involving some combination of the Atlantic meridional overtuning circulation and the subtropical cells are required to explain the observations.
Thus if the two mid latitude jets move equatorward at the same time as the ITCZ moves closer to the equator the combined effect on global albedo and the amount of solar energy able to penetrate the
oceans will be substantial and would dwarf the other proposed effects on albedo from
changes in cosmic ray intensity generating
changes in cloud totals as per Svensmark and from suggested
changes caused
in upper cloud quantities by
changes in atmospheric chemistry
involving ozone which various other climate sceptics propose.
However, the conditions predicted for the open
ocean may not reflect the future conditions
in the coastal zone, where many of these organisms live (Hendriks et al. 2010a, b; Hofmann et al. 2011; Kelly and Hofmann 2012), and results derived from
changes in pH
in coastal ecosystems often include processes other than OA, such as emissions from volcanic vents, eutrophication, upwelling and long - term
changes in the geological cycle of CO2, which commonly
involve simultaneous
changes in other key factors affecting the performance of calcifiers, thereby confounding the response expected from OA by anthropogenic CO2 alone.
This new concept of anthropogenic impacts on seawater pH formulated here accommodates the broad range of mechanisms
involved in the anthropogenic forcing of pH
in coastal ecosystems, including
changes in land use, nutrient inputs, ecosystem structure and net metabolism, and emissions of gases to the atmosphere affecting the carbon system and associated pH. The new paradigm is applicable across marine systems, from open -
ocean and
ocean - dominated coastal systems, where OA by anthropogenic CO2 is the dominant mechanism of anthropogenic impacts on marine pH, to coastal ecosystems where a range of natural and anthropogenic processes may operate to affect pH.
Whereas detection of OA by anthropogenic CO2 has been achieved
in open -
ocean time series, we contend that it has not yet been achieved reliably
in coastal ecosystems and that attribution of observed
changes in vulnerable organisms to OA has been confounded
in the past by failure to acknowledge the different components of anthropogenic impacts on pH possibly
involved.
In the 1950s, an ingenious (although faulty) model involving changes in the Arctic Ocean suggested a disturbing possibility of arbitrary shift
In the 1950s, an ingenious (although faulty) model
involving changes in the Arctic Ocean suggested a disturbing possibility of arbitrary shift
in the Arctic
Ocean suggested a disturbing possibility of arbitrary shifts.
This question came up on an NRC panel on
ocean acidification that I was
involved with — do the extinctions during the PETM tell us anything about how much the
changing pH
in the
ocean would affect, say, fisheries?
Some of them
involved doing one thing or another to the
oceans to
change the way
in which
Some of them
involved doing one thing or another to the
oceans to
change the way
in which carbon is sequestered there, while others try to do things to the atmosphere to deflect incoming solar radiation.