NREL, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, publishes
irradiance data in its report Solar Radiation Data Manual for Flat - Plate and Concentrating Collectors.
Not exact matches
When the Active Cavity Radiometer
Irradiance Monitor (ACRIM I) satellite ended its mission, there was a delay
in launching ACRIM II, which meant that
data from the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite (ERBS) satellite
data had to be used during the intervening period.
On the other hand, Esper's
data appear to be
in close agreement with variations
in cosmogenic isotopes whose production rates are indicators of variation
in solar
irradiance, and thus, global temperatures on Earth.
Amplification of the direct solar forcing is conceivable, e.g., through effects on ozone or atmospheric condensation nuclei, but empirical
data place a factor of two upper limit on the amplification, with the most likely forcing
in the range 100 — 120 % of the directly measured solar
irradiance change [64].
Despite apparent artificial issues
in long - term measurements of cloud from ISCCP, and the lack of reliability
in low - cloud
data from
irradiance - based satellite cloud estimates, we find the ISCCP and MODIS datasets to be
in close agreement over the past decade globally.
Thus it appears that, provided further satellite cloud
data confirms the cosmic ray flux low cloud seeding hypothesis, and no other factors were involved over the past 150 years (e.g., variability of other cloud layers) then there is a potential for solar activity induced changes
in cloudiness and
irradiance to account for a significant part of the global warming experienced during the 20th century, with the possible exception of the last two decades.
If the
data was somehow adjusted for changes
in solar
irradiance over the period, it might show an even stronger increase trend.
The
data show a wellestablished 11 - year cycle
in irradiance that varies by 0.08 % from solar cycle minima to maxima, with no signifi cant long - term trend.
Given the total irrelevance of volcanic aerosols during the period
in question, the only very modest effect of fossil fuel emissions and the many inconsistencies governing the
data pertaining to solar
irradiance, it seems clear that climate science has no meaningful explanation for the considerable warming trend we see
in the earlier part of the 20th century — and if that's the case, then there is no reason to assume that the warming we see
in the latter part of that century could not also be due to either some as yet unknown natural force, or perhaps simply random drift.
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/08/did-the-sun-hit-record-highs-over-the-last-few-decades/ «Regardless of any discussion about solar
irradiance in past centuries, the sunspot record and neutron monitor
data (which can be compared with radionuclide records) show that solar activity has not increased since the 1950s and is therefore unlikely to be able to explain the recent warming.»
3, Eric,
in line: From examining the
data records I conclude: Changes
in solar
irradiance explain perhaps one - quarter of the increase
in temperature during the last century.
The use of even more recently computer - reconstructed total solar
irradiance data (whatever have large uncertainties) for the period prior to 1976 would not change any of the conclusions
in my paper, where quantitative analyses were emphasized on the influences of humans and the Sun on global surface temperature after 1970 when direct measurements became available.
The first is uncertainty about the assigned magnitudes — for example, if solar influence must be scaled up to account for forcing not apparent
in the total
irradiance data, the solar role would increase.
Global compilations from ground - based radiometer
data (Liepert, 2002), covering the period 1960 - 1990, suggest a substantial decrease
in solar
irradiance reaching the ground.»
these
data show no increasing solar
irradiance trend to explain the earth's increase
in temperature.
Simulations where the magnitude of solar
irradiance changes is increased yield a mismatch between model results and CO2
data, providing evidence for modest changes
in solar
irradiance and global mean temperatures over the past millennium and arguing against a significant amplification of the response of global or hemispheric annual mean temperature to solar forcing.
If the sun were the dominant forcing, the planet would have a negative energy balance
in 2005 — 2010, when solar
irradiance was at its lowest level
in the period of accurate
data, i.e., since the 1970s [64], [71].
Several statistical analyses have shown that the
data is not stationary and
in a working paper not yet accepted by any journal Beenstock & Reingewertz showed that, ``... greenhouse gas forcings do not polynomially cointegrate with global temperature and solar
irradiance.
In this case when the larger scope of the
data is examined there is no correlation between solar
irradiance and this global warming event.
It was
in fact 2 things an energy decrease from solar
irradiance in the 11 year cycle and a change
in cloud cover that is associated with ENSO resulting
in less reflected SW — seen
in the CERES
data.
... To determine the TCS metric, we use actual physical
data for the: 1) average surface temperature anomaly of 1850 - 2012, 2) atmospheric CO2 concentration history, and 3) rise
in Total Solar
Irradiance over the same period of time.
(My money is firmly on an increase
in solar
irradiance, based on the 10 - Be
data..).
Since a basic North American continental experiment was already successfully executed on the few post 911 clear sky days, I posit that simple solar L1
irradiance modification experiments could be designed to test the hypothesis without any serious side effects (certainly without moving an asteroid) to successfully obtain the desired
data to enable more permanent temporary solutions, and
in order to give us more time to develop the necessary carbon dioxide removal and sequestration schemes — aka carbon containing products).