For example, the weakening of the THC under 1 degree of warming, a risk of collapse for 3 degrees, risk of
irreversible melting of the Greenland Ice sheet at 2 degrees warming, sea level changes of 5 — 12 meters over several centuries, — these eventualities are debatable, and should certainly be viewed as the «adverse tail» of possible impacts.
A 550 world dramatically increases the likelihood of catastrophes and runaway climate change, such as
an irreversible melting of the Greenland ice sheet resulting in sea - level rise of 7 metres.
But in Bamber's second calculation the relatively sophisticated energy balance model, which he believes better represents ice sheet behaviour, gave a threshold of 8 degrees for
irreversible melting of Greenland - double the previously published threshold.
But in Bamber's second calculation the relatively sophisticated energy balance model, which he believes better represents ice sheet behaviour, gave a threshold of 8 degrees for
irreversible melting of Greenland — double the previously published threshold.
The team stresses that even a little warming could cause
irreversible melting of ice sheets and turn dense Amazon forests into dry savannah grassland.
Not exact matches
«Once the site transitions from net snowfall to net
melt, it's only a matter
of time before the wastes
melt out; it becomes
irreversible.»
Some
of the
melting that has already occurred is likely
irreversible, and could take hundreds
of years to reverse, Rignot said.
The United Nations scientific community is pointing to the overwhelming evidence that global warming, from increased greenhouse gas emissions, is propelling us towards an
irreversible runaway
melting of the ice caps and northern permafrost while rising temperature cause massive forest fires.
This ice sheet is losing mass at a rather larger rate (around 220 cubic kilometres per year) and it will take only another 1 - 2 oC world warming to raise the summer
melt zone to the top
of the Greenland ice pack after which point, in my understanding, the ice sheet will go into
irreversible melt.
Many important questions
of environmental policy, however, involve inescapably uncertain outcomes... How much global warming will it take to trigger the
irreversible collapse and
melting of the Greenland ice sheet?»
Reducing emissions
of the short - lived climate forcers black carbon and tropospheric ozone — soot and smog — has been identified by scientists as the most effective strategy to slow Arctic warming and
melting in the near term, forestalling potentially
irreversible tipping points such as the
melting, while the world works to reduce emissions
of GHGs.
Irreversible: see Favier et al. (2014); Rignot et al. (2014); Joughin et al. (2014); quote: Justin Gillis and Kenneth Chang, «Scientists Warn
of Rising Oceans From Polar
Melt,» New York Times, May 12, 2014, p. 1.
Will we reach the point where the
melting of the Greenland ice sheet is
irreversible?
The
melting of Greenland and the retreat
of Antarctic ice sheets were proceeding faster than experts had expected and now looked
irreversible.
Were the increase in average global temperatures held below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), then drastic climate change and long - term
irreversible damage — like the
melting of Greenland's glaciers — could still be avoided.
Can we reach the political tipping point that will enable us to cut carbon emissions before we reach the point where the
melting of the Himalayan glaciers becomes
irreversible?
At that level, the world risked initiating feedbacks in the climate system, such as the
melting of ice sheet area, that could trigger
irreversible warming out
of humanity's control.
How such a warming would impact the probability
of irreversible changes to elements
of the climate system (
melting ice sheets, reversal or slowing
of ocean currents, release
of carbon in permafrost) is unknown.
So scientists are keen to know at what temperature
melting of the ice sheet is likely to become
irreversible.
Posted in Glaciers Comments Off on
Melting Antarctic Glacier in State
of «
Irreversible Retreat» Experts Say
Glaciologists have announced that a huge ice stream in western Antarctica, recognised as the largest single contributor
of ice to the sea, has begun an accelerated and
irreversible melt rate that could see it shedding 100 billion tonnes a year, equating to a global sea level rise
of up to 10 mm in 20 years.
This could prevent catastrophic,
irreversible tipping points such as the
melting of Arctic sea ice and the Greenland ice sheet, and buy time for implementation
of critical strategies to cut long - lived greenhouse gas emissions.
Greenland's ice
melt is a key concern: If we reach a tipping point there, with a certain degree
of warming, that could cause sea levels to rise and have
irreversible impacts for the next millennium.
The IPCC approach, using highly damped deterministic global climate models, is incapable
of producing abrupt climate change (beyond the
melting of Arctic sea ice, which is not
irreversible even on timescales
of a decade).
Conservative estimates so far, projected
irreversible melting in the course
of a few centuries, depending on the temperature increase.
Say we need 20 years to get our sh*t together and reduce emissions, but we only have 10 before the tipping point (where ice
melting becomes
irreversible, for example), maybe it's worthwhile to pump out massive amounts
of harmful junk, paint roofs white, whatever is possible, to avoid that tipping point.