yet you hold great store by the first period and not the later because you say 15 years is long term climatic variation and 7 years
is short term weather variation!!!!
Not exact matches
Though we might
be in the midst of a market climb, you should wait for stocks to pause before aggressively buying, particularly if you can't
weather a potential
short -
term storm.
The company may
be solid enough to
weather the effects of a
short -
term price slump, but it can not continue
weathering them forever.
In crypto - mining, scale
is what determines success in the
short term, but
is also what allows mines to
weather any volatility over the long
term.
Main message
being, the further we've moved away from appropriate fair valuation in any market cycle, the more susceptible we
are to risk when
shorter term «
weather conditions» (liquidity and trend) change.
Off in the distance we can see initial signs that the
short term weather condition of liquidity
is set to change, although we can not yet assess magnitude and timing of the change we know
is to come.
Let's take a look at the forecast to see if any wintry
weather is expected in the
short -
term.
«In the
short term, the
weather forecast
is indicative of conditions that the blooms can thrive in,» said Rebecca Gorney, the state Department of Environmental Conservation's program coordinator for harmful algal blooms.
They have shown that there
is substantial genetic variation in nature for both long -
term seasonal acclimation and
short -
term acclimation associated with rapid extreme
weather events.
People have
been fascinated with
weather forecasting at least dating back to the ancient Babylonians, who tried to use cloud formations and other atmospheric conditions to predict
short -
term weather changes.
Gaining a greater knowledge of how they might
be affected by
weather is therefore essential, both in the
short and long
term.
«Farmers
are by necessity very focused on
short -
term weather, in - season decisions and managing immediate risks,» she said.
Even
short -
term weather forecasters, he notes, joke that they
are «not very good about forecasting, particularly when it involves the future.»
Having data from all three orbits
is important, but Mehta says that data from NOAA crafts
are uniquely tailored for U.S.
weather prediction for
short - and medium -
term forecasts.
While the majority of climate change scientists focus on the «direct» threats of changing temperatures and precipitation after 2031, far fewer researchers
are studying how
short -
term human adaptation responses to seasonal changes and extreme
weather events may threaten the survival of wildlife and ecosystems much sooner.
What
's happening in the Arctic would
be impossible without a century of global warming causing a long -
term decline in sea ice levels — but it
is actually a
short -
term weather event.
Planets around other stars
are too distant for us to spot their
short -
term weather.
Byrne emphasized that the area's typical monsoon
weather with wet summers and dry winters did not stop, but
was interrupted by frequent
short -
term droughts, no doubt affecting crops and water supplies.
The solid lines
are the long
term trends, which filter out
short term weather fluctuations.
One of the variables affecting
short term weather predictions
is the Arctic Oscillation (AO).
The open ocean around the atoll
was 2 degrees Celsius warmer than usual, but a
short -
term change in
weather conditions pushed temperatures on top of the reef to 6 degrees Celsius above normal.
The hot and dry
weather in the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley caused an intense
short -
term drought to develop despite long -
term drought
being eliminated earlier in the year from heavy spring precipitation.
When considering long
term climate trends, you need to filter out
short term weather anomalies like El Nino or volcanic eruptions - an easy way
is to plot a 5 year average.
The silicate + CO2 - > different silicate + carbonate chemical
weathering rate tends to increase with temperature globally, and so
is a negative feedback (but
is too slow to damp out
short term changes)-- but chemical
weathering is also affected by vegetation, land area, and terrain (and minerology, though I
'm not sure how much that varies among entire mountain ranges or climate zones)-- ie mountanous regions which
are in the vicinity of a warm rainy climate
are ideal for enhancing chemical
weathering (see Appalachians in the Paleozoic, more recently the Himalayas).
This chemical
weathering process
is too slow to damp out
shorter -
term fluctuations, and there
are some complexities — glaciation can enhance the mechanical erosion that provides surface area for chemical
weathering (some of which may
be realized after a time delay — ie when the subsequent warming occurs — dramatically snow in a Snowball Earth scenario, where the frigid conditions essentially shut down all chemical
weathering, allowing CO2 to build up to the point where it thaws the equatorial region, at which point runaway albedo feedback drives the Earth into a carbonic acid sauna, which ends via rapid carbonate rock formation), while lower sea level may increase the oxidation of organic C in sediments but also provide more land surface for erosion... etc..
Again, these dried out fuels
are the result of a natural California summer drought and
short term weather conditions such as the bone - dry Diablo Winds that arrive every year.
It
is easy to see that unpredictable
weather noise dominates
short term variability.
The statistics of the
weather make
short term climate prediction very difficult — particularly for climate models that
are not run with any kind of initialization for observations — this has
been said over and over.
(I guess I have a
short -
term memory...) This year, my rediscovered spring style
is scarves worn with with warm -
weather dresses...
With Celestica moving away from BlackBerry hardware production, this only serves to add to RIM's growing
short -
term problems, as the company
is attempting to
weather the transition from its current platform in OS 7,
being the last version of the Java - based platform that it began using in 2003 to BBX, which
is the QNX - based platform which shares major underpinnings with the BlackBerry PlayBook while also adding features common to iOS and Android, but will not
be released until this Fall, after initially
being targeted for a February launch.
The approach and structure of the DRS
is specifically built to help investors stay the course through bull and bear markets by recognizing that smaller
shorter -
term drawdowns
are more easily
weathered by having protection in place for larger, steeper declines.
If you believe that the company can
weather the
short term storm, a buy on the down day may prove to
be a great return in the end!
If you love the community, have researched the place, and plan to live in your new space for 10 years or more, chances
are you can
weather a few real estate dips and won't get taken in the
short term by all the fees and expenses associated with selling a home.
But framing an investor's portfolio in
terms of buckets
is a mental accounting trick that gives investors comfort in knowing that they can
weather any
short term market contraction given that their
short term needs
are already supported via Buckets # 1 and Buckets # 2.
Renton Animal Control
is only 2 people for a whole city and they
are attempting to do handoffs to rescues without an actual shelter except for
short -
term 3 - day holds which
is outside even in the winter
weather only at this point.
Despite parent company Index Holdings filing for bankruptcy and
weathering a serious fraud investigation, Atlus USA has stressed that their day - to - day operations haven't
been affected, at least in the
short term.
If this
were to grow into a larger betting pool I would
be strongly inclined to bet with RC, in spite of the fact that this
is so
short term that it may
be more like betting on
weather than climate.
Then let us not forget that although entropy (heat loss) escapes the earth system, some
is trapped in increasing random motions which influences both,
short interval and chaotic
weather, and longer
term climate and as well as other biological factors, like evolution and carrying capacity.
if you had listen to what people told you about the
weather noise in
short term climate observations or about SIGNIFICANT timescales in this discussion, you wouldn't
be wrong on yet another point.
There
are many current attempts to improve the
short -
term predictability in climate models in line with the best
weather models, though it
is unclear what impact that will have on projections.
That
is weather (
short term).
7:22 p.m. Updates below Quite a few professional climate skeptics have
been crowing in the last few days about a 20 - percent downward shift in the
short -
term forecast for global temperature (through 2017) from Britain's
weather and climate agency, best know as the Met Office.
It
's a daunting task to try to detect any links between
short -
term fluctuations in extreme
weather events and the rising influence of accumulating greenhouse gases on climate, given that extreme
weather is, by definition, rare.
Re # 104 — «Well,
weather prediction
is much less certain than climate prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in
short -
term atmospheric processes.»
Well,
weather prediction
is much less certain than climate prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in
short -
term atmospheric processes.
In the case of climate models, this
is complicated by the fact that the time scales involved need to
be long enough to average out the
short -
term noise, i.e. the chaotic sequences of «
weather» events.
In the context of climate and
weather, the
term convection often
is meant to include the conduction and diffusion at the surface; these fluxes heat a thin layer as convection cools it, thus the tendency
is that approximately the same flux continues from the surface through a
short distance of air, changing from conduction and diffusion into convection along the way.
Moreover, as each hurricane season
is relatively
short, it
is especially susceptible to the caprices of «
weather», i.e., a season may
be strong or weak due to a particular
weather pattern that
is just a few weeks long and that does not reflect any long -
term trend whatever.
One reason, the article suggests,
is that climate scientists study long -
term weather patterns and meteorologists make
short -
term forecasts.
But even if it had, there
are short term variations in temperature associated with El Nino and La Nina events and other «
weather» which imply that CO2
is not the only factor.