Sentences with phrase «just point estimates»

You must think in terms of ranges rather than just point estimates.

That's just a point estimate with a huge confidence interval.

Not exact matches

And as Jon Nathanson (now Slate columnist) pointed out in his exhaustive breakdown of the economics of infomercials on Priceonomics, in comparison, the U.S. network and cable industry was estimated at just $ 97 billion in 2013.

The fund reduced its estimates of American growth in 2012 and 2013 by a tenth of a percentage point, anticipating that the economy will expand just 2 percent this year and 2.3 percent next year.

On that point, it's worth noting that we currently estimate a prospective 10 - year nominal total return for the S&P 500 of just 3.9 % annually.

To determine your estimated equity, just subtract the outstanding balance of your loan from the estimated value of your property and you will have a great starting point for determining what types of refinance loans will work for you.

Just use that number and divide by how many slices you get out of the bread (slice it first, or estimate from mid point and quarter point of loaf, taking into account that end slices and middle slices might vary a little).

For a number of outcomes (induction of labour, augmentation, opiate analgesia, caesarean birth), the point estimate was less than 1 and the upper limit of the 95 % confidence interval just exceeded 1.

The SNP were credited with 49 % of the vote, up three points on the company's previous poll conducted at the end of March while Labour were estimated to be on just 25 %, down four points.

Even though the polls did not under - estimate Labour in 2010, it was one of just two elections since 1974 where they did not, perhaps because it was one in which Labour were at an historically low point.

«So a $ 3 point something billion project is going on and you're just estimating that possibly the tolls will cover the financing, but there is no plan?»

Why are so many New Yorkers, an estimated one point eight million, working for years at either the minimum wage or just above it, doing jobs that used to be considered entry level positions?

Putting all these factors, and some smaller ones, together John Curtice estimated in 2011 that the Conservatives would need a lead of more than 11 points on current boundaries to win a majority, while Labour could secure one with a lead of just three points.

The floating platform, measuring 6 by 6 meters, was then anchored just downstream from the Hunts Point Wastewater Treatment Plant, a facility that pumps out an estimated 830 — 1600 metric tons of nitrogen a year.

The results of the report point to a 77 percent drop in gorilla numbers, from an estimated 17,000 in 1995 to just 3,800 individuals today.

You probably get the idea at this point, but just to hammer it home: On average, galaxies are separated by millions of light years — and the latest estimates put the number of galaxies in the universe at around 500 billion.

It is important to regard the LGM studies as just one set of points in the cloud yielded by other climate sensitivity estimates, but the LGM has been a frequent target because it was a period for which there is a lot of data from varied sources, climate was significantly different from today, and we have considerable information about the important drivers — like CO2, CH4, ice sheet extent, vegetation changes etc..

These calculations for finding your correct caloric intake are quite simplistic and are just estimates to give you a starting point.

Whether the teacher estimates are a little low, a little high, or even a little more than a little low is not really the point of this exercise: Really, it's about breaking your kid of the habit of wasting time complaining about or delaying homework, rather than just doing it.

This is a very precisely - estimated zero: the standard error of this estimate is just 0.14 percentage points.

The standard error of this estimate is just 0.13 percentile points.

As well as raising his expectations for sales of the Fire, Bartley also lowered his sales estimate for Kindle ereaders from 28 million to just 24m but he pointed out that this was not as a result of the increase in Fire sales and probably down ot more competition int he market.

The above point value allows us to estimate the bonus on the Farmers ® Rewards Visa ® to be worth just $ 30 (3,000 x $ 0.01).

Further, G&D point out that the past earnings record of a corporation usually is the best tool for estimating earnings for the years just ahead over a business cycle or growth phase.

But a card's rewards can be so attractive, an estimated 71.7 million of us — or 29.2 % of American adults — swipe, dip or tap just for the cash, points or miles our purchases earn us.

Look, we KNOW forward earnings estimates are going to be wrong at major inflection points because analysts generally just extrapolate the existing trend.

I'm just making the point that the more predictive price ratios (Shiller PE, Tobin's q etc), which are well above their long - run averages, all disagree with the PEs based on forward earnings estimates from overoptimistic analysts» forecasts.

Old forecasts aren't magic — they're just the best estimate a single point in time.

The company behind the FICO score is estimating that this will affect roughly 12 million U.S. consumers (~ 6 % of total population) and that just under 11 million people will see a score improvement of less than 20 points.

You just enter five data points (asset name, dollar amount of it held, when it pays, and its annualized estimated yield - get it from the fund's prospectus, website, other source, or guess) into the green - shaded areas, and it automatically calculates all of the income generated in all of the different time frames (along with all of the totals).

Projecting future wealth and known future income streams can be a good starting point for estimating a future marginal tax rate (e.g., what will tax rates be for the retiree who already has Social Security benefits, portfolio interest and dividends, real estate or other passive income sources, and / or Required Minimum Distributions [RMDs]-RRB-, but clearly some uncertainty remains, not the least because Congress could just outright change the tax laws between now and then (although even higher tax rates in the future is not a guarantee that Roth conversions are a good idea today!).

The point is: these are just estimates, and you should always talk to your vet to figure out exactly how much your pup needs to eat.

If you value American Express Membership Rewards points at just 1.5 cents each, which is a conservative estimate, you'd have to earn an extra 6,334 points a year to cover the annual fee.

(His selection also points to the vagaries of the art market: one edition failed to sell at Bonhams San Francisco just five years with an estimate of only $ 2,000 to $ 3,000.)

(Technical point: this is not the «best» estimate, as Stefan quotes, but just a central estimate.

If we take your point in that context, part of the answer becomes, «A «best estimate» is sometimes just a middle projection cited in a confident tone of voice.»

[Response: Unfortunately, you seem to have conveniently forgotten that Keigwin (and Pickart) published a paper in Science just a few years later in 1999 pointing that the appparent cooling (actually, the oxygen isotopic signal in question isn't entirely temperature, it is salinity as well, so the quantative 1 deg cooling estimate you cite is not actually reliable) in the Sargasso Sea is diametrically opposed by a substantial warming at the same time in the Laurentian Fan region of the North Atlantic off the coast of Newfoundland.

Indeed, Somerville points out that, according to some estimates, if each household in the United Kingdom chose to line dry just one load of laundry every week, we could save over a million tonnes of CO2 each and every year.

I think I get your point, but to avoid confusion it would really help if you could just state your best estimate of the realtive contribution of N2 / O2 and CO2 to total emission from the atmosphere.

So your estimate is just some sort of meaniungless, maximum value The issue here, as I keep pointing out, is that there is no CO2 signal in any temperature / time graph, from data of the 20th and 21st centuries.

If you measure the latitude of the ice margin at just one point, you can make a very reasonable estimate of the total extent.

In 25 years, Obama's U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that number will have gone up just 3 percentage points to 17 %.

To the contrarian, it is just a matter of time before other uncertainties will yield even lower estimates of sensitivity, until eventually it will fall to the point that it is nothing significant.

Perhaps you should read Annan more closely, «Note by the way that it's not just the recent decade of data that points to a more moderate sensitivity estimate.

Just to clarify a point I made above, F&G use GISS & HadCru data to derive their moderate sensitivity estimate.

That doesn't mean there aren't some legitimate concerns, just that you can count on them to over estimate to the point they actually begin to believe their own estimates.

I was just making the point that observationally based estimates of sensitivity have some obvious advantages.

And my understanding of Lea's point is that there is a problem with MARGO and that this impacts not just your estimate, but all estimates which use it.

Spencer and Braswell freely admit that using their simple model is just the first step in a complicated diagnosis, but also point out that the results from simple models provide insight that should help guide the development of more complex models, and ultimately could help unravel some of the mystery as to why full climate models produce high estimates of the earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity, while estimates based in real - world observations are much lower.

The estimated slope is 0.14 deg.C / decade — more than four times as large, just from removing two errant data points.